Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 98-84

29-24 21-17 22-21 26-22

Position#1

Record10-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game67.2

Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆

Pieno Zvaigzdes

Position#7

Record5-6

FormWLWLL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game75.5

LKL

Domestic2016-17

Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

77-67

+10

H23/10

LKL

Fenerbahce

68-82

-14

A26/10

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

74-87

-13

H28/10

Euroleague

Nevezis

81-68

+13

A30/10

LKL

Darussafaka

80-83

-3

H04/11

Euroleague

Juventus

90-66

+24

A06/11

LKL

Barcelona

#11

86-92

-6

A10/11

Euroleague

Skycop

63-55

A13/11

LKL

Galatasaray

#12

87-75

+12

H16/11

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

86-95

-9

A18/11

Euroleague

20-14

21-12

17-22

19-19

24-28

13-16

19-19

12-19

16-21

16-22

25-21

17-23

27-10

17-17

9-18

28-23

25-15

10-11

21-35

24-22

20-17

28-22

20-18

22-9

12-16

23-20

24-29

27-27

14-15

25-14

11-17

13-9

20-20

29-17

20-14

18-24

21-19

20-21

28-27

17-28

156.2Avg total

79.2Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	82.1	67.2	149.3	+14.9	91%
Season at home (4)	81.2	66.8	148.0	+14.5	100%
Season away (7)	82.6	67.4	150.0	+15.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	77.0	156.2	+2.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	76.6	159.0	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.0	88.5	165.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (5)	81.4	81.4	162.8	+0.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	82.7	69.0	151.7	+13.7	87%

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno Zvaigzdes Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nevezis

73-77

-4

A16/10

LKL

Jekabpils

76-72

A19/10

Baltic League

Skycop

75-70

H22/10

LKL

Borisfen

#18

102-68

102

+34

H25/10

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

67-52

+15

A30/10

LKL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

81-54

+27

H02/11

Baltic League

Rytas

57-94

-37

A05/11

LKL

Valmiera/ORDO

59-58

A08/11

Baltic League

Siauliai

#10

84-85

-1

A12/11

LKL

BK Ogre

#10

84-89

-5

A15/11

Baltic League

25-15

11-9

20-22

17-31

17-21

14-18

25-18

20-15

18-30

18-20

20-6

19-14

22-24

28-5

32-17

20-22

11-11

19-15

18-10

19-16

25-15

24-8

18-15

14-16

15-25

15-23

17-26

10-20

20-13

13-23

16-15

10-7

17-15

18-20

19-16

30-34

24-22

21-19

12-30

27-18

147.7Avg total

75.8Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	74.4	75.5	149.8	-1.1	45%
Season at home (4)	74.0	75.2	149.2	-1.2	50%
Season away (7)	74.6	75.6	150.1	-1.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	71.9	147.7	+3.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	76.0	149.0	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	77.6	86.5	164.1	-8.9	29%
vs Similar (4)	84.8	85.5	170.2	-0.8	25%
vs Weaker (12)	78.9	67.8	146.8	+11.1	75%

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Zalgiris KaunasPieno Zvaigzdes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.9	38.1	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.5	37.4	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.4	34.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.6	20.9	40.6	-1.3	64%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.5	24.5	44.0	-5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	17.2	38.2	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	15.2	37.3	+6.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	16.4	34.6	+1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.1	17.2	39.3	+4.9	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	16.0	34.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	22.1	40.9	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.2	15.4	35.6	+4.8	67%	-

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas

41-26

+15

H23/10

LKL

Fenerbahce

37-44

-7

A26/10

Euroleague

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#14

32-43

-11

H28/10

Euroleague

Nevezis

44-27

+17

A30/10

LKL

Darussafaka

35-26

H04/11

Euroleague

Juventus

48-39

A06/11

LKL

Barcelona

#11

35-36

-1

A10/11

Euroleague

Skycop

39-29

+10

A13/11

LKL

Galatasaray

#12

49-37

+12

H16/11

Euroleague

CSKA Moscow

41-40

A18/11

Euroleague

74.8Avg total

40.1Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	36.1	77.2	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	34.1	77.2	+9.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	34.7	74.8	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	36.2	78.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	35.2	71.8	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.3	35.7	78.0	+6.6	74%	-

This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nevezis

36-24

+12

A16/10

LKL

Jekabpils

31-39

-8

A19/10

Baltic League

Skycop

36-50

-14

H22/10

LKL

Borisfen

#18

50-29

+21

H25/10

Baltic League

Alytaus Dzukija

30-26

A30/10

LKL

Rakvere Tarvas

#14

49-23

+26

H02/11

Baltic League

Rytas

30-48

-18

A05/11

LKL

Valmiera/ORDO

33-36

-3

A08/11

Baltic League

Siauliai

#10

35-35

A12/11

LKL

BK Ogre

#10

45-41

A15/11

Baltic League

72.6Avg total

37.5Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.7	77.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.5	38.0	78.5	+2.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.7	39.2	76.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	35.1	72.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.6	75.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.4	43.1	81.4	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.5	43.8	85.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.8	31.9	70.7	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	23.0	46.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.3	16.5	36.7	+3.8	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	17.5	37.1	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	21.1	39.4	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.6	17.7	36.2	+0.9	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	23.5	38.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.2	16.8	37.0	+3.4	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	20.8	41.4	-0.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.8	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	25.5	20.8	46.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.3	77.3	+4.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	37.7	79.2	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	34.9	75.4	+5.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.3	81.4	-3.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.4	80.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	46.5	84.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.8	46.2	91.0	-1.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	40.4	33.3	73.7	+7.2	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.7	79.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	36.8	77.6	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.9	41.9	80.8	-3.0	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	36.8	75.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	39.4	74.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.4	42.3	80.6	-3.9	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.2	41.8	85.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.2	35.9	76.1	+4.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.1	20.5	51.1%	55.4%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	7.9	34.1%	35.5%	23.6
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.8	76.9%	73.8%	13.8

They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.1	52.5%	55.4%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.1	8.5	38.4%	35.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	25.5	21.1	82.8%	73.8%	21.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	18.1	52.5%	55.4%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.1	8.5	38.4%	35.5%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	25.5	21.1	82.8%	73.8%	21.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zalgiris Kaunas wins

Pieno Zvaigzdes wins

Date	Game	Score
05/10/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	82-86
02/05/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	95-81
29/04/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	71-84
26/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	102-66
10/04/16	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	93-88
28/02/16	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	101-109 OT
27/12/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	71-88
01/11/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	103-74
28/03/15	Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas	56-74
08/02/15	Zalgiris Kaunas v Pieno Zvaigzdes	81-79

Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/11/16	A	CSKA Moscow	86-95
16/11/16	H	Galatasaray	87-75
13/11/16	A	Skycop	63-55
10/11/16	A	Barcelona	86-92
06/11/16	A	Juventus	90-66
04/11/16	H	Darussafaka	80-83
30/10/16	A	Nevezis	81-68
28/10/16	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	74-87
26/10/16	A	Fenerbahce	68-82
23/10/16	H	Neptunas	77-67

Pieno Zvaigzdeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/11/16	A	BK Ogre	84-89
12/11/16	A	Siauliai	84-85
08/11/16	A	Valmiera/ORDO	59-58
05/11/16	A	Rytas	57-94
02/11/16	H	Rakvere Tarvas	81-54
30/10/16	A	Alytaus Dzukija	67-52
25/10/16	H	Borisfen	102-68
22/10/16	H	Skycop	75-70
19/10/16	A	Jekabpils	76-72
16/10/16	A	Nevezis	73-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	91%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	91%	100%	86%
Points / game	82.1	81.2	82.6
Allowed / game	67.2	66.8	67.4
Point differential	+14.9	+14.5	+15.1
Avg total	149.3	148.0	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	100%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pieno Zvaigzdes

LKL 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	45%
Home	LWLW	50%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	45%	50%	43%
Points / game	74.4	74.0	74.6
Allowed / game	75.5	75.2	75.6
Point differential	-1.1	-1.2	-1.0
Avg total	149.8	149.2	150.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	25%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	11	10	1	91%	82.1	67.2	+14.9
2	Rytas	12	9	3	75%	79.2	68.5	+10.7
3	Lietkabelis	12	9	3	75%	84.0	76.8	+7.2
4	Neptunas	12	6	6	50%	78.2	72.2	+5.9
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	11	5	6	45%	74.4	75.5	-1.1
6	Skycop	12	5	7	42%	73.2	72.4	+0.8
7	Juventus	12	5	7	42%	78.2	81.6	-3.3
8	Nevezis	12	4	8	33%	78.1	80.5	-2.4
9	Alytaus Dzukija	12	4	8	33%	65.4	76.2	-10.8
10	Siauliai	12	2	10	17%	69.9	90.6	-20.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zalgiris Kaunas	29	21	22	26	98
Pieno Zvaigzdes	24	17	21	22	84

← all games of the day

Zalgiris Kaunas vs Pieno Zvaigzdes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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