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Pistoia vs Sassari Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.4
ItalySerie A2Round 17· PalaCarrara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pistoia v Sassari
23 Dec 2026
PIS v SAS
upcoming
06 Apr 2025
PIS63
SAS86
19 Nov 2023
PIS68
SAS63
04 Jan 2020
PIS70
SAS78
17 Mar 2019
PIS82
SAS90
15 Apr 2018
PIS69
SAS80
05 Nov 2016
PIS68
SAS69
24 Apr 2016
PIS77
SAS68
20 Oct 2014
PIS81
SAS84
02 Feb 2014
PIS81
SAS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 67
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 67
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 67
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 67
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 67
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
14-21
13-16
24-16
28-12
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (6)78.066.8144.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.270.2151.5+11.075%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 73
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#20
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 73
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
72-81
72
81
-9
14avg 73
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 73
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-70
80
70
+10
85avg 73
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
59avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
61-79
61
79
-18
44avg 73
A25/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 73
H01/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
15-30
24-15
16-20
18-19
20-12
19-15
13-22
16-28
15-19
20-15
21-19
25-27
25-21
19-15
18-11
24-20
23-12
13-22
20-16
20-22
16-28
14-16
17-18
15-15
10-21
16-21
20-22
20-19
18-16
29-19
28-21
15-14
25-22
17-13
10-21
21-25
22-15
19-19
17-20
154.6Avg total
76.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.276.4153.7+0.856%
Season at home (5)82.079.4161.4+2.660%
Season away (4)71.272.8144.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.678.0154.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.279.0156.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.188.6167.8-9.521%
vs Similar (11)85.885.2171.0+0.636%
vs Weaker (5)75.674.6150.2+1.060%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
PistoiaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.1-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.8-4.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.938.075.9-0.125%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#20
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A25/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A07/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
37.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.983.9-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.780.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.279.1-3.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.044.583.5-5.529%-
vs Similar (11)42.842.385.1+0.564%-
vs Weaker (5)35.836.272.0-0.460%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.0
47.9%
51.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
34.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.6
70.8%
71.0%12.6
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLWWWLLL
Sassari
WLWLLWWLWL
#8
League position
#11
+12.8
Net rating
-6.5
98.5
Offensive rating
96.0
85.6
Defensive rating
102.5
48.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
8.8%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.5%
3-point %
37.5%
54.0%
Assist %
53.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 96.0Defence85.6 · 102.5Shooting48.1% · 51.3%3-point %29.5% · 37.5%Ball care8.8% · 12.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Pistoia v Sassari63-86
10/11/24Sassari v Pistoia77-75
14/01/24Sassari v Pistoia107-69
19/11/23Pistoia v Sassari68-63
04/01/20Pistoia v Sassari70-78
17/03/19Pistoia v Sassari82-90 OT
18/11/18Sassari v Pistoia111-113
15/04/18Pistoia v Sassari69-80
16/12/17Sassari v Pistoia88-81
04/03/17Sassari v Pistoia81-75
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUrania Milano79-65
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPesaro96-87 OT
07/11/26ACividale67-70
01/11/26HCaserta95-75
25/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia61-79
21/10/26HRimini67-84
17/10/26HCento80-70
10/10/26AMestre87-74
04/10/26HMontecatini72-81
27/09/26AUrania Milano70-68
10/05/26ABrescia71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.677.078.0
Allowed / game69.172.566.8
Point differential+8.5+4.5+11.2
Avg total146.7149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game77.282.071.2
Allowed / game76.479.472.8
Point differential+0.8+2.6-1.5
Avg total153.7161.4144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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