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Pistoia vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 82-90 (OT)
23-21 23-18 13-17 19-22 4-12
Position#16
Record5-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game83.5
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record9-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Sassari
23 Dec 2026
PIS v SAS
upcoming
06 Apr 2025
PIS63
SAS86
19 Nov 2023
PIS68
SAS63
04 Jan 2020
PIS70
SAS78
17 Mar 2019
PIS82
SAS90
15 Apr 2018
PIS69
SAS80
05 Nov 2016
PIS68
SAS69
24 Apr 2016
PIS77
SAS68
20 Oct 2014
PIS81
SAS84
02 Feb 2014
PIS81
SAS69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A13/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A27/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
16-12
18-21
16-22
17-26
18-24
21-25
23-25
23-17
13-18
16-16
19-14
19-20
25-17
18-26
16-19
17-30
29-16
16-14
15-21
21-20
23-24
10-23
18-28
–
–
–
–
12-18
19-28
20-22
19-12
22-24
14-16
25-25
16-25
26-23
19-29
21-17
14-21
145.5Avg total
69.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.883.5158.3-8.824%
Season at home (10)67.574.2141.7-6.730%
Season away (11)81.492.0173.4-10.618%
Last 10 (10)69.476.1145.5-6.720%
Last 5 (5)63.871.0134.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.983.7158.6-8.827%
vs Similar (4)77.580.2157.8-2.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H03/02
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
93-81
93
81
+12
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
L
83-102
83
102
-19
A10/02
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H16/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#3
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H03/03
Lega A
Leiden
#22
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
A10/03
Lega A
Leiden
#22
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
20-14
26-23
15-17
20-18
23-29
25-19
23-25
30-21
20-30
19-17
24-13
20-33
26-24
14-24
23-21
20-29
21-28
25-18
23-13
28-32
18-22
14-20
26-13
–
–
–
–
21-13
21-26
34-26
21-28
23-27
15-27
23-21
29-23
25-22
17-17
20-12
32-17
161.8Avg total
80.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.382.6167.0+1.743%
Season at home (10)86.381.2167.5+5.150%
Season away (11)82.583.9166.5-1.436%
Last 10 (10)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)73.473.2146.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)79.084.7163.7-5.711%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.079.9169.9+10.170%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
PistoiaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H20/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A27/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A10/03
Lega A
82.0Avg total
39.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.442.381.8-2.934%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.740.778.4-3.036%-
Last 30 away (15)41.043.984.9-2.933%-
Last 10 (9)39.242.882.0-3.633%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.686.0-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.142.982.0-3.832%-
vs Similar (4)41.238.880.0+2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H03/02
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Torino
#13
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/02
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#2
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H16/02
Italian Cup
Leiden
#22
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A10/03
Lega A
Leiden
#22
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
90.3Avg total
42.9Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.341.284.6+2.155%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.440.586.9+5.869%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.882.7-0.944%-
Last 10 (9)42.947.490.3-4.633%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.690.4-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.545.086.5-3.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.239.083.2+5.270%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.6
48.5%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.2
32.0%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
72.3%13.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.4
55.0%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.4
37.7%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
72.3%14.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLWLLLWLL
Sassari
WLWLLWLWLW
#16
League position
#4
-13.1
Net rating
+6.2
98.6
Offensive rating
119.0
111.7
Defensive rating
112.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
37.7%
57.8%
Assist %
60.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 119.0Defence111.7 · 112.8Shooting48.3% · 55.6%3-point %32.0% · 37.7%Ball care19.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
18/11/18Sassari v Pistoia111-113
15/04/18Pistoia v Sassari69-80
16/12/17Sassari v Pistoia88-81
04/03/17Sassari v Pistoia81-75
05/11/16Pistoia v Sassari68-69
24/04/16Pistoia v Sassari77-68
27/12/15Sassari v Pistoia80-75
01/02/15Sassari v Pistoia96-78
20/10/14Pistoia v Sassari81-84
02/02/14Pistoia v Sassari81-69
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19ACremona80-90
03/03/19HTrieste77-90
10/02/19ABrindisi70-80
04/02/19HOlimpia Milano20-0
27/01/19AVenezia72-95
20/01/19HPesaro77-81
13/01/19AAvellino78-82
06/01/19HVarese71-65
30/12/18ACantu79-100
26/12/18HTrento70-78
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/19HLeiden94-68
10/03/19AVenezia90-98
06/03/19ALeiden97-93
03/03/19HCremona0-20
16/02/19HBrindisi86-87
15/02/19AVenezia89-88
10/02/19ATorino83-102
06/02/19HAEK Larnaca93-81
03/02/19HBrindisi98-103 OT
30/01/19AVarese79-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLWLWL30%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game74.867.581.4
Allowed / game83.574.292.0
Point differential-8.8-6.7-10.6
Avg total158.3141.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game84.386.382.5
Allowed / game82.681.283.9
Point differential+1.7+5.1-1.4
Avg total167.0167.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2216673%82.573.5+8.9
3 Cremona2214864%82.578.2+4.3
4 Brindisi2113862%82.678.8+3.9
5 Avellino2113862%80.381.0-0.7
6 Varese2213959%79.374.8+4.5
7 Trento22121055%79.380.8-1.5
8 Cantu22121055%84.686.5-1.9
9 Trieste22111150%87.084.0+3.0
10 Virtus Bologna22111150%81.281.6-0.4
11 Sassari2191243%84.382.6+1.7
12 Brescia2191243%78.380.1-1.8
13 Torino2261627%82.987.3-4.4
14 Pesaro2261627%81.093.0-12.1
15 Reggiana2151624%78.183.0-4.9
16 Pistoia2151624%74.883.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pistoia23231319482
Sassari211817221290
← all games of the day
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