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Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-74
34-40 42-34
Position#72
Record9-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#117
Record9-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pittsburgh v North Carolina
28 Jan 2025
PITT73
NORT65
02 Jan 2024
PITT57
NORT70
30 Dec 2022
PITT76
NORT74
26 Jan 2021
PITT65
NORT75
18 Jan 2020
PITT66
NORT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H23/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
87-58
87
58
+29
A29/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A03/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A08/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
91-66
91
66
+25
H10/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
43-41
31-34
42-20
35-28
48-33
33-37
47-27
37-28
50-30
33-28
35-32
34-34
40-41
41-36
50-30
39-25
43-31
41-33
43-49
143.6Avg total
78.9Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.867.5143.2+8.369%
Season at home (8)75.666.4142.0+9.275%
Season away (5)76.069.2145.2+6.860%
Last 10 (10)78.964.7143.6+14.280%
Last 5 (5)79.867.8147.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)59.672.4132.1-12.821%
vs Similar ◀ (10)69.967.0136.9+2.960%
vs Weaker (6)80.766.2146.8+14.583%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
35-38
40-38
49-43
34-32
31-38
34-37
43-40
29-35
36-42
27-37
45-43
39-26
36-33
48-33
52-34
35-44
44-35
41-34
39-42
157.7Avg total
81.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.574.5156.0+6.969%
Season at home (7)82.667.7150.3+14.9100%
Season away (6)80.282.5162.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)81.676.1157.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)83.273.2156.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.480.2164.7+4.267%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.369.5140.7+1.864%
vs Weaker (10)82.567.9150.4+14.690%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +10.7+10.72nd half: +2.2+2.2
PittsburghNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A18/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H23/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A29/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H10/12
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.8Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.333.262.5-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.734.364.0-4.629%-
Last 30 away (13)28.831.760.5-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)34.831.366.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.268.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)24.634.459.0-9.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.631.563.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (6)36.533.269.7+3.350%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/12
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H22/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.568.5+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.429.868.1+8.669%-
Last 30 away (14)35.433.669.0+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.271.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.872.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.035.072.0+2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.430.162.5+2.364%-
vs Weaker (10)42.130.072.1+12.180%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pittsburgh wins
1
North Carolina wins
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22ASyracuse84-82
17/12/22HNorth Florida82-56
10/12/22HSacred Heart91-66
08/12/22AVanderbilt74-75
03/12/22ANC State68-60
29/11/22ANorthwestern87-58
26/11/22HWilliam & Mary80-64
23/11/22HFairleigh Dickinson83-61
20/11/22HAlabama State73-54
18/11/22AVCU Rams67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HMichigan80-76
17/12/22AOhio State89-84 OT
14/12/22HCitadel100-67
10/12/22HGeorgia Tech75-59
04/12/22AVirginia Tech72-80
01/12/22AIndiana65-77
27/11/22AAlabama101-103 OT
25/11/22AIowa State65-70
24/11/22APortland89-81
20/11/22HJames Madison80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%75%60%
Points / game75.875.676.0
Allowed / game67.566.469.2
Point differential+8.3+9.2+6.8
Avg total143.2142.0145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%100%33%
Points / game81.582.680.2
Allowed / game74.567.782.5
Point differential+6.9+14.9-2.3
Avg total156.0150.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %15%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1311285%75.462.9+12.5
2 Virginia119282%69.858.5+11.3
3 NC State1411379%80.667.6+13.1
4 Duke1310377%72.960.4+12.5
5 Clemson1310377%75.866.5+9.3
6 Pittsburgh139469%75.867.5+8.3
7 North Carolina139469%81.574.5+6.9
8 Miami (FL)2618869%77.271.3+5.9
9 Wake Forest139469%75.570.8+4.8
10 Syracuse138562%75.369.4+5.9
11 Notre Dame138562%70.567.8+2.7
12 Georgia Tech127558%72.568.2+4.3
13 Boston College137654%64.366.9-2.6
14 Stanford135838%68.364.5+3.8
15 SMU Mustangs135838%68.270.3-2.1
16 Florida State1441029%68.773.2-4.5
17 Louisville1321115%61.473.5-12.1
18 California141137%58.065.7-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh344276
North Carolina403474
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