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Pittsburgh vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 73-65
42-44 31-21
Position#173
Record13-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#111
Record13-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pittsburgh v North Carolina
28 Jan 2025
PITT73
NORT65
02 Jan 2024
PITT57
NORT70
30 Dec 2022
PITT76
NORT74
26 Jan 2021
PITT65
NORT75
18 Jan 2020
PITT66
NORT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
110-78
110
78
+32
H21/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A16/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-36
36-23
39-36
57-20
52-40
58-38
38-42
48-32
38-30
45-38
24-34
23-42
34-35
44-47
23-28
47-54
30-40
36-26
32-33
45-40
151.2Avg total
78.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.270.9151.2+9.368%
Season at home (11)88.166.7154.8+21.482%
Season away (8)69.476.8146.1-7.450%
Last 10 (10)78.672.6151.2+6.060%
Last 5 (5)69.478.2147.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.778.3144.0-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.473.5150.8+3.954%
vs Weaker (14)82.365.7148.0+16.6100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A04/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H08/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A11/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H16/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
44-34
40-29
57-52
31-37
39-46
39-32
35-41
39-24
43-43
26-20
37-41
39-29
40-24
36-35
35-37
31-29
35-38
46-45
43-44
150.7Avg total
78.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.576.4158.9+6.162%
Season at home (13)86.476.5162.9+9.869%
Season away (8)76.176.1152.2+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.072.7150.7+5.370%
Last 5 (5)76.269.8146.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.389.7172.0-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.279.2160.3+2.054%
vs Weaker (14)84.267.3151.5+16.993%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +0.8+0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +7.9+7.92nd half: +0.8+0.8
PittsburghNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H18/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A25/01
NCAA
69.2Avg total
33.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.768.8+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.431.470.8+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)32.234.266.4-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.469.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)28.634.062.6-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.333.763.0-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.834.169.8+1.762%-
vs Weaker (14)37.731.369.0+6.464%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#66
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A04/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H08/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A11/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NCAA
67.9Avg total
35.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.673.7+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.635.575.1+4.071%-
Last 30 away (9)34.735.870.4-1.156%-
Last 10 (10)35.932.067.9+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.667.2+4.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.076.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.837.875.7+0.054%-
vs Weaker (14)39.431.971.3+7.493%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pittsburgh wins
3
North Carolina wins
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ASyracuse77-73
18/01/25HClemson75-78 OT
16/01/25AFlorida State70-82
11/01/25HLouisville78-82
08/01/25ADuke47-76
04/01/25HStanford83-68
01/01/25HCalifornia86-74
21/12/24HSam Houston St.110-78
12/12/24HEastern Kentucky96-56
07/12/24AVirginia Tech64-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HBoston College102-96 OT
22/01/25AWake Forest66-67
18/01/25HStanford71-72
16/01/25HCalifornia79-53
11/01/25ANC State63-61
08/01/25HSMU Mustangs82-67
04/01/25ANotre Dame74-73
01/01/25ALouisville70-83
30/12/24HCampbell97-81
21/12/24AUCLA76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW68%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %68%82%50%
Points / game80.288.169.4
Allowed / game70.966.776.8
Point differential+9.3+21.4-7.4
Avg total151.2154.8146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%82%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %62%69%50%
Points / game82.586.476.1
Allowed / game76.476.576.1
Point differential+6.1+9.8+0.0
Avg total158.9162.9152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2018290%80.059.5+20.4
2 Clemson2117481%77.466.5+10.9
3 Louisville2116576%79.069.2+9.8
4 SMU Mustangs2015575%83.172.2+10.9
5 Wake Forest2115671%69.465.9+3.6
6 Stanford2014670%77.070.2+6.8
7 Pittsburgh1913668%80.270.9+9.3
8 Florida State2013765%77.870.9+6.9
9 North Carolina2113862%82.576.4+6.1
10 California2011955%76.275.5+0.7
11 Notre Dame1991047%74.870.5+4.3
12 NC State2091145%70.267.2+3.0
13 Georgia Tech2091145%74.773.5+1.2
14 Virginia2091145%61.964.5-2.6
15 Syracuse2091145%74.878.0-3.1
16 Boston College2091145%70.875.3-4.5
17 Virginia Tech2081240%69.572.9-3.5
18 Miami (FL)2041620%75.780.6-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh423173
North Carolina442165
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