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Vardar vs Pelister Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-86
15-22 22-19 16-22 21-23
Position#10
Record3-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game95.2
Vardar
Macedonia
vs
Pelister 🏆
Macedonia
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.5
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 20· SRC Kale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vardar v Pelister
13 Mar 2024
VARD74
PEL86
30 Jan 2021
VARD80
PEL105
16 Nov 2019
VARD71
PEL95
08 May 2019
VARD86
PEL83
18 Nov 2018
VARD65
PEL63
18 Mar 2017
VARD81
PEL85
27 Nov 2016
VARD71
PEL77
12 Apr 2014
VARD101
PEL74
19 Feb 2014
VARD76
PEL68
23 Mar 2013
VARD69
PEL74
11 Nov 2012
VARD67
PEL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pelister winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
46avg 62
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 62
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 62
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 62
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 62
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 62
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 62
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 62
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 62
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 62
A09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-34
23-24
16-23
10-15
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
169.7Avg total
72.4Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.295.2169.4-21.016%
Season at home (9)76.396.1172.4-19.822%
Season away (10)72.394.4166.7-22.110%
Last 10 (10)72.497.3169.7-24.90%
Last 5 (5)69.095.2164.2-26.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.392.4162.7-22.18%
vs Similar (4)86.885.8172.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelister) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelister
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#14
W
85-78 OT
85
78
+7
78avg 75
A31/01
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
76avg 75
H02/02
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#10
L
78-79
78
79
-1
73avg 75
A04/02
ABA League 2
Ohrid
#12
W
85-77
85
77
+8
82avg 75
A07/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
62avg 75
H10/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 75
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Tikvesh
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
74avg 75
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
MZT Skopje
#1
L
60-62
60
62
-2
55avg 75
A17/02
Macedonian Cup
TFT Skopje
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
57avg 75
A02/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
85-55
85
55
+30
80avg 75
H09/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
23-23
16-15
16-13
24-26
20-11
20-26
19-18
16-24
25-21
16-20
21-14
25-18
22-20
20-19
18-20
10-22
21-15
23-15
17-15
20-16
18-19
24-16
19-19
18-13
21-23
16-18
23-14
9-13
27-18
16-18
8-13
22-19
11-15
10-17
23-26
18-11
23-15
22-19
22-10
148.6Avg total
77.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.274.5157.7+8.768%
Season at home (10)86.871.8158.6+15.080%
Season away (9)79.277.6156.8+1.756%
Last 10 (10)77.271.4148.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)74.066.4140.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.479.9154.3-5.429%
vs Similar (9)76.673.7150.2+2.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.273.4159.6+12.892%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
VardarPelister
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H02/12
Prva Liga
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
87.2Avg total
36.5Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.847.083.8-10.214%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.447.985.3-10.517%-
Last 30 away (17)36.446.382.6-9.912%-
Last 10 (10)36.550.787.2-14.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.847.080.8-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.047.783.7-11.612%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pelister) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PelisterLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A31/01
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H02/02
ABA League 2
Sutjeska
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/02
ABA League 2
Ohrid
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A07/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H10/02
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Tikvesh
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
MZT Skopje
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A17/02
Macedonian Cup
TFT Skopje
#6
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H09/03
Prva Liga
74.7Avg total
38.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.376.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.376.2+7.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.377.5+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.074.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.469.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.736.774.4+1.071%-
vs Similar (9)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.835.879.5+8.069%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
53.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.1
28.5%
32.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.111.3
62.4%
70.3%11.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pelistertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelister: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.0
52.9%
53.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
32.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.9
72.9%
70.3%12.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
Pelister
WLLWWWWLWW
#10
League position
#3
-31.5
Net rating
+8.0
88.9
Offensive rating
105.0
120.4
Defensive rating
97.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.5%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.5%
3-point %
33.2%
57.7%
Assist %
62.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 105.0Defence120.4 · 97.1Shooting46.4% · 51.5%3-point %28.5% · 33.2%Ball care21.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds24.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Vardar   ■ Pelister
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vardar wins
8
Pelister wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Pelister v Vardar116-74
30/01/21Vardar v Pelister80-105
10/12/20Pelister v Vardar122-72
08/02/20Pelister v Vardar96-81
16/11/19Vardar v Pelister71-95
08/05/19Vardar v Pelister86-83
06/04/19Pelister v Vardar81-74
15/03/19Pelister v Vardar98-80
18/11/18Vardar v Pelister65-63
08/04/17Pelister v Vardar77-70
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116
02/12/23HMZT Skopje61-96
Pelisterlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HCair 203085-55
02/03/24ATFT Skopje66-77
17/02/24AMZT Skopje60-62
16/02/24HTikvesh78-68
15/02/24HFeniks 201081-70
10/02/24HFeniks 201071-67
07/02/24AOhrid85-77
04/02/24ASutjeska78-79
02/02/24HHelios Domzale83-81
31/01/24AGKK Sibenka85-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%22%10%
Points / game74.276.372.3
Allowed / game95.296.194.4
Point differential-21.0-19.8-22.1
Avg total169.4172.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pelister
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW68%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game83.286.879.2
Allowed / game74.571.877.6
Point differential+8.7+15.0+1.7
Avg total157.7158.6156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki1915479%88.773.8+14.9
2 MZT Skopje1915479%80.668.5+12.2
3 Tikvesh1913668%86.875.5+11.3
4 Pelister1913668%83.274.5+8.7
5 Cair 20301913668%83.877.3+6.5
6 TFT Skopje1912763%74.471.1+3.3
7 Feniks 20101911858%83.378.6+4.6
8 Gostivar1961332%79.985.1-5.2
9 Kozuv1951426%77.679.0-1.4
10 Ohrid1941521%74.188.6-14.6
11 FMP Akademija1941521%75.094.4-19.4
12 Vardar1931616%74.295.2-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vardar1522162174
Pelister2219222386
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