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Podstrana vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-67
18-24 19-26 19-6 16-11
Position#14
Record1-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#11
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game86.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 10· Dvorana KK Split
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podstrana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
65-94
65
94
-29
51avg 62
H08/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
57-99
57
99
-42
44avg 62
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 62
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 62
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 62
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 62
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
61avg 62
A03/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
17-20
15-24
15-25
8-26
17-18
22-26
10-29
11-25
20-21
21-20
21-22
29-12
14-25
21-14
24-24
18-16
24-24
17-19
16-16
16-26
22-22
25-16
13-18
12-26
22-20
15-30
25-16
22-29
23-29
22-16
12-19
162.4Avg total
73.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.988.5162.4-14.612%
Season at home (4)75.087.2162.2-12.225%
Season away (4)72.889.8162.5-17.00%
Last 10 (8)73.988.5162.4-14.612%
Last 5 (5)79.285.4164.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.689.4163.0-15.914%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 69
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 69
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 69
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 69
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 69
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 69
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
47avg 69
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 69
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 69
H02/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
19-16
20-15
30-18
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
19-22
28-15
12-29
23-23
30-23
17-22
14-25
15-28
28-19
21-18
24-15
21-16
11-17
23-16
9-24
20-25
22-17
17-17
12-21
23-23
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
166.2Avg total
80.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.286.7164.9-8.422%
Season at home (5)71.890.6162.4-18.80%
Season away (4)86.281.8168.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.885.4166.2-4.630%
Last 5 (5)74.682.6157.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.589.0162.5-15.50%
vs Similar (12)83.885.7169.4-1.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)98.079.0177.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
PodstranaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A03/12
Prva Liga
82.1Avg total
36.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)36.645.582.1-8.925%-
Last 30 at home (4)35.843.579.2-7.825%-
Last 30 away (4)37.547.585.0-10.025%-
Last 10 (8)36.645.582.1-8.925%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.886.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.445.181.6-8.729%-
vs Similar (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
85.4Avg total
42.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.186.1+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.141.986.1+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)43.842.386.1+1.573%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.785.4+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.144.183.2-5.040%-
vs Similar (12)43.842.886.5+1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)50.438.889.1+11.6100%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.420.1
45.3%
52.9%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.1%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws11.18.1
73.1%
71.2%8.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.7 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.3
51.7%
52.9%46.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.9
30.1%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.811.2
66.9%
71.2%11.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/9 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podstrana
LLLLWLLL
Mladost
LLLWLLLLWW
#14
League position
#11
-18.8
Net rating
-9.3
92.8
Offensive rating
98.5
111.6
Defensive rating
107.9
46.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
21.2%
Turnover %
21.4%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
30.1%
48.2%
Assist %
54.4%
12%
Form (last 8/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 98.5Defence111.6 · 107.9Shooting46.9% · 49.5%3-point %33.1% · 30.1%Ball care21.2% · 21.4%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.16 · 0.25Form (last 8/10)12% · 30%
■ Podstrana   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Podstrana wins
0
Mladost wins
No previous meetings.
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23AHermes79-93
26/11/23HOsijek74-92
18/11/23ACrikvenica76-82
04/11/23AKK Zagreb79-85 OT
29/10/23HMarsonia88-75
22/10/23HSamobor73-88
14/10/23AKvarner57-99
08/10/23HOmis65-94
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HKvarner66-87
25/11/23AOmis74-78
19/11/23HGorica63-82
11/11/23AStoja94-68
04/11/23HKastela76-98
27/10/23HSamobor82-89
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
13/05/23ASonik Puntamika104-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.975.072.8
Allowed / game88.587.289.8
Point differential-14.6-12.2-17.0
Avg total162.4162.2162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%25%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%0%50%
Points / game78.271.886.2
Allowed / game86.790.681.8
Point differential-8.4-18.8+4.5
Avg total164.9162.4168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner109190%91.975.3+16.6
2 Osijek109190%88.173.6+14.5
3 KK Zagreb108280%82.669.0+13.6
4 Gorica96367%80.372.3+8.0
5 Omis106460%78.076.8+1.2
6 Hermes95456%88.987.7+1.2
7 Jazine95456%87.490.2-2.8
8 Kastela105550%79.776.7+3.0
9 Samobor94544%76.283.1-6.9
10 Marsonia92722%80.487.0-6.6
11 Mladost92722%78.286.7-8.4
12 Stoja102820%82.190.1-8.0
13 Crikvenica102820%72.587.8-15.3
14 Podstrana81712%73.988.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podstrana1819191672
Mladost242661167
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