PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mladost vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-98
30-23 17-22 14-25 15-28
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#6
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game81.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 5· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mladost v Kastela
26 Apr 2026
MLAD59
KAST63
15 Mar 2026
MLAD52
KAST74
30 Apr 2025
MLAD71
KAST67
24 Apr 2025
MLAD72
KAST64
19 Jan 2025
MLAD94
KAST93
04 Nov 2023
MLAD76
KAST98
06 Nov 2022
MLAD75
KAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
H15/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
111-99
111
99
+12
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 71
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 71
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 71
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 71
H27/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-7
18-25
17-23
19-25
18-29
19-25
15-26
20-18
31-26
29-20
25-30
26-23
25-14
17-26
16-20
16-24
20-29
19-15
22-23
13-25
35-25
19-16
20-15
30-18
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
19-22
28-15
12-29
23-23
174.3Avg total
84.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.891.8174.5-9.025%
Season at home (2)77.093.0170.0-16.00%
Season away (2)88.590.5179.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.989.4174.3-4.540%
Last 5 (5)87.088.2175.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.290.0165.2-14.80%
vs Similar (12)84.489.6174.0-5.225%
vs Weaker (9)95.978.3174.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
W
74-72 OT
74
72
+2
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
61-58
61
58
+3
no box
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
W
91-86
91
86
+5
no box
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 74
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 74
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 74
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 74
H28/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
14-21
28-12
9-17
13-20
16-12
9-11
23-15
11-29
20-14
21-21
15-22
14-16
14-25
24-22
22-28
18-21
15-14
20-29
17-19
14-23
27-20
23-19
27-24
20-26
34-20
22-20
13-24
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
32-21
18-19
13-21
17-25
156.8Avg total
76.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.081.8163.8+0.225%
Season at home (3)79.779.0158.7+0.733%
Season away (1)89.090.0179.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)76.580.3156.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)83.882.6166.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.778.1150.8-5.433%
vs Similar (6)81.380.5161.8+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.569.8150.3+10.793%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
MladostKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H15/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
Prva Liga
90.0Avg total
45.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.287.1+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.443.287.6+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.443.286.6+0.162%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.990.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.691.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.445.784.1-7.222%-
vs Similar (12)43.845.288.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)49.338.287.6+11.1100%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H07/05
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A10/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A13/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H17/05
Prva Liga
Zabok
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/05
Premijer liga
Jazine
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A08/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/10
Prva Liga
78.1Avg total
38.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.576.5+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.934.973.8+4.171%-
Last 30 away (13)38.941.079.9-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.978.1-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.689.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.439.774.1-5.211%-
vs Similar (6)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.235.576.7+5.780%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.5 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.525.2
51.0%
52.9%50.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.5
28.9%
32.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.0%
71.2%12.8
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.3%
52.9%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.2
34.9%
32.9%33.8
🏀 Free throws12.09.2
77.1%
71.2%9.2
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LLLWWLLWLW
Kastela
LLWLWLLLWW
#11
League position
#6
-9.9
Net rating
-0.6
99.1
Offensive rating
104.1
108.9
Defensive rating
104.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
22.4%
Turnover %
16.6%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.17
28.9%
3-point %
34.9%
53.5%
Assist %
69.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 104.1Defence108.9 · 104.8Shooting48.6% · 51.8%3-point %28.9% · 34.9%Ball care22.4% · 16.6%Off. rebounds35.7% · 24.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mladost   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mladost wins
2
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Kastela v Mladost70-57
06/11/22Mladost v Kastela75-83
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HSamobor82-89
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
13/05/23ASonik Puntamika104-74
11/05/23HHermes74-92
29/04/23AJazine74-84
26/04/23HSamobor111-99
22/04/23AStoja72-98
15/04/23HSonik Puntamika83-80
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HHermes80-86
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72
08/10/23AJazine89-90
27/05/23AZabok91-86
24/05/23HZabok70-83
17/05/23HDubrovnik74-91
13/05/23ADubrovnik67-86
10/05/23AOmis61-58
07/05/23HOsijek74-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game82.877.088.5
Allowed / game91.893.090.5
Point differential-9.0-16.0-2.0
Avg total174.5170.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game82.079.789.0
Allowed / game81.879.090.0
Point differential+0.2+0.7-1.0
Avg total163.8158.7179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner440100%93.874.5+19.2
2 Osijek550100%90.074.4+15.6
3 KK Zagreb54180%83.065.8+17.2
4 Hermes43175%86.585.5+1.0
5 Gorica53260%76.871.0+5.8
6 Omis42250%75.576.5-1.0
7 Samobor42250%80.582.5-2.0
8 Jazine42250%91.296.5-5.2
9 Kastela41325%82.081.8+0.2
10 Mladost41325%82.891.8-9.0
11 Marsonia41325%76.586.2-9.8
12 Crikvenica41325%71.881.8-10.0
13 Podstrana51420%72.488.2-15.8
14 Stoja4040%84.096.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost3017141576
Kastela2322252898
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.