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Mladost vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 82-89
19-22 28-15 12-29 23-23
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game92.7
vs
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
Position#5
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 4· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mladost v Samobor
10 May 2025
MLAD74
SAMO86
16 Feb 2025
MLAD94
SAMO88
27 Oct 2023
MLAD82
SAMO89
26 Apr 2023
MLAD111
SAMO99
08 Mar 2023
MLAD99
SAMO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
112-108 OT
112
108
+4
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
H15/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
111-99
111
99
+12
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 72
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 72
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 72
A21/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
25-28
15-28
24-17
29-7
18-25
17-23
19-25
18-29
19-25
15-26
20-18
31-26
29-20
25-30
26-23
25-14
17-26
16-20
16-24
20-29
19-15
22-23
13-25
35-25
19-16
20-15
30-18
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
179.2Avg total
87.9Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.092.7175.7-9.733%
Season at home (1)72.097.0169.0-25.00%
Season away (2)88.590.5179.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)87.991.3179.2-3.450%
Last 5 (5)85.488.8174.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.489.3163.8-14.90%
vs Similar (12)84.489.6174.0-5.225%
vs Weaker (9)95.978.3174.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
99-90
99
90
+9
no box
A11/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
H15/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 71
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 71
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 71
A22/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
28-25
19-30
28-19
18-26
16-24
25-16
26-20
21-24
25-17
14-29
29-22
26-31
20-29
30-25
23-26
23-22
25-18
21-23
22-16
30-12
16-22
26-18
22-21
16-24
20-21
20-21
19-18
17-21
23-22
17-28
13-20
19-25
18-23
20-22
18-14
25-11
21-20
20-21
22-21
172.8Avg total
86.5Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.782.7160.3-5.033%
Season at home (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Season away (2)79.082.0161.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)86.586.3172.8+0.240%
Last 5 (5)80.481.0161.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)74.888.4163.2-13.712%
vs Similar (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.276.6162.8+9.680%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
MladostSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hermes
#6
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H15/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A22/04
Prva Liga
Samobor
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
92.4Avg total
46.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.687.3+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.188.1+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)43.443.286.6+0.162%-
Last 10 (10)46.146.392.4-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.648.091.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.047.085.0-9.011%-
vs Similar (12)43.845.288.9-1.450%-
vs Weaker (9)49.338.287.6+11.1100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H15/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H20/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Prva Liga
86.4Avg total
43.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.342.880.0-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.441.378.6-3.936%-
Last 30 away (16)37.244.181.2-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)43.143.386.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.281.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)36.044.180.1-8.221%-
vs Similar (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.635.278.8+8.480%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.026.0
53.1%
52.9%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.3
29.2%
32.9%19.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.5%
71.2%12.0
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.3 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.7
52.5%
52.9%49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.0
25.7%
32.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.710.3
62.0%
71.2%10.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
LLWWLLWLWW
Samobor
WLLLWWLLLW
#11
League position
#5
-11.4
Net rating
-6.7
101.1
Offensive rating
96.9
112.4
Defensive rating
103.6
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.9%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
23.1%
Turnover %
22.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.2%
3-point %
25.7%
47.4%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 96.9Defence112.4 · 103.6Shooting50.2% · 47.9%3-point %29.2% · 25.7%Ball care23.1% · 22.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 37.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mladost   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mladost wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
26/04/23Mladost v Samobor111-99
25/03/23Samobor v Mladost75-109
08/03/23Mladost v Samobor99-76
03/12/22Samobor v Mladost73-79
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
13/05/23ASonik Puntamika104-74
11/05/23HHermes74-92
29/04/23AJazine74-84
26/04/23HSamobor111-99
22/04/23AStoja72-98
15/04/23HSonik Puntamika83-80
12/04/23AHermes112-108 OT
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23APodstrana88-73
12/10/23HHermes75-84
08/10/23AKvarner70-91
13/05/23AJazine75-84
10/05/23HSonik Puntamika94-73
29/04/23HStoja91-79
26/04/23AMladost99-111
20/04/23HHermes89-92
15/04/23HJazine85-86
11/04/23ASonik Puntamika99-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game83.072.088.5
Allowed / game92.797.090.5
Point differential-9.7-25.0-2.0
Avg total175.7169.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.775.079.0
Allowed / game82.784.082.0
Point differential-5.0-9.0-3.0
Avg total160.3159.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Zagreb330100%84.355.7+28.7
2 Kvarner330100%97.373.7+23.7
3 Osijek330100%92.071.7+20.3
4 Gorica32167%74.768.3+6.3
5 Hermes32167%86.787.3-0.7
6 Jazine32167%93.096.3-3.3
7 Kastela31233%82.780.3+2.3
8 Omis31233%68.373.3-5.0
9 Samobor31233%77.782.7-5.0
10 Crikvenica31233%73.781.3-7.7
11 Marsonia31233%77.085.7-8.7
12 Mladost31233%83.092.7-9.7
13 Stoja3030%85.398.0-12.7
14 Podstrana3030%65.093.7-28.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost1928122382
Samobor2215292389
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