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Mladost vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 63-82
11-17 23-16 9-24 20-25
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game88.8
vs
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
Position#4
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game73.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 7· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mladost v Gorica
20 Dec 2025
MLAD73
GORI67
01 Mar 2025
MLAD88
GORI83
19 Nov 2023
MLAD63
GORI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
111-99
111
99
+12
no box
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
74-92
74
92
-18
no box
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
77avg 74
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
63avg 74
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
87-107
87
107
-20
76avg 74
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 74
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 74
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 74
A11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
29-20
25-30
26-23
25-14
17-26
16-20
16-24
20-29
19-15
22-23
13-25
35-25
19-16
20-15
30-18
18-21
25-15
21-21
26-17
23-30
14-23
21-26
14-18
25-36
20-30
21-16
21-25
19-22
28-15
12-29
23-23
30-23
17-22
14-25
15-28
28-19
21-18
24-15
21-16
174.6Avg total
86.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.588.8172.3-5.333%
Season at home (3)76.794.7171.3-18.00%
Season away (3)90.383.0173.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)86.488.2174.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)82.291.8174.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.890.1165.9-14.40%
vs Similar (13)85.287.9173.1-2.831%
vs Weaker (9)95.978.3174.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Bosco
#11
L
80-96
80
96
-16
no box
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
no box
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
80avg 76
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
53avg 76
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
75avg 76
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
78avg 76
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
44-100
44
100
-56
no box
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 76
H11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
23-25
20-32
16-18
24-25
14-23
25-21
20-21
19-16
17-15
17-15
20-33
19-21
21-8
16-13
24-18
18-9
19-21
14-23
10-25
17-12
30-18
15-17
21-20
25-7
23-9
22-27
13-23
12-28
10-26
12-23
10-23
21-19
22-6
9-18
12-21
18-35
21-16
23-17
37-19
157.0Avg total
76.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.573.7154.2+6.867%
Season at home (3)81.077.0158.0+4.067%
Season away (3)80.070.3150.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)76.380.7157.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)77.280.8158.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.090.7165.7-15.710%
vs Similar (16)82.180.5162.6+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.371.0158.3+16.3100%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.8-3.8
MladostGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H26/04
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/04
Prva Liga
Hermes
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H11/05
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A13/05
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H14/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A21/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H27/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
90.8Avg total
46.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.842.987.6+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.342.988.2+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.342.887.1+1.569%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.590.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.047.692.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.645.486.0-4.838%-
vs Similar (13)44.244.588.7-0.454%-
vs Weaker (9)49.338.287.6+11.1100%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosco
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H26/04
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H30/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A07/05
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A08/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H14/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-16
48
16
+32
H28/10
Prva Liga
LTH Castings
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H30/10
Slovenian Cup
Osijek
#2
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A04/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
75.4Avg total
39.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.578.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.038.778.7+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.938.378.2+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.075.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.275.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.541.779.2-4.230%-
vs Similar (16)42.236.878.9+5.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.332.074.3+10.367%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.724.7
52.9%
52.9%49.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.5
31.5%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.2
67.6%
71.2%12.2
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.2
57.7%
52.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.4
27.4%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
71.2%12.0
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
WLLLLWWLLW
Gorica
WLLWWLWLLL
#11
League position
#4
-5.2
Net rating
+13.1
104.4
Offensive rating
107.5
109.5
Defensive rating
94.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
36.9%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.5%
3-point %
27.4%
54.9%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 107.5Defence109.5 · 94.4Shooting50.9% · 51.0%3-point %31.5% · 27.4%Ball care21.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds36.9% · 34.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Mladost   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mladost wins
0
Gorica wins
No previous meetings.
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AStoja94-68
04/11/23HKastela76-98
27/10/23HSamobor82-89
21/10/23AHermes87-107
14/10/23HOsijek72-97
07/10/23ACrikvenica90-74
13/05/23ASonik Puntamika104-74
11/05/23HHermes74-92
29/04/23AJazine74-84
26/04/23HSamobor111-99
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HHermes99-87
04/11/23AOsijek77-84 OT
30/10/23HLTH Castings44-100
28/10/23HCrikvenica83-66
22/10/23AJazine83-67
14/10/23HKK Zagreb61-78
08/10/23AMarsonia80-60
07/05/23ADinamo Zagreb73-79
30/04/23HSkrljevo83-90
26/04/23HBosco80-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game83.576.790.3
Allowed / game88.894.783.0
Point differential-5.3-18.0+7.3
Avg total172.3171.3173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.581.080.0
Allowed / game73.777.070.3
Point differential+6.8+4.0+9.7
Avg total154.2158.0150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner76186%93.777.0+16.7
2 Osijek76186%87.976.1+11.7
3 KK Zagreb65183%82.066.7+15.3
4 Gorica64267%80.573.7+6.8
5 Kastela74357%86.177.3+8.9
6 Hermes74357%88.386.7+1.6
7 Omis74357%77.977.7+0.1
8 Jazine63350%91.597.8-6.3
9 Samobor63350%75.883.0-7.2
10 Mladost62433%83.588.8-5.3
11 Crikvenica72529%72.385.4-13.1
12 Podstrana61517%73.087.2-14.2
13 Marsonia71614%80.387.1-6.9
14 Stoja71614%83.393.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost112392063
Gorica1716242582
← all games of the day
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