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Podstrana vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-66
26-12 8-11 21-22 21-21
Position#14
Record3-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#13
Record2-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game90.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Dvorana KK Split
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podstrana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodstranaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodstrana
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
57-99
57
99
-42
44avg 62
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 62
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 62
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
79-85 OT
79
85
-6
no box
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 62
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
63avg 62
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
61avg 62
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 62
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
68-57
68
57
+11
60avg 62
H13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
59avg 62
A16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-26
17-18
22-26
10-29
11-25
20-21
21-20
21-22
29-12
14-25
21-14
24-24
18-16
24-24
17-19
16-16
16-26
22-22
25-16
13-18
12-26
22-20
15-30
25-16
22-29
23-29
22-16
12-19
18-24
19-26
19-6
16-11
19-19
16-16
20-11
13-11
15-25
16-24
20-26
21-20
157.1Avg total
73.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.084.3157.3-11.327%
Season at home (6)73.378.8152.2-5.550%
Season away (5)72.690.8163.4-18.20%
Last 10 (10)73.883.3157.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)73.080.8153.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.784.5157.2-11.830%
vs Similar (1)76.082.0158.0-6.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stoja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
117-122 OT
117
122
-5
no box
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 74
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 74
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 74
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
68-94
68
94
-26
56avg 74
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 74
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 74
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 74
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 74
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 74
H16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
23-25
25-26
12-15
16-21
16-24
22-11
15-19
21-33
15-25
28-17
16-15
28-30
22-23
20-15
23-17
19-28
18-21
15-24
16-21
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
172.3Avg total
82.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.690.2171.8-8.518%
Season at home (5)84.293.2177.4-9.020%
Season away (6)79.587.7167.2-8.217%
Last 10 (10)82.889.5172.3-6.720%
Last 5 (5)80.285.8166.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)86.495.1181.5-8.728%
vs Similar (7)77.481.6159.0-4.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
PodstranaStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodstranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A14/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A03/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/12
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/12
Prva Liga
81.4Avg total
36.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)36.045.381.3-9.318%-
Last 30 at home (6)35.843.279.0-7.317%-
Last 30 away (5)36.247.884.0-11.620%-
Last 10 (10)36.145.381.4-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.447.684.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.845.080.8-9.220%-
vs Similar (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Stoja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
H28/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A05/11
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
88.3Avg total
39.4Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.947.490.3-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.345.489.6-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.749.290.9-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)39.448.988.3-9.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.687.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.849.992.7-7.128%-
vs Similar (7)38.943.182.0-4.314%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.844.693.4+4.260%-
This opponent (Podstrana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podstranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podstrana: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.019.8
45.0%
52.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.19.0
74.4%
71.2%9.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.424.5
55.2%
52.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.36.1
35.3%
32.9%18.3
🏀 Free throws15.210.9
71.7%
71.2%10.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podstrana
LWWLLLLWLL
Stoja
LLWLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#13
-14.6
Net rating
-11.3
91.1
Offensive rating
103.6
105.7
Defensive rating
114.8
46.1%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
21.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.0%
3-point %
35.3%
48.4%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 103.6Defence105.7 · 114.8Shooting46.1% · 54.5%3-point %32.0% · 35.3%Ball care21.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 24.5%Free throws0.18 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Podstrana   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Podstrana wins
0
Stoja wins
No previous meetings.
Podstranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AKastela72-95
13/12/23HJazine68-57
10/12/23HMladost72-67
03/12/23AHermes79-93
26/11/23HOsijek74-92
18/11/23ACrikvenica76-82
04/11/23AKK Zagreb79-85 OT
29/10/23HMarsonia88-75
22/10/23HSamobor73-88
14/10/23AKvarner57-99
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88
11/11/23HMladost68-94
05/11/23AHermes93-85
28/10/23HOsijek80-90
21/10/23ACrikvenica69-75
14/10/23HJazine117-122 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podstrana
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL27%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game73.073.372.6
Allowed / game84.378.890.8
Point differential-11.3-5.5-18.2
Avg total157.3152.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%20%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game81.684.279.5
Allowed / game90.293.287.7
Point differential-8.5-9.0-8.2
Avg total171.8177.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
2 Kvarner1110191%91.875.5+16.4
3 KK Zagreb118373%82.571.9+10.5
4 Gorica117464%78.672.3+6.4
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Samobor116555%78.781.9-3.2
8 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
11 Marsonia113827%80.586.7-6.3
12 Podstrana113827%73.084.3-11.3
13 Stoja112918%81.690.2-8.5
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Podstrana268212176
Stoja1211222166
← all games of the day
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