PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pogradeci vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-114
16-11 22-30 13-41 20-32
Position#11
Record3-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game99.5
Pogradeci
Albania
vs
Tirana 🏆
Albania
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game103.3
Allowed / game79.3
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati I Sportit
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pogradeci winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PogradeciAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
W
113-111 OT
113
111
+2
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
77-116
77
116
-39
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
79-145
79
145
-66
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
86-105
86
105
-19
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H07/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A14/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H21/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H29/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H04/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
17-22
36-33
24-32
22-27
21-26
19-32
15-31
20-24
13-20
25-33
34-25
13-43
21-37
20-37
25-28
15-28
27-25
21-29
23-23
10-28
13-25
18-24
31-21
18-23
22-26
16-22
32-23
28-11
18-16
25-22
24-27
11-19
28-10
14-18
12-21
16-28
28-16
20-25
18-20
185.3Avg total
84.9Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.699.5178.1-20.914%
Season at home (10)80.398.7179.0-18.420%
Season away (11)77.1100.3177.4-23.29%
Last 10 (10)84.9100.4185.3-15.520%
Last 5 (5)80.485.0165.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.5103.7179.2-28.30%
vs Similar (2)88.5104.5193.0-16.050%
vs Weaker (4)85.581.2166.8+4.250%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
99-73
99
73
+26
A17/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H24/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A08/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H15/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
112-47
112
47
+65
H18/02
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
115-80
115
80
+35
A07/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H15/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
136-70
136
70
+66
A22/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
105-90
105
90
+15
H28/03
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
139-89
139
89
+50
H04/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
27-19
25-18
20-18
21-26
24-20
23-23
13-24
26-17
17-22
19-23
20-23
22-24
31-23
25-20
30-29
39-1
28-14
27-17
18-15
25-16
27-21
29-23
34-20
26-20
27-16
17-18
21-29
31-16
30-20
30-16
45-18
31-26
26-26
22-19
26-19
36-22
33-22
29-23
41-22
187.4Avg total
106.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)103.379.3182.6+24.086%
Season at home (12)104.276.5180.7+27.792%
Season away (9)102.183.0185.1+19.178%
Last 10 (10)106.880.6187.4+26.280%
Last 5 (5)117.282.4199.6+34.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.492.6163.0-22.20%
vs Similar (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)102.273.0175.2+29.188%
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +9.8+9.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +6.7+6.7Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
PogradeciTirana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PogradeciLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-80
34
80
-46
H06/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
23-53
23
53
-30
H07/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A14/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H21/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H04/04
Superliga
86.1Avg total
38.9Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.047.584.5-10.619%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.948.284.1-12.330%-
Last 30 away (11)37.946.984.8-9.09%-
Last 10 (10)38.947.286.1-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.451.787.1-16.37%-
vs Similar (2)35.042.577.5-7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)43.834.278.0+9.550%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A17/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H24/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A08/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H15/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
67-15
67
15
+52
H18/02
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A07/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H15/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A22/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H28/03
Superliga
Elbasani
#8
W
69-44
69
44
+25
H04/04
Superliga
94.3Avg total
55.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)50.438.388.7+12.172%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.037.888.8+13.269%-
Last 30 away (13)49.639.088.6+10.677%-
Last 10 (10)55.438.994.3+16.590%-
Last 5 (5)58.441.099.4+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.649.285.8-12.60%-
vs Similar (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)53.535.789.2+17.887%-
This opponent (Pogradeci) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pogradecitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pogradeci: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.2 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.4
56.0%
56.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.511.3
35.9%
34.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws9.06.2
68.9%
67.8%6.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.331.5
60.2%
56.4%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.5
40.5%
34.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
67.8%14.5
They take 78.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pogradeci
LLWLLLLLLW
Tirana
WWWWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#2
-24.9
Net rating
+28.1
96.9
Offensive rating
118.4
121.8
Defensive rating
90.3
55.0%
Effective FG%
60.4%
62.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
11.3%
Turnover %
8.6%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.9%
3-point %
40.5%
71.0%
Assist %
49.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 118.4Defence121.8 · 90.3Shooting55.0% · 60.4%3-point %35.9% · 40.5%Ball care11.3% · 8.6%Off. rebounds- · 18.6%Free throws0.13 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Pogradeci   ■ Tirana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pogradeci wins
1
Tirana wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Tirana v Pogradeci124-73
Pogradecilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HPartizani Tirana82-89
29/03/26HApolonia Fier65-68
21/03/26HPBC Flamurtari95-76
14/03/26ATeuta Durres88-94
07/03/26HVllaznia72-98
15/02/26ASkenderbeu86-105
06/02/26HBeselidhja79-145
31/01/26AFieri92-102
24/01/26AKamza Basket77-116
17/01/26HElbasani113-111 OT
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HElbasani139-89
28/03/26HKamza Basket105-90
22/03/26APartizani Tirana136-70
15/03/26HApolonia Fier91-83
07/03/26APBC Flamurtari115-80
18/02/26HPartizani Tirana112-47
15/02/26HTeuta Durres108-96
08/02/26AVllaznia82-85
24/01/26HBeselidhja81-93
17/01/26AFieri99-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pogradeci
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%20%9%
Points / game78.680.377.1
Allowed / game99.598.7100.3
Point differential-20.9-18.4-23.2
Avg total178.1179.0177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
Tirana
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %86%92%78%
Points / game103.3104.2102.1
Allowed / game79.376.583.0
Point differential+24.0+27.7+19.1
Avg total182.6180.7185.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja22220100%116.969.6+47.3
2 Tirana2118386%103.379.3+24.0
3 Vllaznia2216673%87.476.5+10.9
4 Apolonia Fier2215768%88.372.2+16.1
5 Teuta Durres2214864%87.584.0+3.5
6 Skenderbeu2113862%87.883.9+3.9
7 Kamza Basket23131057%91.080.1+10.9
8 Elbasani2471729%83.7104.4-20.8
9 Fieri2251723%76.491.9-15.5
10 Partizani Tirana2341917%66.794.6-28.0
11 Pogradeci2131814%78.699.5-20.9
12 PBC Flamurtari2121910%67.397.0-29.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pogradeci1622132071
Tirana11304132114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.