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Tirana vs Elbasani Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 139-89
36-22 33-22 29-23 41-22
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game101.5
Allowed / game78.8
Tirana 🏆
Albania
vs
Elbasani
Albania
Position#8
Record7-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game102.5
AlbaniaSuperliga· Pallati i Sportit Farie Hoti
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tirana v Elbasani
04 Apr 2026
TIRA139
ELBA89
12 Apr 2025
TIRA140
ELBA58
29 Oct 2023
TIRA101
ELBA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Tirana
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 101.9
111.8▲ 9.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 77.3
74.0▼ 3.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
61%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.7
22.7▲ 2.0
🔥 Form · Elbasani
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.3
79.6▼ 1.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 104.1
100.2▼ 3.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
53%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.5
14.2▲ 0.8
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
124-73
124
73
+51
H11/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
99-73
99
73
+26
A17/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H24/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A08/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H15/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
112-47
112
47
+65
H18/02
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
115-80
115
80
+35
A07/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H15/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
136-70
136
70
+66
A22/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
105-90
105
90
+15
H28/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-18
22-21
27-13
35-21
27-18
27-19
25-18
20-18
21-26
24-20
23-23
13-24
26-17
17-22
19-23
20-23
22-24
31-23
25-20
30-29
39-1
28-14
27-17
18-15
25-16
27-21
29-23
34-20
26-20
27-16
17-18
21-29
31-16
30-20
30-16
45-18
31-26
26-26
22-19
26-19
184.3Avg total
105.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)101.578.8180.3+22.785%
Season at home (11)101.075.4176.4+25.691%
Season away (9)102.183.0185.1+19.178%
Last 10 (10)105.379.0184.3+26.380%
Last 5 (5)111.874.0185.8+37.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.891.8162.7-21.00%
vs Similar (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)100.672.3172.9+28.287%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H25/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
80-125
80
125
-45
A01/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
71-106
71
106
-35
H08/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
68-118
68
118
-50
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
69-147
69
147
-78
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A08/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H15/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A22/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H29/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
19-24
25-18
27-22
19-37
23-29
21-29
17-30
19-28
16-26
26-21
10-31
22-17
13-32
29-15
19-19
14-34
3-29
28-26
23-29
15-39
18-30
21-40
15-38
10-15
12-27
24-27
28-24
16-25
33-23
27-22
17-19
18-33
14-18
12-20
18-20
30-10
24-25
25-18
21-28
182.1Avg total
80.1Scored
102.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.6102.5186.1-18.932%
Season at home (10)83.999.4183.3-15.540%
Season away (12)83.3105.1188.4-21.825%
Last 10 (10)80.1102.0182.1-21.940%
Last 5 (5)79.6100.2179.8-20.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.7113.0189.7-36.48%
vs Similar (2)104.588.5193.0+16.050%
vs Weaker (4)95.878.2174.0+17.5100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +10.6+10.6Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -8.8-8.8Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -6.5-6.5
TiranaElbasani
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H11/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A17/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H24/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A08/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H15/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
67-15
67
15
+52
H18/02
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A07/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H15/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
61-36
61
36
+25
A22/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H28/03
Superliga
93.1Avg total
54.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)49.238.287.3+11.069%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.837.586.3+11.362%-
Last 30 away (13)49.639.088.6+10.677%-
Last 10 (10)54.738.493.1+16.390%-
Last 5 (5)58.035.293.2+22.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.247.783.8-11.50%-
vs Similar (1)47.044.091.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)52.835.388.1+17.586%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H25/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A01/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
17-63
17
63
-46
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A08/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H15/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A22/03
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H29/03
Superliga
86.9Avg total
35.5Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.553.490.9-15.920%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.952.391.2-13.421%-
Last 30 away (16)36.254.490.7-18.219%-
Last 10 (10)35.551.486.9-15.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.049.087.0-11.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.457.392.7-21.94%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)47.839.587.2+8.2100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 107.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.230.2
61.4%
56.4%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.0
41.2%
34.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.413.7
70.6%
67.8%13.7
They take 75.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.520.9
48.0%
56.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.3
34.3%
34.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.611.2
71.8%
67.8%11.2
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tirana
WWWWWWLLWW
Elbasani
WLWLLLWLLW
#2
League position
#8
+30.3
Net rating
-26.7
120.4
Offensive rating
83.6
90.0
Defensive rating
110.3
61.5%
Effective FG%
49.3%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
9.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
15.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
41.2%
3-point %
34.3%
50.2%
Assist %
38.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 83.6Defence90.0 · 110.3Shooting61.5% · 49.3%3-point %41.2% · 34.3%Ball care9.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 15.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Tirana   ■ Elbasani
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Tirana wins
0
Elbasani wins
DateGameScore
18/12/25Elbasani v Tirana76-124
16/04/25Elbasani v Tirana55-103
12/04/25Tirana v Elbasani140-58
01/03/24Elbasani v Tirana100-130
29/10/23Tirana v Elbasani101-72
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HKamza Basket105-90
22/03/26APartizani Tirana136-70
15/03/26HApolonia Fier91-83
07/03/26APBC Flamurtari115-80
18/02/26HPartizani Tirana112-47
15/02/26HTeuta Durres108-96
08/02/26AVllaznia82-85
24/01/26HBeselidhja81-93
17/01/26AFieri99-73
11/01/26HPogradeci124-73
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HPartizani Tirana100-81
22/03/26AApolonia Fier62-91
15/03/26HPBC Flamurtari93-89
08/03/26ATeuta Durres74-93
17/02/26ABeselidhja69-147
14/02/26AVllaznia68-118
11/02/26AFieri96-93 OT
08/02/26HSkenderbeu71-106
01/02/26ABeselidhja80-125
25/01/26HFieri88-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tirana
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %85%91%78%
Points / game101.5101.0102.1
Allowed / game78.875.483.0
Point differential+22.7+25.6+19.1
Avg total180.3176.4185.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%73%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeLWLWW40%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %32%40%25%
Points / game83.683.983.3
Allowed / game102.599.4105.1
Point differential-18.9-15.5-21.8
Avg total186.1183.3188.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja21210100%115.869.4+46.3
2 Tirana2017385%101.578.8+22.7
3 Vllaznia2216673%87.476.5+10.9
4 Apolonia Fier2114767%88.372.8+15.6
5 Skenderbeu2013765%88.581.0+7.4
6 Teuta Durres2214864%87.584.0+3.5
7 Kamza Basket22121055%90.080.1+10.0
8 Elbasani2271532%83.6102.5-18.9
9 Fieri2151624%77.192.1-15.0
10 Partizani Tirana2341917%66.794.6-28.0
11 Pogradeci2131814%78.699.5-20.9
12 PBC Flamurtari2121910%67.397.0-29.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tirana36332941139
Elbasani2222232289
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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