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Poland vs Austria Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-72
26-21 31-17 14-19 16-15
Position#24
Record3-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game67.5
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#30
Record5-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Arena Sosnowiec
Other2023
Meetings · Poland v Austria
28 Nov 2025
POLA90
AUST78
23 Feb 2023
POLA87
AUST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
54-95
54
95
-41
no box
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
79-64
79
64
+15
80avg 79
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 79
A13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
14-18
14-20
15-25
23-16
16-17
29-23
17-20
19-20
12-20
17-15
27-14
14-28
19-24
17-20
19-24
24-21
18-24
27-22
25-19
29-26
29-13
6-24
26-24
9-15
9-19
18-30
18-31
14-19
9-17
26-18
20-28
17-15
15-22
27-8
20-19
21-18
13-19
24-19
29-23
158.4Avg total
76.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.567.5149.0+14.075%
Season at home (2)74.068.0142.0+6.050%
Season away (2)89.067.0156.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.182.3158.4-6.260%
Last 5 (5)75.881.4157.2-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.784.6161.4-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.475.8158.2+6.767%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
This opponent (Austria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustria
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
W
80-64
80
64
+16
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
A28/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
86-77
86
77
+9
81avg 65
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 65
A27/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
92-66
92
66
+26
81avg 65
H30/06
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
78-49
78
49
+29
82avg 65
H03/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 65
A25/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
55-91
55
91
-36
48avg 65
H28/08
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
75-100
75
100
-25
66avg 65
H10/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 65
H13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
26-14
21-20
15-15
28-13
15-28
30-9
24-20
22-15
25-19
21-17
18-26
18-23
18-17
7-26
18-14
23-22
28-13
20-15
21-16
19-15
18-5
21-15
20-14
13-17
21-16
20-27
10-14
8-25
17-11
10-29
20-26
24-18
19-30
16-25
16-27
15-18
20-19
14-15
16-23
149.9Avg total
75.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.374.6149.9+0.750%
Season at home (6)74.274.2148.3+0.050%
Season away (4)77.075.2152.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)75.374.6149.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)67.477.8145.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.582.9152.4-13.59%
vs Similar ◀ (9)70.380.0150.3-9.722%
vs Weaker (10)82.168.0150.1+14.180%
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
PolandAustria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#16
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A08/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A14/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H16/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A18/09
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/11
EuroBasket
73.7Avg total
34.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.476.7-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.437.775.1-0.346%-
Last 30 away (17)37.240.677.9-3.424%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.773.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.940.577.4-3.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.137.075.1+1.144%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
This opponent (Austria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Switzerland
#31
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A24/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A27/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/06
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-20
37
20
+17
H03/07
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A25/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/08
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H10/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H13/11
EuroBasket
74.8Avg total
39.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.737.874.5-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.337.473.8-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)37.138.175.3-1.057%-
Last 10 (10)39.535.374.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.869.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.042.075.0-9.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.439.177.6-0.744%-
vs Weaker (10)39.231.971.1+7.380%-
This opponent (Poland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.0
48.3%
50.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.5
38.5%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
71.4%13.0
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Austriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Austria: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.8
47.7%
50.6%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.3
37.2%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.0
71.0%
71.4%13.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
WWLLWWLWWL
Austria
LLLLWWLWWW
#24
League position
#30
+18.0
Net rating
+1.5
107.6
Offensive rating
101.1
89.5
Defensive rating
99.6
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
22.4%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.5%
3-point %
37.2%
75.4%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 101.1Defence89.5 · 99.6Shooting52.3% · 51.1%3-point %38.5% · 37.2%Ball care16.4% · 22.4%Off. rebounds27.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Poland   ■ Austria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Poland wins
0
Austria wins
DateGameScore
28/08/22Austria v Poland55-91
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22ACroatia87-79
10/11/22HSwitzerland79-64
18/09/22AGermany69-82
16/09/22HFrance54-95
14/09/22ASlovenia90-87
11/09/22AUkraine94-86
08/09/22ASerbia69-96
06/09/22ANetherlands75-69
05/09/22HIsrael85-76
03/09/22AFinland59-89
Austrialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HSwitzerland65-75
10/11/22HCroatia75-100
28/08/22HPoland55-91
25/08/22ASwitzerland64-74
03/07/22HCyprus78-49
30/06/22HIreland92-66
27/02/22ASwitzerland61-80
24/02/22ACyprus86-77
28/11/21AIreland97-70
25/11/21HSwitzerland80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game81.574.089.0
Allowed / game67.568.067.0
Point differential+14.0+6.0+22.0
Avg total149.0142.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.374.277.0
Allowed / game74.674.275.2
Point differential+0.7+0.0+1.8
Avg total149.9148.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal440100%89.267.0+22.2
2 North Macedonia440100%71.063.0+8.0
3 Poland43175%81.567.5+14.0
4 Croatia43175%83.871.0+12.8
5 Bulgaria43175%81.270.2+11.0
6 Romania85362%73.874.9-1.1
7 Switzerland106460%71.070.1+0.9
8 Austria105550%75.374.6+0.7
9 Norway84450%73.673.2+0.4
10 Slovakia42250%71.273.0-1.8
11 Denmark83538%76.574.9+1.6
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus101910%64.379.1-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland2631141687
Austria2117191572
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