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Polzela vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-99 (OT)
25-33 20-14 26-18 23-29 8-5
Position#10
Record6-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game84.5
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#6
Record9-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.8
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 20
Other2022-23
Meetings · Polzela v Rogaska
03 Oct 2026
POLZ87
ROGA49
06 Apr 2026
POLZ99
ROGA94
22 Dec 2025
POLZ88
ROGA81
18 Nov 2023
POLZ75
ROGA73
11 Mar 2023
POLZ102
ROGA99
21 Oct 2022
POLZ83
ROGA87
16 Mar 2022
POLZ83
ROGA97
26 Feb 2022
POLZ74
ROGA81
14 Nov 2020
POLZ96
ROGA93
28 Mar 2020
POLZ v ROGA
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
POLZ86
ROGA87
09 Mar 2019
POLZ81
ROGA76
12 Feb 2019
POLZ90
ROGA100
28 Oct 2017
POLZ73
ROGA61
29 Mar 2017
POLZ62
ROGA76
14 Nov 2016
POLZ84
ROGA75
16 Dec 2015
POLZ68
ROGA80
29 Nov 2014
POLZ79
ROGA96
05 Apr 2014
POLZ75
ROGA71
15 Feb 2014
POLZ71
ROGA73
20 Mar 2013
POLZ93
ROGA99
03 Nov 2012
POLZ49
ROGA61
21 Apr 2012
POLZ77
ROGA73
29 Oct 2011
POLZ62
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#2
L
82-104
82
104
-22
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A17/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H28/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
L
73-86
73
86
-13
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A23/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A05/02
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H10/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A03/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
26-22
19-27
16-25
11-11
21-19
14-24
11-26
19-17
23-17
9-25
18-9
13-28
16-26
18-16
20-19
21-19
18-13
19-21
15-33
21-28
15-16
20-30
28-21
19-10
14-14
12-10
28-32
14-15
20-24
15-17
14-20
10-24
16-11
15-30
16-9
14-20
23-21
8-27
23-15
151.4Avg total
69.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.284.5157.6-11.332%
Season at home (9)76.479.8156.2-3.356%
Season away (10)70.288.7158.9-18.510%
Last 10 (10)69.382.1151.4-12.820%
Last 5 (5)69.078.8147.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.986.9161.7-12.023%
vs Similar (4)80.884.8165.5-4.050%
vs Weaker (4)81.580.8162.2+0.850%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A19/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spisski Rytieri
#7
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A21/12
Alpe Adria Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
89-67
89
67
+22
H07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A15/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A11/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
21-10
22-28
20-15
17-27
33-19
23-20
20-15
25-14
16-15
12-8
17-21
28-13
26-16
16-18
19-20
20-17
9-20
16-17
16-24
18-27
23-15
16-22
19-16
14-16
12-17
18-25
13-29
26-20
24-15
26-30
26-24
17-23
12-16
31-14
27-31
24-21
18-28
29-27
16-18
158.7Avg total
80.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.080.8157.8-3.847%
Season at home (10)81.380.0161.3+1.350%
Season away (9)72.281.7153.9-9.444%
Last 10 (10)80.178.6158.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)81.886.8168.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.288.0162.2-13.815%
vs Similar (9)80.678.0158.6+2.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.667.2145.9+11.475%
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -7.8-7.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
PolzelaRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#2
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A17/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A07/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/02
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H10/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/03
Liga Nova KBM
74.0Avg total
35.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.980.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.579.7+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)38.443.481.8-5.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.574.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.669.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.341.781.0-2.441%-
vs Similar (4)42.041.083.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)40.836.877.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A19/12
Liga Nova KBM
Spisski Rytieri
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A21/12
Alpe Adria Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A29/12
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H07/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A11/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
76.3Avg total
39.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.140.978.9-2.845%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.941.382.2-0.353%-
Last 30 away (14)35.040.475.4-5.436%-
Last 10 (10)39.936.476.3+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.143.778.8-8.623%-
vs Similar (9)37.437.374.8+0.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.440.184.6+4.357%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Polzela wins
8
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
26/02/22Polzela v Rogaska74-81
05/11/21Rogaska v Polzela87-90 OT
11/05/21Rogaska v Polzela90-72
27/01/21Rogaska v Polzela101-71
14/11/20Polzela v Rogaska96-93
14/12/19Polzela v Rogaska86-87
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23ASencur68-83
10/02/23HTajfun Sentjur57-74
05/02/23ASencur63-76
31/01/23HKK Krka Novo mesto73-66
23/01/23APerspektiva Ilirija84-95
13/01/23HLTH Castings73-86
07/01/23ARogaska67-89
28/12/22HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek69-68
17/12/22AZlatorog Lasko57-80
10/12/22HHelios Domzale82-104
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23HPerspektiva Ilirija87-94
11/02/23ALTH Castings87-84
06/02/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek102-89
31/01/23AHelios Domzale57-87
21/01/23HSencur76-80
15/01/23APerspektiva Ilirija61-78
07/01/23HPolzela89-67
29/12/22AZlatorog Lasko70-58
21/12/22ASpisski Rytieri93-81
19/12/22ATajfun Sentjur79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLWLWL56%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%56%10%
Points / game73.276.470.2
Allowed / game84.579.888.7
Point differential-11.3-3.3-18.5
Avg total157.6156.2158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL47%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game77.081.372.2
Allowed / game80.880.081.7
Point differential-3.8+1.3-9.4
Avg total157.8161.3153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%40%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1917289%85.771.7+14.1
2 Helios Domzale1916384%88.871.5+17.4
3 Sencur1911858%78.074.1+3.9
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek20101050%83.081.4+1.6
5 Rogaska1991047%77.080.8-3.8
6 Perspektiva Ilirija2091145%82.483.3-0.9
7 Tajfun Sentjur2091145%77.579.5-2.0
8 Polzela1961332%73.284.5-11.3
9 LTH Castings1951426%74.385.7-11.4
10 Zlatorog Lasko2051525%72.179.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Polzela252026238102
Rogaska33141829599
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