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Polzela vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-81
23-16 21-20 22-18 22-27
Position#8
Record2-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game89.5
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record3-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game87.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 12· Skrbec T.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Polzela v Rogaska
03 Oct 2026
POLZ87
ROGA49
06 Apr 2026
POLZ99
ROGA94
22 Dec 2025
POLZ88
ROGA81
18 Nov 2023
POLZ75
ROGA73
11 Mar 2023
POLZ102
ROGA99
21 Oct 2022
POLZ83
ROGA87
16 Mar 2022
POLZ83
ROGA97
26 Feb 2022
POLZ74
ROGA81
14 Nov 2020
POLZ96
ROGA93
28 Mar 2020
POLZ v ROGA
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
POLZ86
ROGA87
09 Mar 2019
POLZ81
ROGA76
12 Feb 2019
POLZ90
ROGA100
28 Oct 2017
POLZ73
ROGA61
29 Mar 2017
POLZ62
ROGA76
14 Nov 2016
POLZ84
ROGA75
16 Dec 2015
POLZ68
ROGA80
29 Nov 2014
POLZ79
ROGA96
05 Apr 2014
POLZ75
ROGA71
15 Feb 2014
POLZ71
ROGA73
20 Mar 2013
POLZ93
ROGA99
03 Nov 2012
POLZ49
ROGA61
21 Apr 2012
POLZ77
ROGA73
29 Oct 2011
POLZ62
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
103-71
103
71
+32
107avg 75
H27/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
68-99
68
99
-31
59avg 75
A02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#16
W
98-95
98
95
+3
no box
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
68avg 75
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
73-99
73
99
-26
63avg 75
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 75
H19/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 75
H06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
80-93
80
93
-13
75avg 75
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
90-106
90
106
-16
no box
A16/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
28-20
24-12
25-16
14-28
12-23
19-17
23-31
25-22
22-19
22-25
29-29
16-20
21-24
25-22
18-32
13-36
22-23
19-24
19-16
24-14
21-25
10-28
20-19
17-17
24-24
15-23
25-21
14-22
31-22
21-28
23-15
26-23
18-17
12-24
24-29
27-20
18-35
26-26
19-25
175.6Avg total
83.7Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.289.5170.7-8.418%
Season at home (5)85.682.0167.6+3.640%
Season away (6)77.595.8173.3-18.30%
Last 10 (10)83.791.9175.6-8.230%
Last 5 (5)83.091.4174.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.192.8169.9-15.612%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.884.2169.0+0.750%
vs Weaker (8)92.978.2171.1+14.675%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Celje
#15
W
101-71
101
71
+30
no box
A28/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 71
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 71
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 71
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
H18/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
62-88
62
88
-26
47avg 71
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 71
H08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
103-81
103
81
+22
100avg 71
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
84-84
84
84
+0
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
15-23
33-16
29-14
13-25
23-25
24-19
20-22
20-24
22-17
16-22
23-21
14-19
17-19
22-16
21-23
31-16
24-28
23-18
29-16
15-22
18-18
21-26
8-22
15-30
27-23
20-24
10-20
16-24
26-33
30-7
23-22
25-25
27-20
29-15
22-21
15-25
17-26
34-15
18-18
169.6Avg total
85.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.187.4169.5-5.327%
Season at home (8)79.885.6165.4-5.925%
Season away (3)88.392.0180.3-3.733%
Last 10 (10)85.983.7169.6+2.240%
Last 5 (5)83.287.2170.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.984.3162.2-6.429%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.379.7157.0-2.350%
vs Weaker (9)89.884.8174.6+5.056%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
PolzelaRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H19/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H06/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H09/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#6
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A16/12
Slovenian Cup
87.6Avg total
41.9Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.384.6+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.741.283.9+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)42.143.185.2-1.141%-
Last 10 (10)41.945.787.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.887.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.648.086.6-9.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.742.182.8-1.442%-
vs Weaker (8)46.441.187.5+5.275%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Celje
#15
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H08/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
86.4Avg total
40.4Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.285.0-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.843.485.2-1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)41.842.984.8-1.142%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.086.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.249.289.4-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.444.483.8-5.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.539.581.0+2.083%-
vs Weaker (9)45.845.491.2+0.356%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.4
55.4%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.8
37.0%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.0
75.9%
72.9%18.0
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.9
53.8%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
33.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
72.9%13.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
LLWLLLLWLW
Rogaska
LWWLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#7
-7.7
Net rating
-7.1
111.7
Offensive rating
103.4
119.4
Defensive rating
110.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.3%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.0%
3-point %
32.4%
72.1%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 103.4Defence119.4 · 110.5Shooting55.4% · 51.8%3-point %37.0% · 32.4%Ball care18.5% · 20.3%Off. rebounds26.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Polzela   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Polzela wins
8
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Rogaska v Polzela95-89
29/04/24Rogaska v Polzela84-68
27/01/24Rogaska v Polzela77-69
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
26/02/22Polzela v Rogaska74-81
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/25AZlatorog Lasko90-106
13/12/25ATajfun Sentjur80-93
09/12/25HZlatorog Lasko89-87
06/12/25HSencur81-85
19/11/25HPerspektiva Ilirija75-86
14/11/25AHelios Domzale73-99
11/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto80-98
04/11/25HVrani Vransko98-95
02/11/25AKK Triglav Kranj68-99
27/10/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek103-71
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-84
13/12/25HZlatorog Lasko103-81
10/12/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-86
08/12/25HTajfun Sentjur72-97
22/11/25HSencur62-88
18/11/25HCelje107-78
12/11/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-77
08/11/25HHelios Domzale81-84
03/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto80-91
28/10/25ACelje101-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%40%0%
Points / game81.285.677.5
Allowed / game89.582.095.8
Point differential-8.4+3.6-18.3
Avg total170.7167.6173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %27%25%33%
Points / game82.179.888.3
Allowed / game87.485.692.0
Point differential-5.3-5.9-3.7
Avg total169.5165.4180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1211192%94.576.4+18.1
2 Sencur128467%90.378.7+11.7
3 Perspektiva Ilirija128467%85.981.4+4.5
4 Helios Domzale127558%84.882.5+2.3
5 Zlatorog Lasko127558%89.796.3-6.7
6 KK Triglav Kranj126650%81.079.0+2.0
7 Tajfun Sentjur125742%77.882.8-5.0
8 Rogaska113827%82.187.4-5.3
9 Polzela112918%81.289.5-8.4
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1221017%78.292.7-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polzela2321222288
Rogaska1620182781
← all games of the day
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