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Polzela vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-73
20-18 10-20 24-20 21-15
Position#11
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game88.6
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 8· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2023-24
Meetings · Polzela v Rogaska
03 Oct 2026
POLZ87
ROGA49
06 Apr 2026
POLZ99
ROGA94
22 Dec 2025
POLZ88
ROGA81
18 Nov 2023
POLZ75
ROGA73
11 Mar 2023
POLZ102
ROGA99
21 Oct 2022
POLZ83
ROGA87
16 Mar 2022
POLZ83
ROGA97
26 Feb 2022
POLZ74
ROGA81
14 Nov 2020
POLZ96
ROGA93
28 Mar 2020
POLZ v ROGA
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
POLZ86
ROGA87
09 Mar 2019
POLZ81
ROGA76
12 Feb 2019
POLZ90
ROGA100
28 Oct 2017
POLZ73
ROGA61
29 Mar 2017
POLZ62
ROGA76
14 Nov 2016
POLZ84
ROGA75
16 Dec 2015
POLZ68
ROGA80
29 Nov 2014
POLZ79
ROGA96
05 Apr 2014
POLZ75
ROGA71
15 Feb 2014
POLZ71
ROGA73
20 Mar 2013
POLZ93
ROGA99
03 Nov 2012
POLZ49
ROGA61
21 Apr 2012
POLZ77
ROGA73
29 Oct 2011
POLZ62
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#2
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
78avg 73
H29/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
83-109
83
109
-26
72avg 73
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
73avg 73
H13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#33
W
99-72
99
72
+27
no box
A18/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
61avg 73
H23/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
78avg 73
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 73
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
H07/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 73
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
21-26
17-24
22-23
22-26
20-23
23-28
16-23
29-22
15-34
22-28
17-25
19-20
14-26
21-17
19-15
30-23
20-21
22-19
27-9
16-20
18-23
16-20
18-8
24-29
21-24
20-24
18-19
28-24
28-24
11-23
15-17
18-26
17-23
20-25
24-22
13-24
31-20
19-19
26-15
171.7Avg total
82.4Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.988.6168.4-8.714%
Season at home (4)76.084.2160.2-8.20%
Season away (3)85.094.3179.3-9.333%
Last 10 (10)82.489.3171.7-6.920%
Last 5 (5)80.285.8166.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)77.891.1169.0-13.323%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.879.8156.7-3.017%
vs Weaker (1)79.096.0175.0-17.00%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
56-94
56
94
-38
no box
H14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
96-79
96
79
+17
96avg 80
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Crnomelj
#31
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A10/10
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 80
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 80
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 80
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 80
A06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
18-15
20-29
26-22
14-26
27-17
21-23
9-23
11-20
22-22
8-24
15-28
–
–
–
–
22-23
27-18
18-20
29-18
21-9
26-19
25-22
20-16
21-25
25-25
17-20
21-21
20-25
22-11
22-15
16-35
25-14
20-12
11-22
28-19
17-16
21-18
18-25
24-15
148.8Avg total
73.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.769.5140.2+1.250%
Season at home (3)86.777.3164.0+9.367%
Season away (3)54.761.7116.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)73.575.3148.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)84.076.8160.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.787.5161.2-13.821%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.274.6154.8+5.683%
vs Weaker (3)89.385.0174.3+4.333%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
PolzelaRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H29/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#33
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A18/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H07/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
92.1Avg total
43.1Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.785.3-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.043.883.8-3.827%-
Last 30 away (15)41.245.786.9-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)43.149.092.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.490.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.445.185.5-4.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.742.883.5-2.233%-
vs Weaker (1)35.049.084.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/05
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Crnomelj
#31
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A10/10
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A06/11
Liga Nova KBM
80.3Avg total
43.0Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.939.981.8+2.059%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.840.985.7+3.964%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.978.2+0.353%-
Last 10 (9)43.037.380.3+5.767%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.878.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.543.281.7-4.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.337.681.9+6.682%-
vs Weaker (3)47.736.784.3+11.0100%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 68.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.4%
52.9%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.76.0
32.1%
33.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.3%
74.0%13.1
They take 54.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.623.6
61.1%
52.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.6
30.4%
33.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.0
68.6%
74.0%14.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/5 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
WLLLLWLLLL
Rogaska
WWLLWWLLLW
#11
League position
#8
-10.2
Net rating
+7.5
101.1
Offensive rating
109.1
111.3
Defensive rating
101.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
21.2%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.1%
3-point %
30.4%
64.0%
Assist %
67.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 109.1Defence111.3 · 101.6Shooting50.3% · 55.0%3-point %32.1% · 30.4%Ball care21.2% · 20.4%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Polzela   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Polzela wins
7
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
26/02/22Polzela v Rogaska74-81
05/11/21Rogaska v Polzela87-90 OT
11/05/21Rogaska v Polzela90-72
27/01/21Rogaska v Polzela101-71
14/11/20Polzela v Rogaska96-93
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-78
07/11/23HTajfun Sentjur79-96
04/11/23HLTH Castings82-88
27/10/23APerspektiva Ilirija83-96
23/10/23HKK Triglav Kranj68-71
18/10/23AVrani Vransko99-72
13/10/23HTajfun Sentjur73-78
04/10/23AKK Krka Novo mesto83-109
29/09/23HHelios Domzale81-100
07/05/23HHelios Domzale87-105
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23AHelios Domzale80-74
28/10/23HSencur84-67
21/10/23HTajfun Sentjur80-86
14/10/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-91
10/10/23ACrnomelj92-66
07/10/23HLTH Castings96-79
30/09/23APerspektiva Ilirija0-20
14/05/23HHelios Domzale56-94
11/05/23AHelios Domzale71-89
06/05/23ATajfun Sentjur92-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%0%33%
Points / game79.976.085.0
Allowed / game88.684.294.3
Point differential-8.7-8.2-9.3
Avg total168.4160.2179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game70.786.754.7
Allowed / game69.577.361.7
Point differential+1.2+9.3-7.0
Avg total140.2164.0116.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto770100%94.176.9+17.3
2 Helios Domzale75271%81.076.9+4.1
3 LTH Castings85362%91.987.6+4.2
4 Sencur74357%78.079.3-1.3
5 Rogaska63350%70.769.5+1.2
6 Perspektiva Ilirija84450%73.976.2-2.4
7 Tajfun Sentjur84450%77.280.8-3.5
8 KK Triglav Kranj72529%72.776.7-4.0
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek71614%81.788.3-6.6
10 Polzela71614%79.988.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polzela2010242175
Rogaska1820201573
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