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Polzela vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 99-94 (OT)
28-15 21-20 24-23 11-26 15-10
Position#8
Record6-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game89.0
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record7-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 22· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2025-26
Meetings · Polzela v Rogaska
03 Oct 2026
POLZ87
ROGA49
06 Apr 2026
POLZ99
ROGA94
22 Dec 2025
POLZ88
ROGA81
18 Nov 2023
POLZ75
ROGA73
11 Mar 2023
POLZ102
ROGA99
21 Oct 2022
POLZ83
ROGA87
16 Mar 2022
POLZ83
ROGA97
26 Feb 2022
POLZ74
ROGA81
14 Nov 2020
POLZ96
ROGA93
28 Mar 2020
POLZ v ROGA
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
POLZ86
ROGA87
09 Mar 2019
POLZ81
ROGA76
12 Feb 2019
POLZ90
ROGA100
28 Oct 2017
POLZ73
ROGA61
29 Mar 2017
POLZ62
ROGA76
14 Nov 2016
POLZ84
ROGA75
16 Dec 2015
POLZ68
ROGA80
29 Nov 2014
POLZ79
ROGA96
05 Apr 2014
POLZ75
ROGA71
15 Feb 2014
POLZ71
ROGA73
20 Mar 2013
POLZ93
ROGA99
03 Nov 2012
POLZ49
ROGA61
21 Apr 2012
POLZ77
ROGA73
29 Oct 2011
POLZ62
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Polzela
5.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.0
81.4▼ 3.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.2
92.2▲ 4.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
54%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
11.3▼ 7.0
🔥 Form · Rogaska
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.7
79.6▼ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.8
82.8▼ 2.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
55%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.1
19.7▲ 1.6
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
107-94
107
94
+13
H10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A10/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
87-94
87
94
-7
A07/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H14/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
73-110
73
110
-37
A27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
21-20
22-18
22-27
23-29
31-30
23-13
30-22
20-26
27-27
19-19
18-19
19-19
20-12
20-14
22-21
23-26
10-24
13-27
15-15
17-18
20-28
19-23
17-19
23-28
21-24
23-23
24-18
27-19
27-30
16-30
17-15
18-19
24-16
21-13
20-28
17-32
23-26
18-27
15-25
171.3Avg total
82.8Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.089.0171.0-7.129%
Season at home (10)86.081.5167.5+4.560%
Season away (11)78.395.9174.2-17.60%
Last 10 (10)82.888.5171.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)81.492.2173.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.792.2167.9-16.68%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.785.2170.9+0.456%
vs Weaker (8)94.283.1177.4+11.162%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-30
26-26
20-24
13-17
19-23
21-15
20-14
26-23
17-23
20-18
20-32
15-16
13-25
18-26
24-29
19-18
13-21
22-24
30-25
17-11
17-22
29-20
23-15
20-30
9-18
16-28
12-23
24-13
15-22
19-26
25-16
19-15
24-25
21-21
15-16
23-22
19-26
18-18
18-13
32-25
163.5Avg total
78.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
Season at home (10)80.784.4165.1-3.730%
Season away (11)80.887.5168.3-6.636%
Last 10 (10)78.185.4163.5-7.340%
Last 5 (5)79.682.8162.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.386.0161.3-10.721%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.384.8165.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (9)91.284.4175.7+6.867%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
PolzelaRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A10/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A07/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A27/03
Liga Nova KBM
90.3Avg total
43.4Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.044.486.4-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.140.882.9+1.357%-
Last 30 away (16)41.947.689.5-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)43.446.990.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.091.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.947.886.7-8.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.741.081.7-0.356%-
vs Weaker (8)47.845.092.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A17/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A02/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A04/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
82.3Avg total
36.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.983.9-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.443.684.1-3.243%-
Last 30 away (16)37.845.983.8-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.782.3-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.282.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.446.982.3-11.67%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.242.281.3-3.050%-
vs Weaker (9)44.345.289.6-0.944%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
54.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.0
33.3%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.5
76.1%
72.9%18.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.1
50.6%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.6
28.7%
33.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.217.0
70.2%
72.9%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
LWLLLLWLWW
Rogaska
WLLLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#7
-10.5
Net rating
-6.4
103.2
Offensive rating
93.3
113.7
Defensive rating
99.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.3%
3-point %
28.7%
62.2%
Assist %
68.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 93.3Defence113.7 · 99.7Shooting51.2% · 47.8%3-point %33.3% · 28.7%Ball care15.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Polzela   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Polzela wins
7
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
22/12/25Polzela v Rogaska88-81
11/10/25Rogaska v Polzela95-89
29/04/24Rogaska v Polzela84-68
27/01/24Rogaska v Polzela77-69
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/26AKK Krka Novo mesto73-110
14/03/26HTajfun Sentjur83-76
07/03/26AKK Triglav Kranj87-94
10/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija91-93
07/02/26HHelios Domzale73-88
28/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto61-92
24/01/26HKK Triglav Kranj81-66
19/01/26ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-91
10/01/26HZlatorog Lasko107-94
22/12/25HRogaska88-81
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ATajfun Sentjur87-82
16/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija83-84
09/03/26ASencur78-79
14/02/26ASencur61-82
04/02/26APerspektiva Ilirija89-87
02/02/26AHelios Domzale82-81
20/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
17/01/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-89
12/01/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek86-75
06/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto69-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%60%0%
Points / game82.086.078.3
Allowed / game89.081.595.9
Point differential-7.1+4.5-17.6
Avg total171.0167.5174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%30%36%
Points / game80.880.780.8
Allowed / game86.084.487.5
Point differential-5.2-3.7-6.6
Avg total166.8165.1168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2221195%94.871.2+23.5
2 Perspektiva Ilirija2116576%89.781.1+8.6
3 Sencur2215768%87.679.1+8.5
4 Helios Domzale2213959%85.483.7+1.7
5 KK Triglav Kranj22101245%79.478.5+0.9
6 Tajfun Sentjur2181338%78.483.5-5.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko2281436%84.595.4-10.9
8 Rogaska2171433%80.886.0-5.2
9 Polzela2161529%82.089.0-7.1
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2241818%76.091.5-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Polzela282124111599
Rogaska152023261094
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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