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Portimonense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-76
30-11 14-23 19-24 17-18
Position#7
Record5-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#6
Record4-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game72.1
PortugalProligaRound 10· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2024-25
Meetings · Portimonense v Lusitania
14 Dec 2024
PORT80
LUSI76
14 Feb 2024
PORT86
LUSI79
18 Nov 2023
PORT67
LUSI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
61-105
61
105
-44
58avg 64
H27/04
LPB
Santo Andre
#9
W
60-53
60
53
+7
54avg 64
H05/10
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
46avg 64
A13/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
100avg 64
A19/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
88avg 64
H26/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 64
A01/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
70-90
70
90
-20
63avg 64
H10/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
79-72
79
72
+7
79avg 64
A17/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 64
A30/11
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
57-64
57
64
-7
47avg 64
H05/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
14-26
16-19
10-36
12-11
16-15
16-17
16-10
22-27
17-19
14-9
15-21
20-15
26-30
28-17
23-12
22-15
21-22
14-25
27-10
14-24
14-11
17-20
15-17
14-26
13-21
25-14
18-29
25-7
16-26
18-16
20-23
20-11
16-22
17-13
26-29
17-18
17-17
16-18
7-11
146.8Avg total
71.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.772.0144.7+0.756%
Season at home (4)67.869.8137.5-2.050%
Season away (5)76.673.8150.4+2.860%
Last 10 (10)71.575.3146.8-3.850%
Last 5 (5)69.074.6143.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.884.0150.8-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.974.6149.5+0.250%
vs Weaker (6)73.773.0146.7+0.750%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
53avg 62
H27/04
LPB
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
60-59
60
59
+1
42avg 62
H05/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
28avg 62
A12/10
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
74-97
74
97
-23
64avg 62
H19/10
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
68-78
68
78
-10
63avg 62
H27/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
57-79
57
79
-22
44avg 62
A01/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
70-56
70
56
+14
62avg 62
H09/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
58avg 62
A16/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
102-65
102
65
+37
110avg 62
A01/12
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 62
H07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-32
16-26
14-22
20-18
14-17
16-20
14-7
16-15
3-10
6-5
20-14
15-21
15-20
30-26
17-28
12-23
16-24
22-15
13-16
17-23
13-24
16-20
11-20
17-15
21-14
25-10
11-13
13-19
18-16
20-14
18-25
17-31
19-16
31-11
24-15
28-23
27-22
17-15
23-16
25-26
145.4Avg total
70.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.172.1143.2-1.044%
Season at home (5)72.873.8146.6-1.060%
Season away (4)69.070.0139.0-1.025%
Last 10 (10)70.774.7145.4-4.040%
Last 5 (5)78.873.0151.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)72.194.8166.9-22.85%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.078.2146.2-10.220%
vs Weaker (4)75.064.5139.5+10.575%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
PortimonenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H27/04
LPB
Santo Andre
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/10
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A13/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H26/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H10/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A17/11
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/11
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/12
Proliga
74.4Avg total
35.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.877.0-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.338.274.6-1.942%-
Last 30 away (18)37.840.878.6-2.939%-
Last 10 (10)35.738.774.4-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.236.669.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.341.778.0-5.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.439.074.4-3.662%-
vs Weaker (6)40.237.777.8+2.550%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H27/04
LPB
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H05/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
9-15
9
15
-6
A12/10
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H19/10
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H09/11
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A16/11
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A01/12
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H07/12
Proliga
71.9Avg total
36.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.379.3-5.320%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.044.484.4-4.425%-
Last 30 away (14)33.639.973.6-6.314%-
Last 10 (10)36.235.771.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.432.473.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.346.884.1-9.55%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.034.467.4-1.440%-
vs Weaker (4)41.031.872.8+9.250%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.3
50.0%
49.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.4
30.3%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
68.4%13.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.714.9
42.9%
49.9%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.89.7
31.5%
30.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.411.2
68.3%
68.4%11.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
LWWLLWWLWL
Lusitania
WWLWLLLLWL
#7
League position
#6
-5.4
Net rating
-4.3
92.6
Offensive rating
88.0
98.0
Defensive rating
92.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
45.0%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
24.0%
Turnover %
26.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.3%
3-point %
31.5%
68.0%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 88.0Defence98.0 · 92.3Shooting48.1% · 45.0%3-point %30.3% · 31.5%Ball care24.0% · 26.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 33.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Portimonense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Portimonense wins
0
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Lusitania v Portimonense74-97
23/03/24Lusitania v Portimonense75-92
14/02/24Portimonense v Lusitania86-79
18/11/23Portimonense v Lusitania67-64
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24HImortal B57-64
30/11/24ASanto Andre79-75
17/11/24ABenfica Lisboa B79-72
10/11/24HCAB Madeira70-90
01/11/24ABarreirense60-72
26/10/24HCB Queluz84-72
19/10/24ALusitania97-74
13/10/24AImortal B68-76
05/10/24HSanto Andre60-53
27/04/24HBenfica61-105
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HSanto Andre92-79
01/12/24ABenfica Lisboa B102-65
16/11/24ACAB Madeira73-86
09/11/24HBarreirense70-56
01/11/24ACB Queluz57-79
27/10/24HImortal B68-78
19/10/24HPortimonense74-97
12/10/24ASanto Andre44-50
05/10/24HBenfica Lisboa B60-59
27/04/24HFC Porto67-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game72.767.876.6
Allowed / game72.069.873.8
Point differential+0.7-2.0+2.8
Avg total144.7137.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game71.172.869.0
Allowed / game72.173.870.0
Point differential-1.0-1.0-1.0
Avg total143.2146.6139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga108280%82.467.5+14.9
2 Vasco Da Gama97278%84.177.8+6.3
3 Imortal B97278%68.865.7+3.1
4 Illiabum107370%76.265.1+11.1
5 CAB Madeira106460%75.465.7+9.7
6 CB Queluz106460%70.568.7+1.8
7 Portimonense95456%72.772.0+0.7
8 Ginasio105550%81.782.1-0.4
9 Santo Andre115645%67.869.1-1.3
10 Lusitania94544%71.172.1-1.0
11 Sangalhos104640%74.075.0-1.0
12 Maia104640%75.285.1-9.9
13 Barreirense93633%66.872.4-5.7
14 Sampaense93633%74.284.4-10.2
15 Benfica Lisboa B92722%65.173.4-8.3
16 Galitos Aveiro101910%65.676.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portimonense3014191780
Lusitania1123241876
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