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Lusitania vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 75-92
26-31 15-27 15-18 19-16
Position#12
Record1-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game91.6
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Portimonense 🏆
Portugal
Position#11
Record5-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game79.2
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v Portimonense
19 Oct 2024
LUSI74
PORT97
23 Mar 2024
LUSI75
PORT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 59
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 59
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 59
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 59
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 59
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 59
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 59
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 59
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
70-95
70
95
-25
57avg 59
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 59
H16/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
23-25
26-24
13-28
25-22
21-22
15-23
16-27
18-23
17-22
21-22
21-21
24-33
169.0Avg total
74.1Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.091.6165.6-17.66%
Season at home (8)75.192.0167.1-16.912%
Season away (9)73.091.2164.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)74.194.9169.0-20.80%
Last 5 (5)77.496.0173.4-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.891.7165.5-17.97%
vs Similar (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
67-100
67
100
-33
55avg 65
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 65
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
53-85
53
85
-32
40avg 65
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 65
H20/01
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
56-79
56
79
-23
54avg 65
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
71avg 65
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 65
H10/02
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
91avg 65
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
66-93
66
93
-27
56avg 65
A02/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
62-86
62
86
-24
49avg 65
H09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-28
16-35
16-15
15-26
16-28
20-16
17-15
12-16
17-24
6-29
18-16
22-8
20-21
11-21
20-31
21-28
10-25
12-10
13-16
20-17
20-17
17-25
15-15
15-19
17-17
14-14
23-24
24-11
17-25
21-19
24-24
24-26
18-21
13-23
11-23
14-23
22-20
12-19
14-24
150.8Avg total
67.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.879.2150.0-8.529%
Season at home (8)70.873.0143.8-2.250%
Season away (9)70.884.8155.6-14.011%
Last 10 (10)67.283.6150.8-16.410%
Last 5 (5)71.081.2152.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.583.2150.8-15.815%
vs Similar (7)75.475.6151.0-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.571.5148.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -8.4-8.4Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -3.2-3.2
LusitaniaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/03
LPB
79.6Avg total
35.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.280.8-5.720%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.742.382.0-2.638%-
Last 30 away (17)35.943.979.8-8.16%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.879.6-8.00%-
Last 5 (5)39.045.084.0-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.044.082.0-6.118%-
vs Similar (1)27.030.057.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H20/01
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H10/02
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/03
LPB
78.1Avg total
35.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.139.174.2-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.236.972.1-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)35.041.176.1-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)35.942.278.1-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.277.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)33.141.474.5-8.310%-
vs Similar (7)38.035.173.1+2.971%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)38.035.573.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.4
48.6%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.5
30.0%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.511.8
67.4%
69.3%11.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.6
50.4%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.8
28.5%
33.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.810.6
63.1%
69.3%10.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
Portimonense
LLWLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#11
-26.8
Net rating
-22.1
92.5
Offensive rating
86.8
119.3
Defensive rating
108.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
47.3%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
26.0%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.0%
3-point %
28.5%
56.1%
Assist %
68.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 86.8Defence119.3 · 108.9Shooting47.2% · 47.3%3-point %30.0% · 28.5%Ball care19.6% · 26.0%Off. rebounds22.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 10%
■ Lusitania   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lusitania wins
2
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Portimonense v Lusitania86-79
18/11/23Portimonense v Lusitania67-64
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HOliveirense83-98
14/03/24HSporting CP70-95
09/03/24ACD Povoa87-99
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HSporting CP62-86
02/03/24AOvarense66-93
14/02/24HLusitania86-79
10/02/24HGalomar69-74
03/02/24AImortal72-74
27/01/24AFC Porto56-79
20/01/24HFC Porto73-81
13/01/24ABenfica53-85
06/01/24AEsgueira68-85
30/12/23ABenfica67-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game74.075.173.0
Allowed / game91.692.091.2
Point differential-17.6-16.9-18.2
Avg total165.6167.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%50%11%
Points / game70.870.870.8
Allowed / game79.273.084.8
Point differential-8.5-2.2-14.0
Avg total150.0143.8155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1815383%88.474.6+13.8
2 Benfica1814478%88.269.3+18.8
3 Sporting CP1813572%91.380.1+11.2
4 Oliveirense1813572%80.174.7+5.4
5 Ovarense1811761%79.878.6+1.3
6 CD Povoa1810856%82.484.0-1.6
7 Vitoria1881044%80.379.9+0.4
8 Imortal1881044%78.883.4-4.6
9 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
10 Galomar1851328%73.179.6-6.5
11 Esgueira1841422%72.285.9-13.7
12 Lusitania171166%74.091.6-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2615151975
Portimonense3127181692
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