Portimonense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 67-64

19-19 16-16 9-15 23-14

Position#11

Record4-1

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game76.0

Portimonense 🏆

Lusitania

Position#12

Record0-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game90.2

LPBRound 7· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista

Other2023-24

Meetings · Portimonense v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Portimonense Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPortimonense

Date

Competition

Santo Andre

85-79 OT

no box

H30/04

Proliga

Galomar

66-75

-9

no box

H07/05

Proliga

Galomar

71-101

101

-30

no box

A13/05

Proliga

Esgueira

85-78

88avg 71

H23/09

LPB

Imortal

80-74

76avg 71

H07/10

LPB

Sporting CP

67-101

101

-34

62avg 71

A14/10

Taca da Liga

Galomar

#10

78-76

74avg 71

A21/10

LPB

Ovarense

62-58

59avg 71

H28/10

LPB

Sporting CP

73-94

-21

68avg 71

A05/11

LPB

Vitoria

79-82

-3

72avg 71

H12/11

Taca da Liga

27-20

11-17

26-17

8-18

18-25

14-8

12-27

22-15

19-23

17-25

15-38

20-15

20-16

22-17

15-14

28-31

16-11

24-19

18-19

22-25

17-25

22-22

15-25

13-29

25-15

18-15

20-21

15-25

9-22

24-13

8-11

21-12

15-26

15-21

15-24

28-23

20-19

15-27

22-24

22-12

156.4Avg total

74.6Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	75.6	76.0	151.6	-0.4	80%
Season at home (3)	75.7	70.0	145.7	+5.7	100%
Season away (2)	75.5	85.0	160.5	-9.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	81.8	156.4	-7.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	82.2	154.0	-10.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	71.4	80.5	151.9	-9.1	40%
vs Similar (11)	81.2	75.6	156.8	+5.5	91%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	77.5	78.0	155.5	-0.5	25%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLusitania

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

65-99

-34

no box

A10/05

LPB

Sporting CP

73-93

-20

no box

H14/05

LPB

Imortal

66-80

-14

-2avg 58

H23/09

LPB

Galomar

#10

80-94

-14

71avg 58

A30/09

LPB

Ovarense

82-85

-3

81avg 58

H07/10

LPB

Vitoria

82-90

-8

62avg 58

A14/10

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

83-107

107

-24

75avg 58

A21/10

LPB

Vitoria

70-75

-5

58avg 58

A28/10

LPB

CD Povoa

73-100

100

-27

58avg 58

H04/11

LPB

FC Porto

70-101

101

-31

59avg 58

H11/11

Taca da Liga

22-19

14-29

11-24

18-27

27-15

21-28

7-23

17-20

16-14

15-27

18-19

17-28

14-23

24-23

25-20

22-18

21-18

12-28

27-21

20-22

22-21

15-28

25-19

23-23

20-27

24-25

16-32

18-17

24-20

12-15

16-23

27-22

20-29

14-23

12-26

21-29

17-30

15-28

17-14

166.8Avg total

74.4Scored

92.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	75.7	90.2	165.8	-14.5	0%
Season at home (3)	73.7	88.3	162.0	-14.7	0%
Season away (3)	77.7	92.0	169.7	-14.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	74.4	92.4	166.8	-18.0	0%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	94.6	170.2	-19.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	76.2	88.9	165.2	-12.7	21%
vs Similar (5)	78.6	75.6	154.2	+3.0	60%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PortimonenseLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-1.9	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	46%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	19.3	37.3	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	15.9	19.5	35.4	-3.5	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.1	17.0	39.1	+5.1	91%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.8	19.8	40.5	+1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	22.0	39.6	-4.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.6	42.1	-3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.4	46.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.2	15.6	34.8	+3.6	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Santo Andre

38-37

H30/04

Proliga

Galomar

32-33

-1

H07/05

Proliga

Galomar

36-48

-12

A13/05

Proliga

Esgueira

42-33

H23/09

LPB

Imortal

40-30

+10

H07/10

LPB

Sporting CP

39-47

-8

A14/10

Taca da Liga

Galomar

#10

43-30

+13

A21/10

LPB

Ovarense

33-35

-2

H28/10

LPB

Sporting CP

30-47

-17

A05/11

LPB

Vitoria

35-46

-11

H12/11

Taca da Liga

75.4Avg total

36.8Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.2	75.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.0	38.3	75.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	38.1	75.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	38.6	75.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.7	40.7	75.5	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.2	34.5	75.7	+6.6	91%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	36.0	38.5	74.5	-2.5	50%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

36-48

-12

A10/05

LPB

Sporting CP

45-42

H14/05

LPB

Imortal

33-34

-1

H23/09

LPB

Galomar

#10

31-51

-20

A30/09

LPB

Ovarense

43-36

H07/10

LPB

Vitoria

42-43

-1

A14/10

Taca da Liga

Sporting CP

43-50

-7

A21/10

LPB

Vitoria

42-37

A28/10

LPB

CD Povoa

47-51

-4

H04/11

LPB

FC Porto

38-59

-21

H11/11

Taca da Liga

85.1Avg total

40.0Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	42.0	81.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.2	41.8	83.1	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.3	42.3	78.6	-6.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	45.1	85.1	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	48.0	90.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.4	43.7	82.1	-5.3	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.2	35.8	74.0	+2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.8	37.4	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	18.0	35.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.7	39.1	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	22.0	38.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	27%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.4	21.5	38.8	-4.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	23.6	43.3	-3.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	24.9	41.2	-8.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	23.8	39.8	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.5	22.7	41.1	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	53%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.6	40.9	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.4	40.5	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	80%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	39.7	77.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	37.3	74.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	42.1	80.4	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	42.5	79.0	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	41.2	77.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	35.8	39.3	75.1	-3.5	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.5	40.3	78.7	-1.8	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	41.5	39.5	81.0	+2.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	44.0	81.6	-6.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.1	42.8	79.8	-5.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.3	45.7	84.0	-7.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	47.3	81.7	-12.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	46.6	79.8	-13.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	37.6	45.1	82.7	-7.5	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.4	39.8	80.2	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 74.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.0	19.0	55.9%	51.0%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	7.3	29.3%	33.5%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	21.1	14.7	69.6%	69.3%	14.7

They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	19.9	50.6%	51.0%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.0	29.8%	33.5%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	18.8	14.0	74.7%	69.3%	14.0

They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.6	52.6%	51.0%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	8.1	29.1%	33.5%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	21.9	14.0	64.1%	69.3%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	22.9	55.1%	51.0%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	9.2	40.7%	33.5%	27.8
🏀 Free throws	24.8	17.2	69.7%	69.3%	17.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.6	52.6%	51.0%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	8.1	29.1%	33.5%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	21.9	14.0	64.1%	69.3%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	22.9	55.1%	51.0%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	9.2	40.7%	33.5%	27.8
🏀 Free throws	24.8	17.2	69.7%	69.3%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Portimonense

LLWWLWWLLW

Lusitania

LLLLLLLLLL

#11

League position

#12

-6.4

Net rating

-20.0

95.2

Offensive rating

93.5

101.6

Defensive rating

113.5

50.8%

Effective FG%

48.4%

48.8%

Opp. effective FG%

57.2%

22.6%

Turnover %

22.2%

21.6%

Off. rebound %

23.0%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.30

29.3%

3-point %

29.8%

74.5%

Assist %

52.1%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

Profile

■ Portimonense ■ Lusitania

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Portimonense wins

Lusitania wins

No previous meetings.

Portimonenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/23	H	Vitoria	79-82
05/11/23	A	Sporting CP	73-94
28/10/23	H	Ovarense	62-58
21/10/23	A	Galomar	78-76
14/10/23	A	Sporting CP	67-101
07/10/23	H	Imortal	80-74
23/09/23	H	Esgueira	85-78
13/05/23	A	Galomar	71-101
07/05/23	H	Galomar	66-75
30/04/23	H	Santo Andre	85-79 OT

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/23	H	FC Porto	70-101
04/11/23	H	CD Povoa	73-100
28/10/23	A	Vitoria	70-75
21/10/23	A	Sporting CP	83-107
14/10/23	A	Vitoria	82-90
07/10/23	H	Ovarense	82-85
30/09/23	A	Galomar	80-94
23/09/23	H	Imortal	66-80
14/05/23	H	Sporting CP	73-93
10/05/23	A	Sporting CP	65-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense

LPB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	80%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	100%	50%
Points / game	75.6	75.7	75.5
Allowed / game	76.0	70.0	85.0
Point differential	-0.4	+5.7	-9.5
Avg total	151.6	145.7	160.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2023-24

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	75.7	73.7	77.7
Allowed / game	90.2	88.3	92.0
Point differential	-14.5	-14.7	-14.3
Avg total	165.8	162.0	169.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	5	5	0	100%	92.6	71.8	+20.8
2	Sporting CP	7	6	1	86%	94.4	82.3	+12.1
3	Oliveirense	6	5	1	83%	78.5	71.8	+6.7
4	Portimonense	5	4	1	80%	75.6	76.0	-0.4
5	Benfica	6	4	2	67%	88.8	69.5	+19.3
6	Ovarense	6	3	3	50%	79.0	79.8	-0.8
7	CD Povoa	7	3	4	43%	84.9	85.6	-0.7
8	Vitoria	7	3	4	43%	78.7	84.0	-5.3
9	Galomar	7	2	5	29%	77.4	80.6	-3.1
10	Imortal	7	2	5	29%	70.6	81.7	-11.1
11	Esgueira	7	1	6	14%	72.1	87.7	-15.6
12	Lusitania	6	0	6	0%	75.7	90.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Portimonense	19	16	9	23	67
Lusitania	19	16	15	14	64

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Portimonense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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