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Portimonense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 86-79
24-11 17-25 21-19 24-24
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game87.3
Portimonense 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game94.0
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2024
Meetings · Portimonense v Lusitania
14 Dec 2024
PORT80
LUSI76
14 Feb 2024
PORT86
LUSI79
18 Nov 2023
PORT67
LUSI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 65
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
90avg 65
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 65
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-100
67
100
-33
55avg 65
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 65
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
53-85
53
85
-32
40avg 65
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 65
H20/01
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
56-79
56
79
-23
54avg 65
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
71avg 65
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 65
H10/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
15-18
15-34
26-15
32-17
17-12
28-24
27-10
19-13
16-22
17-19
16-15
19-22
16-28
16-35
16-15
15-26
16-28
20-16
17-15
12-16
17-24
6-29
18-16
22-8
20-21
11-21
20-31
21-28
10-25
12-10
13-16
20-17
20-17
17-25
15-15
15-19
17-17
14-14
23-24
150.3Avg total
70.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.387.3154.7-20.00%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (2)61.590.0151.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)70.579.8150.3-9.310%
Last 5 (5)64.678.6143.2-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.282.6151.8-13.421%
vs Similar (9)77.875.1152.9+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)67.064.0131.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#4
L
70-101
70
101
-31
59avg 58
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
57avg 58
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
36avg 58
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 58
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 58
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 58
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 58
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 58
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 58
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 58
A03/02
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
17-30
15-28
17-14
19-19
16-16
15-9
14-23
20-21
16-27
7-22
8-24
22-16
14-18
22-26
18-22
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
160.0Avg total
70.4Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.394.0165.3-22.70%
Season at home (1)70.0101.0171.0-31.00%
Season away (2)72.090.5162.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.489.6160.0-19.210%
Last 5 (5)70.893.8164.6-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.390.2162.5-17.97%
vs Similar (2)66.572.0138.5-5.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
PortimonenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/12
LPB
Inedsport
#16
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H20/01
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H10/02
LPB
75.7Avg total
35.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.974.7-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.136.472.5-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.176.6-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.975.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.473.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.341.374.6-8.016%-
vs Similar (9)39.435.474.9+4.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)35.035.070.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#4
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
78.0Avg total
35.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.779.1-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.041.980.9-2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)34.543.377.8-8.812%-
Last 10 (10)35.642.478.0-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.642.675.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.743.680.4-6.922%-
vs Similar (2)32.534.567.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Portimonense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.7
50.8%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.9
28.4%
32.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.811.2
66.7%
69.0%11.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.618.7
46.1%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.3
30.0%
32.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.910.1
67.8%
69.0%10.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
LLLLLLLLWL
Lusitania
LLLLLWLLLL
#11
League position
#12
-13.5
Net rating
-26.4
91.9
Offensive rating
89.7
105.5
Defensive rating
116.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
45.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
23.3%
Turnover %
20.0%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.4%
3-point %
30.0%
69.1%
Assist %
58.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 89.7Defence105.5 · 116.1Shooting47.5% · 45.7%3-point %28.4% · 30.0%Ball care23.3% · 20.0%Off. rebounds28.9% · 24.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Portimonense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Portimonense wins
0
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23Portimonense v Lusitania67-64
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HGalomar69-74
03/02/24AImortal72-74
27/01/24AFC Porto56-79
20/01/24HFC Porto73-81
13/01/24ABenfica53-85
06/01/24AEsgueira68-85
30/12/23ABenfica67-100
16/12/23HOliveirense68-69
10/12/23AInedsport104-63
03/12/23AFC Porto75-88
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
09/12/23HMaia76-82
02/12/23ABenfica51-94
18/11/23APortimonense64-67
11/11/23HFC Porto70-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.379.061.5
Allowed / game87.382.090.0
Point differential-20.0-3.0-28.5
Avg total154.7161.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game71.370.072.0
Allowed / game94.0101.090.5
Point differential-22.7-31.0-18.5
Avg total165.3171.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto330100%90.762.0+28.7
2 Oliveirense330100%89.066.7+22.3
3 Sporting CP330100%93.776.7+17.0
4 Benfica32167%88.075.3+12.7
5 Vitoria32167%84.083.0+1.0
6 Esgueira31233%75.777.0-1.3
7 Galomar31233%85.087.7-2.7
8 Imortal31233%78.082.0-4.0
9 CD Povoa31233%83.790.0-6.3
10 Ovarense31233%75.3100.0-24.7
11 Portimonense3030%67.387.3-20.0
12 Lusitania3030%71.394.0-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portimonense2417212486
Lusitania1125192479
← all games of the day
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