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Portimonense vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-74
19-29 21-13 19-6 19-26
Position#6
Record13-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#4
Record10-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game73.8
PortugalProligaRound 5· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2025-26
Meetings · Portimonense v Maia
21 Feb 2026
PORT78
MAIA74
27 Feb 2022
PORT84
MAIA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
78avg 76
H26/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
L
86-88
86
88
-2
84avg 76
H12/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
A19/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 76
A21/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
86-54
86
54
+32
88avg 76
A03/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
64-71
64
71
-7
62avg 76
A10/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
78-72
78
72
+6
73avg 76
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
84avg 76
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
66avg 76
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
80avg 76
A15/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
15-21
20-21
29-28
25-26
22-15
15-29
24-18
16-24
22-16
23-17
15-23
29-20
17-24
20-24
26-18
17-16
19-20
27-8
23-10
15-14
12-23
17-19
20-15
17-12
13-15
19-20
29-25
24-14
20-11
14-22
24-25
21-14
12-19
19-22
10-7
15-19
21-20
23-24
14-10
156.0Avg total
80.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.675.0156.6+6.672%
Season at home (9)82.175.6157.7+6.667%
Season away (9)81.074.4155.4+6.678%
Last 10 (10)80.175.9156.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)76.472.4148.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.575.5146.0-5.00%
vs Similar (13)79.179.0158.1+0.154%
vs Weaker (15)81.771.5153.1+10.280%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 73
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
94avg 73
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
60avg 73
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 73
H13/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 73
H27/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
96-66
96
66
+30
96avg 73
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
106-59
106
59
+47
98avg 73
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
73-84
73
84
-11
63avg 73
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
69avg 73
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 73
A14/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
14-22
12-17
27-9
25-15
18-16
25-16
20-12
20-20
21-19
16-30
20-26
17-19
12-13
24-14
26-22
24-15
18-24
16-25
27-17
24-14
27-17
27-15
18-20
23-11
30-21
29-14
24-13
23-12
16-24
14-20
20-28
23-17
21-24
21-19
10-19
17-24
20-8
27-18
17-25
156.1Avg total
83.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.273.8156.0+8.559%
Season at home (8)84.171.9156.0+12.275%
Season away (9)80.675.4156.0+5.144%
Last 10 (10)83.173.0156.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)86.272.6158.8+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.281.0157.2-4.860%
vs Similar (14)76.675.9152.5+0.857%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.467.3152.6+18.182%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
PortimonenseMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H26/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H12/12
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/12
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/12
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A10/01
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A24/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H07/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A15/02
Proliga
72.9Avg total
36.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.735.272.9+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.234.973.1+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.335.572.7+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.272.9+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.032.266.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (13)38.239.077.2-0.838%-
vs Weaker (15)38.432.170.5+6.373%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H03/01
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A25/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H31/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/02
Proliga
76.2Avg total
41.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.374.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.974.2+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.536.775.2+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.176.2+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.834.479.2+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.641.478.0-4.840%-
vs Similar (14)36.637.474.0-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.532.674.1+8.873%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.0
51.7%
50.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.2
30.0%
30.3%18.6
🏀 Free throws28.119.1
68.0%
67.4%19.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.620.6
46.2%
50.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.3
70.3%
67.4%16.3
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
WWWWLWWLLL
Maia
WLLWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#4
+4.9
Net rating
+12.4
93.7
Offensive rating
97.9
88.8
Defensive rating
85.5
49.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
44.8%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
20.8%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
42.9%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.0%
3-point %
37.2%
69.9%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 97.9Defence88.8 · 85.5Shooting49.4% · 49.4%3-point %30.0% · 37.2%Ball care20.5% · 20.8%Off. rebounds35.8% · 42.9%Free throws0.46 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Portimonense   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Portimonense wins
1
Maia wins
DateGameScore
27/02/22Portimonense v Maia84-81 OT
13/02/22Maia v Portimonense65-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AImortal B86-78 OT
07/02/26HCAB Madeira72-69 OT
31/01/26HGinasio Olhanense82-72
24/01/26AGinasio78-72
10/01/26ABenfica Lisboa B64-71
03/01/26ACB Queluz86-54
21/12/25AGalomar92-86
19/12/25ACAB Madeira76-80
12/12/25HGinasio Olhanense86-88
26/11/25HImortal B79-89
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ACAB Madeira81-75
31/01/26HIlliabum75-79
25/01/26AImortal B73-84
10/01/26ASangalhos106-59
03/01/26HGinasio96-66
27/12/25HLusitania85-81
13/12/25HSampaense79-68
08/12/25ACD Povoa77-95
07/12/25AAcademica88-59
22/11/25HIlliabum71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%67%78%
Points / game81.682.181.0
Allowed / game75.075.674.4
Point differential+6.6+6.6+6.6
Avg total156.6157.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game82.284.180.6
Allowed / game73.871.975.4
Point differential+8.5+12.2+5.1
Avg total156.0156.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa1918195%85.666.7+18.9
2 CAB Madeira1916384%84.172.6+11.5
3 Illiabum1813572%78.368.7+9.6
4 Portimonense1813572%81.675.0+6.6
5 Imortal B1811761%78.879.1-0.2
6 Maia1710759%82.273.8+8.5
7 Galomar1810856%85.381.8+3.6
8 Lusitania179853%79.975.1+4.8
9 Sampaense179853%72.276.2-3.9
10 Ginasio189950%76.279.2-3.0
11 Ginasio Olhanense1991047%79.176.4+2.7
12 Benfica Lisboa B1861233%70.773.1-2.3
13 Santo Andre1851328%74.080.7-6.7
14 Sangalhos1831517%70.486.9-16.5
15 CB Queluz171166%69.486.4-17.1
16 Academica171166%62.481.9-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portimonense1921191978
Maia291362674
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