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Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-81
24-15 18-24 16-25 27-17
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.6
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#3
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game71.6
PortugalProligaRound 12· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v Lusitania
24 Oct 2026
MAIA82
LUSI77
27 Dec 2025
MAIA85
LUSI81
16 Mar 2025
MAIA93
LUSI86
03 Jan 2021
MAIA65
LUSI76
27 Mar 2020
MAIA v LUSI
upcoming
18 Mar 2017
MAIA88
LUSI77
21 Jan 2017
MAIA82
LUSI89
05 Mar 2016
MAIA67
LUSI89
20 Feb 2016
MAIA72
LUSI79
26 Oct 2014
MAIA70
LUSI64
23 Mar 2014
MAIA60
LUSI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 68
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 68
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 68
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
60avg 68
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
110-66
110
66
+44
113avg 68
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 68
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
94avg 68
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
60avg 68
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 68
H13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
14-20
17-15
15-17
19-17
19-17
18-20
19-20
19-27
26-17
29-19
30-10
25-20
18-16
14-22
12-17
27-9
25-15
18-16
25-16
20-12
20-20
21-19
16-30
20-26
17-19
12-13
24-14
26-22
152.4Avg total
80.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.273.6153.8+6.555%
Season at home (5)83.469.8153.2+13.680%
Season away (6)77.576.8154.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)80.172.3152.4+7.860%
Last 5 (5)85.070.4155.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.480.4155.9-5.057%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.379.5155.8-3.243%
vs Weaker (9)81.966.6148.4+15.389%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
46avg 75
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
66-56
66
56
+10
64avg 75
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
55avg 75
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 75
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
87-46
87
46
+41
89avg 75
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
56avg 75
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
64-65
64
65
-1
59avg 75
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 75
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
100-71
100
71
+29
110avg 75
A13/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
16-25
18-18
13-21
18-16
9-28
20-22
16-15
20-16
15-12
10-13
21-15
20-14
15-17
17-15
17-19
17-19
17-20
14-23
25-26
21-8
23-12
22-20
21-6
16-22
20-22
28-13
9-24
16-22
13-8
18-16
17-19
28-19
25-23
23-20
24-12
22-23
21-18
34-3
23-27
147.7Avg total
76.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.671.6148.3+5.045%
Season at home (6)72.266.8139.0+5.350%
Season away (5)82.077.4159.4+4.640%
Last 10 (10)76.970.8147.7+6.150%
Last 5 (5)84.867.4152.2+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.974.0141.9-6.125%
vs Weaker (21)87.277.3164.5+9.971%
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
MaiaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/12
Proliga
74.0Avg total
37.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.074.7-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.835.972.7+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.876.5-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.374.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.275.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.740.476.1-4.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.839.975.6-4.136%-
vs Weaker (9)39.133.172.2+6.067%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A19/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H25/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H31/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H22/11
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H07/12
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/12
Proliga
74.0Avg total
37.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.378.3+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.436.474.8+2.053%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.281.9+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.174.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.476.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.039.073.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)30.635.466.0-4.825%-
vs Weaker (21)43.939.483.3+4.571%-
This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.8
48.5%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
30.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.713.8
70.1%
67.4%13.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.9
50.7%
50.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.0
25.6%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.514.3
69.8%
67.4%14.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WLWWWLLWWL
Lusitania
WWLLWLWWLL
#4
League position
#3
+10.1
Net rating
+8.2
99.9
Offensive rating
100.3
89.8
Defensive rating
92.2
49.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
24.6%
Turnover %
20.1%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
37.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
25.6%
55.4%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 100.3Defence89.8 · 92.2Shooting49.5% · 46.4%3-point %34.1% · 25.6%Ball care24.6% · 20.1%Off. rebounds37.9% · 37.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Maia   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Maia wins
6
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
31/10/25Lusitania v Maia69-65
16/03/25Maia v Lusitania93-86
25/01/25Lusitania v Maia82-69
09/12/23Lusitania v Maia76-82
03/04/21Lusitania v Maia93-67
03/01/21Maia v Lusitania65-76
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
21/01/17Maia v Lusitania82-89
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HSampaense79-68
08/12/25ACD Povoa77-95
07/12/25AAcademica88-59
22/11/25HIlliabum71-64
15/11/25HSangalhos110-66
08/11/25AGinasio75-84
31/10/25ALusitania65-69
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AAcademica100-71
08/12/25ASangalhos100-74
07/12/25HIlliabum64-65
30/11/25AGinasio73-81
22/11/25HSampaense87-46
15/11/25HCD Povoa73-88
31/10/25HMaia69-65
25/10/25HAcademica66-56
19/10/25AIlliabum63-81
11/10/25HGinasio74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game80.283.477.5
Allowed / game73.669.876.8
Point differential+6.5+13.6+0.7
Avg total153.8153.2154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game76.672.282.0
Allowed / game71.666.877.4
Point differential+5.0+5.3+4.6
Avg total148.3139.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa12120100%88.665.1+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1211192%87.772.8+14.8
3 Illiabum129375%79.268.2+11.0
4 Portimonense128467%83.377.8+5.5
5 Ginasio128467%77.975.8+2.1
6 Imortal B128467%81.280.2+1.1
7 Galomar127558%86.783.6+3.1
8 Maia116555%80.273.6+6.5
9 Ginasio Olhanense126650%82.177.6+4.5
10 Lusitania115645%76.671.6+5.0
11 Sampaense125742%71.879.0-7.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B113827%70.572.8-2.3
13 Santo Andre123925%76.485.3-8.9
14 Sangalhos1221017%68.384.0-15.7
15 CB Queluz111109%70.590.1-19.6
16 Academica120120%59.083.2-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2418162785
Lusitania1524251781
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