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Maia vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-66
24-14 27-17 27-15 18-20
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.2
Maia 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#8
Record8-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.8
PortugalProligaRound 13· Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maia v Ginasio
28 Mar 2026
MAIA87
GINA80
03 Jan 2026
MAIA96
GINA66
25 Apr 2025
MAIA88
GINA74
19 Oct 2024
MAIA86
GINA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 68
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 68
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
60avg 68
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
110-66
110
66
+44
113avg 68
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 68
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
94avg 68
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
60avg 68
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 68
H13/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 68
H27/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
14-20
17-15
15-17
19-17
19-17
18-20
19-20
19-27
26-17
29-19
30-10
25-20
18-16
14-22
12-17
27-9
25-15
18-16
25-16
20-12
20-20
21-19
16-30
20-26
17-19
12-13
24-14
26-22
24-15
18-24
16-25
27-17
153.0Avg total
81.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.674.2154.8+6.358%
Season at home (6)83.771.7155.3+12.083%
Season away (6)77.576.8154.3+0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.771.3153.0+10.470%
Last 5 (5)80.073.4153.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.480.4155.9-5.057%
vs Similar (14)77.678.1155.7-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.966.6148.4+15.389%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 66
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 66
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 66
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 66
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
57-83
57
83
-26
41avg 66
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
98avg 66
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
70avg 66
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
97-83
97
83
+14
95avg 66
A06/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
52avg 66
H13/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
76-85 OT
76
85
-9
66avg 66
A20/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
19-19
21-24
17-22
18-22
20-17
14-14
23-22
19-16
17-19
20-18
20-19
27-19
12-26
9-15
18-20
18-22
20-12
35-25
17-16
17-21
22-16
22-20
13-28
24-9
19-21
25-22
21-17
32-23
15-18
17-17
15-24
22-31
18-12
18-19
20-24
15-16
153.8Avg total
76.9Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.975.8153.8+2.167%
Season at home (6)76.770.7147.3+6.083%
Season away (6)79.281.0160.2-1.850%
Last 10 (10)76.976.9153.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)82.481.0163.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.789.0168.7-9.331%
vs Similar (8)79.481.5160.9-2.138%
vs Weaker (8)78.872.4151.1+6.475%
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
MaiaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A07/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H13/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/12
Proliga
74.4Avg total
39.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.474.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.173.3+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.138.775.7-1.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.335.174.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.873.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.740.476.1-4.743%-
vs Similar (14)36.538.675.1-2.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.133.172.2+6.067%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H13/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A20/12
Proliga
73.3Avg total
37.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.982.1+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.239.181.2+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.143.083.1-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.673.3+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.478.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.845.587.3-3.823%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.681.4+2.162%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.674.0+6.875%-
This opponent (Maia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.6
48.9%
50.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
30.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.6
71.9%
67.4%14.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.4
52.2%
50.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.0
31.1%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.5
74.9%
67.4%12.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Maia
WWLWWWLLWW
Ginasio
LLWWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#8
+13.7
Net rating
-2.0
104.5
Offensive rating
100.9
90.8
Defensive rating
102.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
24.1%
Turnover %
19.5%
39.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.5%
3-point %
31.1%
57.1%
Assist %
47.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 100.9Defence90.8 · 102.9Shooting51.2% · 50.3%3-point %36.5% · 31.1%Ball care24.1% · 19.5%Off. rebounds39.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Maia   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Maia wins
2
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Ginasio v Maia84-75
25/04/25Maia v Ginasio88-74
01/03/25Ginasio v Maia66-85
14/12/24Ginasio v Maia101-66
19/10/24Maia v Ginasio86-79
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HLusitania85-81
13/12/25HSampaense79-68
08/12/25ACD Povoa77-95
07/12/25AAcademica88-59
22/11/25HIlliabum71-64
15/11/25HSangalhos110-66
08/11/25AGinasio75-84
31/10/25ALusitania65-69
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25ASampaense76-85 OT
13/12/25HCD Povoa69-90
06/12/25ASangalhos97-83
30/11/25HLusitania81-73
22/11/25AAcademica89-74
15/11/25AIlliabum57-83
08/11/25HMaia84-75
01/11/25HSampaense76-69
25/10/25ACD Povoa75-87
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game80.683.777.5
Allowed / game74.271.776.8
Point differential+6.3+12.0+0.7
Avg total154.8155.3154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game77.976.779.2
Allowed / game75.870.781.0
Point differential+2.1+6.0-1.8
Avg total153.8147.3160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa12120100%88.665.1+23.5
2 CAB Madeira1211192%87.772.8+14.8
3 Illiabum129375%79.268.2+11.0
4 Portimonense139469%83.576.0+7.5
5 Ginasio128467%77.975.8+2.1
6 Imortal B128467%81.280.2+1.1
7 Galomar138562%87.083.2+3.8
8 Maia127558%80.674.2+6.3
9 Ginasio Olhanense137654%81.877.4+4.4
10 Lusitania125742%77.072.8+4.2
11 Sampaense125742%71.879.0-7.2
12 Benfica Lisboa B123925%71.274.3-3.2
13 Santo Andre1331023%76.384.8-8.5
14 Sangalhos1221017%68.384.0-15.7
15 CB Queluz121118%69.189.8-20.7
16 Academica120120%59.083.2-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maia2427271896
Ginasio1417152066
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