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CD Povoa vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 95-77
20-20 19-21 30-16 26-20
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#4
Record5-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game71.9
PortugalProligaRound 9· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Maia
01 Mar 2026
CD P85
MAIA76
08 Dec 2025
CD P95
MAIA77
14 Jan 2024
CD P98
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 67
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 67
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 67
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 67
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 67
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 67
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 67
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 67
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 67
H07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
153.3Avg total
88.3Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.162.8151.9+26.3100%
Season at home (4)89.056.2145.2+32.8100%
Season away (5)89.268.0157.2+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)88.365.0153.3+23.390%
Last 5 (5)88.058.2146.2+29.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.583.0152.5-13.514%
vs Similar (6)84.286.7170.8-2.517%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.162.8151.9+26.3100%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
61avg 68
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
64avg 68
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-91
69
91
-22
48avg 68
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-60
88
60
+28
85avg 68
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 68
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
65-69
65
69
-4
60avg 68
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
110-66
110
66
+44
113avg 68
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 68
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
94avg 68
A07/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
13-17
18-17
23-17
18-21
21-22
26-25
16-19
15-22
11-29
23-17
20-23
22-15
23-13
21-16
22-16
23-16
15-20
22-17
19-14
14-20
17-15
15-17
19-17
19-17
18-20
19-20
19-27
26-17
29-19
30-10
25-20
18-16
14-22
12-17
27-9
25-15
18-16
25-16
20-12
152.1Avg total
80.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.771.9152.6+8.856%
Season at home (4)84.570.2154.8+14.275%
Season away (5)77.673.2150.8+4.440%
Last 10 (10)80.271.9152.1+8.360%
Last 5 (5)81.868.4150.2+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.981.2154.1-8.450%
vs Similar (14)76.379.5155.8-3.243%
vs Weaker (8)82.266.4148.6+15.988%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.3+8.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.3+8.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +7.4+7.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
CD PovoaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
77.9Avg total
46.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.577.6+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.777.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.738.277.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.831.177.9+15.790%-
Last 5 (5)48.427.876.2+20.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.339.475.6-3.143%-
vs Similar (6)39.344.383.7-5.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.429.276.7+18.2100%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A04/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H11/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A31/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A07/12
Proliga
75.4Avg total
38.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.875.5-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.236.974.1+0.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.240.576.7-4.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.375.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.475.0+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.542.677.1-8.125%-
vs Similar (14)35.839.975.6-4.136%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.273.6+7.175%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.5
55.7%
50.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.0
32.7%
30.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.111.5
63.5%
67.4%11.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.0
51.2%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
30.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
67.4%15.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWL
Maia
WWWLLWWLLW
#1
League position
#4
+24.9
Net rating
+10.6
107.1
Offensive rating
101.7
82.2
Defensive rating
91.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.8%
40.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
20.9%
Turnover %
23.3%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.7%
3-point %
32.0%
58.7%
Assist %
55.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 101.7Defence82.2 · 91.1Shooting53.0% · 49.8%3-point %32.7% · 32.0%Ball care20.9% · 23.3%Off. rebounds35.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CD Povoa wins
0
Maia wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Maia v CD Povoa69-91
14/01/24CD Povoa v Maia98-68
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AAcademica88-59
22/11/25HIlliabum71-64
15/11/25HSangalhos110-66
08/11/25AGinasio75-84
31/10/25ALusitania65-69
25/10/25ASampaense79-67
18/10/25HAcademica88-60
11/10/25HCD Povoa69-91
04/10/25AIlliabum81-87
04/05/25ABarreirense76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.189.089.2
Allowed / game62.856.268.0
Point differential+26.3+32.8+21.2
Avg total151.9145.2157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game80.784.577.6
Allowed / game71.970.273.2
Point differential+8.8+14.2+4.4
Avg total152.6154.8150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa990100%89.162.8+26.3
2 CAB Madeira109190%89.673.2+16.4
3 Illiabum108280%79.067.6+11.4
4 Imortal B108280%84.678.4+6.2
5 Ginasio108280%79.073.5+5.5
6 Portimonense97278%82.975.6+7.3
7 Galomar106460%85.682.5+3.1
8 Maia95456%80.771.9+8.8
9 Lusitania104640%74.371.7+2.6
10 Ginasio Olhanense104640%79.578.2+1.3
11 Sampaense104640%70.879.3-8.5
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%70.372.6-2.3
13 Santo Andre102820%73.583.9-10.4
14 Sangalhos101910%67.985.3-17.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica100100%57.282.4-25.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2019302695
Maia2021162077
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