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Portland State vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 73-57
35-22 38-35
Position#184
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game61.8
Portland State 🏆
USA
vs
Cal Poly
USA
Position#364
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Portland State v Cal Poly
18 Nov 2023
PORT73
CAL 57
11 Dec 2021
PORT58
CAL 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#309
W
88-87
88
87
+1
A11/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H17/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A10/11
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H12/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-39
45-48
34-36
45-34
27-27
30-38
42-43
36-48
36-38
38-38
33-40
47-44
31-27
31-28
40-40
42-36
32-23
38-30
29-34
37-29
145.6Avg total
73.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.061.8131.8+8.2100%
Season at home (1)70.053.0123.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)70.064.7134.7+5.3100%
Last 10 (10)73.672.0145.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)72.066.2138.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.088.3164.3-12.30%
vs Similar (16)71.971.6143.5+0.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)70.070.3140.3-0.343%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#119
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-36
41-47
31-27
25-32
26-24
26-34
29-28
33-34
35-40
53-28
32-26
22-38
47-33
33-29
33-51
43-46
31-41
35-39
31-22
30-38
137.1Avg total
66.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.874.8145.5-4.050%
Season at home (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)67.779.0146.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)66.770.4137.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)67.472.6140.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)60.167.8128.0-7.717%
vs Similar (5)59.464.6124.0-5.220%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -2.4-2.4
Portland StateCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#309
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/02
NCAA
Weber State
#165
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Montana State
#54
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#253
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Air Force
#331
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A07/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Linfield
#465
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H12/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A18/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
34.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.070.6+0.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.933.869.6+2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)35.436.471.8-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.769.4+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.032.865.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.343.580.8-6.20%-
vs Similar (16)33.534.367.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.133.068.1+2.157%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Fullerton
#119
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A18/11
NCAA
64.4Avg total
31.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.931.058.9-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.630.659.3-2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)27.331.358.6-4.031%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.864.4-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.669.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)27.531.859.2-4.238%-
vs Similar (5)26.227.053.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portland State wins
2
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22Cal Poly v Portland State72-49
12/12/21Portland State v Cal Poly58-61
Portland Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ACalifornia Baptist66-63
12/11/23HLinfield70-53
10/11/23AUC Santa Barbara82-76
07/11/23AAir Force62-55
05/03/23HNorthern Colorado80-84
28/02/23HSacramento State74-76
25/02/23AMontana State78-91
19/02/23HWeber State57-65
17/02/23HIdaho State79-70
11/02/23ANorthern Arizona88-87
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)61-60
12/11/23AWyoming66-80
10/11/23ADenver76-97
07/11/23HLa Verne80-62
10/03/23AUC Santa Barbara54-64
08/03/23ALong Beach State88-68
05/03/23HUC Riverside72-73 OT
25/02/23HUC Davis52-58
21/02/23HUC Irvine56-59
19/02/23ACS Fullerton62-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.070.070.0
Allowed / game61.853.064.7
Point differential+8.2+17.0+5.3
Avg total131.8123.0134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game70.880.067.7
Allowed / game74.862.079.0
Point differential-4.0+18.0-11.3
Avg total145.5142.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State440100%70.061.8+8.2
2 Montana State32167%78.064.7+13.3
3 Weber State32167%72.760.3+12.3
4 Northern Colorado32167%77.367.0+10.3
5 Idaho42250%79.063.5+15.5
6 Idaho State42250%71.256.8+14.5
7 Montana42250%78.869.2+9.5
8 Northern Arizona52340%62.878.0-15.2
9 Sacramento State41325%80.281.5-1.2
10 East. Washington4040%68.289.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego330100%93.369.0+24.3
2 Hawaii110100%92.073.0+19.0
3 UC Irvine43175%84.064.2+19.8
4 CS Northridge43175%81.873.0+8.8
5 UC Davis32167%70.769.7+1.0
6 Long Beach State42250%80.081.2-1.2
7 CSU Bakersfield42250%68.071.0-3.0
8 Cal Poly42250%70.874.8-4.0
9 CS Fullerton31233%59.767.7-8.0
10 UC Riverside41325%61.576.0-14.5
11 UC Santa Barbara2020%76.085.5-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland State353873
Cal Poly223557
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