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Portugal vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 82-74
22-10 27-14 15-24 18-26
Position#14
Record6-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Position#11
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Complexo Municipal dos Desportos
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Hungary
#42
L
68-69
68
69
-1
no box
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
75-59
75
59
+16
no box
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
102-69
102
69
+33
no box
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
92-62
92
62
+30
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 61
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
73avg 61
A25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
18-19
21-13
16-16
14-19
16-26
21-21
11-11
17-14
25-16
19-19
14-10
35-17
23-22
23-18
21-12
21-20
23-32
23-12
21-14
27-14
27-27
18-10
20-11
21-9
17-27
26-22
11-8
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
151.2Avg total
79.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.971.6154.5+11.275%
Season at home (4)88.070.2158.2+17.875%
Season away (4)77.873.0150.8+4.875%
Last 10 (10)79.371.9151.2+7.460%
Last 5 (5)79.673.4153.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.775.3139.0-11.722%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.481.4157.8-5.038%
vs Weaker (13)80.467.0147.4+13.485%
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H26/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
92-77
92
77
+15
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
86avg 76
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
84avg 76
H25/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-33
25-18
22-12
22-22
16-17
29-16
18-17
25-17
24-21
21-17
24-17
23-22
28-18
21-22
17-22
25-18
25-11
9-27
18-30
19-32
24-26
26-24
21-30
18-20
21-33
22-20
20-22
21-25
15-18
27-23
28-19
19-25
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
8-20
32-17
25-16
23-26
172.5Avg total
87.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.576.0163.5+11.5100%
Season at home (2)87.576.0163.5+11.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.984.6172.5+3.370%
Last 5 (5)87.487.4174.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.290.8172.0-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.182.9170.1+4.269%
vs Weaker (8)90.579.1169.6+11.475%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
PortugalSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#42
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A01/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H04/07
World Cup
Romania
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A25/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H28/08
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A23/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
81.6Avg total
42.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.876.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.836.377.1+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.437.375.7+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.681.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.081.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.834.269.0+0.656%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.643.081.6-4.425%-
vs Weaker (13)43.534.878.4+8.777%-
This opponent (Slovenia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezuela
#43
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H26/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A28/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H01/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/02
EuroBasket
86.4Avg total
44.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.384.7+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.143.888.9+1.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.338.679.9+2.757%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.186.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.842.184.9+0.662%-
vs Weaker (8)46.039.885.8+6.275%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.6
53.9%
50.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.0
35.1%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.013.6
68.1%
71.4%13.6
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀33%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.014.5
48.3%
50.6%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.0
35.8%
32.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws29.022.5
77.6%
71.4%22.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/2 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
WLLWWWWWLL
Slovenia
WWWLLLWWWW
#14
League position
#11
+15.3
Net rating
+17.6
113.5
Offensive rating
114.3
98.3
Defensive rating
96.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.1%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.46
35.1%
3-point %
35.8%
66.2%
Assist %
77.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 114.3Defence98.3 · 96.7Shooting53.4% · 51.2%3-point %35.1% · 35.8%Ball care17.6% · 19.1%Off. rebounds37.4% · 37.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Portugal   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portugal wins
0
Slovenia wins
No previous meetings.
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AUkraine79-77
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
23/02/23ACyprus75-66
13/11/22HRomania92-62
10/11/22HBulgaria88-78
28/08/22HCyprus102-69
25/08/22ARomania75-59
04/07/22HMontenegro62-77
01/07/22AHungary68-69
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HIsrael88-79
22/02/24HUkraine87-73
09/09/23AItaly89-85
07/09/23ALithuania84-100
06/09/23ACanada89-100
03/09/23AGermany71-100
01/09/23HAustralia91-80
30/08/23HCape Verde92-77
28/08/23AGeorgia88-67
26/08/23HVenezuela100-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.988.077.8
Allowed / game71.670.273.0
Point differential+11.2+17.8+4.8
Avg total154.5158.2150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Slovenia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.587.5-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+11.5+11.5-
Avg total163.5163.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia330100%75.058.7+16.3
2 Italy220100%85.071.0+14.0
3 France330100%74.061.3+12.7
4 Slovenia220100%87.576.0+11.5
5 Latvia330100%72.766.3+6.3
6 Estonia330100%73.768.7+5.0
7 Croatia1311285%84.567.5+17.0
8 Portugal86275%82.971.6+11.2
9 Bulgaria139469%78.173.2+4.8
10 Lithuania32167%74.765.3+9.3
11 Montenegro32167%80.372.3+8.0
12 Czech Republic32167%83.376.0+7.3
13 North Macedonia96367%74.266.9+7.3
14 Turkey32167%82.776.0+6.7
15 Belgium32167%68.362.7+5.7
16 Greece32167%72.769.7+3.0
17 Great Britain32167%84.385.3-1.0
18 Sweden32167%75.779.0-3.3
19 Slovakia138562%73.169.3+3.8
20 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
21 Poland95456%78.474.8+3.7
22 Denmark179853%75.872.2+3.6
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Israel21150%75.579.0-3.5
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Germany31233%73.067.0+6.0
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.776.3+3.3
32 Spain31233%68.069.7-1.7
33 Georgia31233%74.078.0-4.0
34 Finland31233%77.784.0-6.3
35 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
36 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
37 Cyprus151147%63.180.5-17.3
38 Ukraine2020%75.083.0-8.0
39 Netherlands3030%80.089.3-9.3
40 Hungary3030%64.381.7-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal2227151882
Slovenia1014242674
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