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Poznan vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-85
16-18 18-19 21-24 18-24
Position#12
Record12-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#10
Record9-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game80.4
Poland1 LigaRound 22· Cityzen hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Poznan v Starogard Gdanski
05 Dec 2026
POZN v STAR
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
POZN63
STAR70
25 Jan 2025
POZN73
STAR85
28 Feb 2024
POZN85
STAR76
03 Dec 2022
POZN80
STAR89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
82-81
82
81
+1
79avg 78
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 78
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
86avg 78
H04/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 78
A08/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 78
H14/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 78
A22/12
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
80-63
80
63
+17
70avg 78
H04/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 78
A10/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
72avg 78
H15/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
91-64
91
64
+27
83avg 78
A19/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-23
22-17
20-19
23-23
14-24
22-19
17-20
17-24
30-23
20-25
27-24
28-23
25-19
19-19
24-33
18-23
22-19
19-19
20-15
21-19
20-23
29-20
14-23
22-16
13-13
24-16
21-18
14-15
10-20
16-21
15-8
18-25
26-19
19-20
17-16
19-13
20-17
27-16
25-18
162.0Avg total
82.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.579.7164.1+4.857%
Season at home (11)88.678.5167.1+10.273%
Season away (10)79.981.0160.9-1.140%
Last 10 (10)82.379.7162.0+2.650%
Last 5 (5)79.272.8152.0+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.583.5162.0-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (18)83.981.1165.0+2.950%
vs Weaker (8)91.273.6164.9+17.6100%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
57avg 78
A30/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
87-91
87
91
-4
73avg 78
H04/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
75-77
75
77
-2
56avg 78
A08/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
75avg 78
H14/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
102-78
102
78
+24
98avg 78
H22/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-103
77
103
-26
64avg 78
H29/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 78
A04/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 78
H11/01
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
74-58
74
58
+16
64avg 78
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 78
H22/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
12-20
21-12
15-16
25-19
15-21
30-20
17-31
14-30
24-14
16-17
21-16
15-29
33-12
13-21
25-26
23-20
23-20
29-17
27-21
18-33
26-18
11-30
22-22
12-20
31-18
15-21
13-18
20-19
19-18
19-17
14-25
27-19
14-13
13-12
20-14
16-21
18-18
19-13
17-21
158.2Avg total
78.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.580.4161.9+1.043%
Season at home (12)82.779.9162.6+2.850%
Season away (9)79.981.1161.0-1.233%
Last 10 (10)78.379.9158.2-1.620%
Last 5 (5)72.878.0150.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.988.3164.1-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.879.8162.7+3.054%
vs Weaker (10)92.486.9179.3+5.560%
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
PoznanStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/11
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A30/11
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/12
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/12
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H04/01
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A10/01
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/01
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A19/01
1 Liga
80.3Avg total
40.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.183.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.038.683.6+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.984.3+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.380.3-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.072.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.042.881.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.940.283.1+2.756%-
vs Weaker (8)48.138.886.9+9.488%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A30/11
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/12
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A08/12
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H29/12
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/01
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/01
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/01
1 Liga
79.5Avg total
39.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.584.9-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.182.9+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)41.945.487.2-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.679.5+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.344.786.0-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.340.281.5+1.154%-
vs Weaker (10)44.544.088.5+0.560%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.8
48.3%
51.0%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.117.5
75.8%
70.2%17.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.7
47.0%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.3
30.3%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.515.2
67.6%
70.2%15.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
WLLWLWWLLW
Starogard Gdanski
LWLLLWLLLL
#12
League position
#10
+1.3
Net rating
-1.6
105.7
Offensive rating
101.9
104.4
Defensive rating
103.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
30.3%
58.6%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 101.9Defence104.4 · 103.5Shooting48.5% · 46.4%3-point %32.5% · 30.3%Ball care17.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Poznan   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Poznan wins
3
Starogard Gdanski wins
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25ASlask Wroclaw II91-64
15/01/25HMKKS Koszalin86-88 OT
10/01/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg55-64
04/01/25HInowroclaw80-63
22/12/24AWKK Wroclaw84-85
14/12/24HPoli. Opolska79-76
08/12/24APelplin96-94
04/12/24HLKS Lodz94-96
30/11/24ALancut76-86
24/11/24HHydroTruck Radom82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HKrosno70-73
15/01/25ATrefl Sopot II74-58
11/01/25HPolonia Warszawa72-79
04/01/25AGKS Tychy71-77
29/12/24HBydgoszcz77-103
22/12/24HR. Rzeszow102-78
14/12/24HLancut86-88
08/12/24ASlask Wroclaw II75-77
04/12/24HMKKS Koszalin87-91
30/11/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg69-75 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game84.588.679.9
Allowed / game79.778.581.0
Point differential+4.8+10.2-1.1
Avg total164.1167.1160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL43%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game81.582.779.9
Allowed / game80.479.981.1
Point differential+1.0+2.8-1.2
Avg total161.9162.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2117481%85.579.4+6.1
2 Bydgoszcz2115671%83.077.0+6.0
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg2213959%80.575.4+5.2
4 WKK Wroclaw2213959%82.579.7+2.9
5 Inowroclaw2213959%81.281.9-0.7
6 Poznan2112957%84.579.7+4.8
7 Pelplin2112957%83.483.2+0.2
8 Lancut21111052%84.384.0+0.3
9 Polonia Warszawa22111150%83.280.9+2.3
10 GKS Tychy22111150%80.879.6+1.2
11 LKS Lodz21101148%84.784.8-0.1
12 Starogard Gdanski2191243%81.580.4+1.0
13 MKKS Koszalin2191243%81.185.3-4.2
14 Poli. Opolska2291341%81.583.3-1.9
15 R. Rzeszow2181338%76.484.3-7.9
16 Slask Wroclaw II2171433%74.381.3-7.0
17 Trefl Sopot II2161529%82.286.4-4.2
18 HydroTruck Radom2161529%76.981.3-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poznan1618211873
Starogard Gdanski1819242485
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