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Poznan vs Leszno Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game74.3
Poland1 LigaRound 23· Cityzen hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Poznan v Leszno
20 Feb 2027
POZN v LESZ
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
POZN83
LESZ72
16 Oct 2019
POZN104
LESZ101
22 Dec 2018
POZN78
LESZ65
18 Oct 2017
POZN71
LESZ68
25 Mar 2017
POZN67
LESZ68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poznan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leszno win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PoznanPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoznan
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 76
H15/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
96-75
96
75
+21
97avg 76
H19/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
107-98
107
98
+9
102avg 76
A26/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 76
H04/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 76
A11/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
90-80
90
80
+10
88avg 76
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
77avg 76
A25/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
82avg 76
H31/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A07/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
99-70
99
70
+29
no box
H15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
23-23
24-17
9-22
24-16
22-20
24-12
26-27
28-20
19-25
38-21
22-32
31-17
18-26
13-27
32-29
12-18
24-23
24-22
19-23
22-20
21-19
15-17
32-24
21-26
20-16
20-20
18-17
24-16
13-14
25-15
21-30
27-29
24-24
22-31
16-16
32-21
30-14
18-17
19-18
174.7Avg total
90.1Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.985.2177.1+6.767%
Season at home (5)92.479.8172.2+12.680%
Season away (4)91.292.0183.2-0.850%
Last 10 (10)90.184.6174.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)90.281.8172.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.088.2165.2-11.20%
vs Similar (16)81.584.2165.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (8)91.179.8170.9+11.488%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeszno
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 79
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
80-71
80
71
+9
73avg 79
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 79
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
98-72
98
72
+26
96avg 79
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
99-77
99
77
+22
96avg 79
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
96avg 79
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
84-59
84
59
+25
87avg 79
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 79
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
W
100-89
100
89
+11
no box
H07/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
67-66
67
66
+1
no box
A15/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
16-33
21-19
27-16
17-22
33-15
17-14
13-20
28-21
23-19
19-15
21-19
23-20
23-25
24-16
28-11
29-18
19-21
34-21
17-17
21-30
24-8
25-29
24-18
20-15
23-15
18-17
23-12
29-19
16-21
20-8
25-28
29-27
24-24
31-22
16-16
22-21
12-12
14-24
19-9
164.4Avg total
88.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.274.3163.6+14.9100%
Season at home (5)90.874.0164.8+16.8100%
Season away (4)87.274.8162.0+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.276.2164.4+12.090%
Last 5 (5)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.487.2169.6-4.840%
vs Similar (10)77.080.3157.3-3.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
PoznanLeszno
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PoznanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H15/04
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H04/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H31/10
1 Liga
Leszno
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A07/11
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H15/11
1 Liga
85.7Avg total
45.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.883.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.782.8+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.841.983.7-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.485.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.886.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.541.385.8+3.250%-
vs Similar (16)41.142.383.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker (8)43.837.481.1+6.475%-
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LesznoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A15/04
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H26/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/09
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/10
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H10/10
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#14
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/10
1 Liga
Bytom
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A31/10
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H07/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/11
1 Liga
85.7Avg total
44.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.882.3+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.583.5-1.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.641.185.7+3.590%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.482.4+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.343.583.8-3.250%-
vs Similar (10)39.340.980.2-1.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.838.182.9+6.7100%-
This opponent (Poznan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Poznantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poznan: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.1
52.9%
53.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.2
37.1%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.214.6
62.9%
70.8%14.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lesznotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leszno: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.9
55.7%
53.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.2
36.7%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.716.6
73.1%
70.8%16.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poznan
WLWWWLLWWL
Leszno
WWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#1
+1.6
Net rating
+12.5
96.2
Offensive rating
102.8
94.6
Defensive rating
90.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
15.2%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
36.7%
58.1%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 102.8Defence94.6 · 90.3Shooting53.9% · 55.4%3-point %37.1% · 36.7%Ball care15.2% · 13.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Poznan   ■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Poznan wins
3
Leszno wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Leszno v Poznan100-89
21/01/26Poznan v Leszno83-72
01/10/25Leszno v Poznan64-90
22/01/20Leszno v Poznan68-88
16/10/19Poznan v Leszno104-101
31/03/19Leszno v Poznan86-96
22/12/18Poznan v Leszno78-65
31/01/18Leszno v Poznan82-63
18/10/17Poznan v Leszno71-68
25/03/17Poznan v Leszno67-68
Poznanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HWKK Wroclaw99-70
07/11/26ALeszno89-100
31/10/26HInowroclaw83-75
25/10/26AKotwica Kolobrzeg90-84 OT
18/10/26HLancut90-80
11/10/26ALKS Lodz79-86
04/10/26HSpojnia Stargard94-99
26/09/26AKrosno107-98
19/09/26HPoli. Opolska96-75
15/04/26HMiners Katowice74-79
Lesznolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26APoli. Opolska67-66
07/11/26HPoznan100-89
31/10/26ABytom90-76
25/10/26HGKS Tychy84-59
17/10/26AStarogard Gdanski94-85
10/10/26HPolonia Warszawa99-77
03/10/26AR. Rzeszow98-72
30/09/26HPelplin91-74
26/09/26HWKK Wroclaw80-71
15/04/26ALKS Lodz79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poznan
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game91.992.491.2
Allowed / game85.279.892.0
Point differential+6.7+12.6-0.8
Avg total177.1172.2183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
Leszno
1 Liga 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.290.887.2
Allowed / game74.374.074.8
Point differential+14.9+16.8+12.5
Avg total163.6164.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leszno990100%89.274.3+14.9
2 Spojnia Stargard97278%90.786.2+4.4
3 LKS Lodz96367%89.381.2+8.1
4 Poznan96367%91.985.2+6.7
5 Inowroclaw96367%80.278.3+1.9
6 Lancut95456%87.685.0+2.6
7 Pelplin95456%92.893.4-0.7
8 WKK Wroclaw95456%82.283.4-1.2
9 Polonia Warszawa95456%88.292.6-4.3
10 GKS Tychy94544%79.679.1+0.4
11 Kotwica Kolobrzeg94544%89.689.1+0.4
12 R. Rzeszow93633%81.888.2-6.4
13 Krosno92722%83.787.7-4.0
14 Starogard Gdanski92722%87.793.8-6.1
15 Bytom92722%82.789.0-6.3
16 Poli. Opolska91811%79.289.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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