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Princeton vs Monmouth Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 76-65
Projected total 141.5
Scheduled
Position#132
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game61.2
Vs
84%
16%
■ PRIN 84%■ MONM 16%
Pythia win probability
Position#329
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Princeton v Monmouth
20 Nov 2026
PRIN v MONM
upcoming
10 Dec 2024
PRIN71
MONM67
10 Dec 2022
PRIN91
MONM54
10 Dec 2019
PRIN66
MONM67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Princeton host Monmouth in the NCAA. Pythia makes Princeton the favourite at 84% and projects 76-65, about 142 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Princeton are 3-1 this season (68.8 scored, 61.2 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Monmouth are 1-3 this season (61.0 scored, 79.2 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Princeton win
84.2%fair 1.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Monmouth win
15.8%fair 6.31
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrincetonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
L
65-89
65
89
-24
H14/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Carnegie Mellon
#423
W
78-46
78
46
+32
H02/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#210
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H06/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#274
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
38-45
31-30
34-45
37-42
34-38
33-21
23-37
43-28
39-33
30-32
23-46
38-19
40-27
23-30
37-28
29-39
39-43
39-21
30-38
135.3Avg total
66.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.861.2130.0+7.575%
Season at home (3)69.054.3123.3+14.7100%
Season away (1)68.082.0150.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)66.768.6135.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)65.664.6130.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)66.273.3139.5-7.120%
vs Similar (8)69.065.1134.1+3.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
This opponent (Monmouth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonmouthUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H27/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#22
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A02/11
NCAA
Bradley
#252
L
41-85
41
85
-44
A03/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#43
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A07/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#267
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-35
33-34
34-28
39-29
52-42
37-41
32-33
33-24
30-24
44-40
32-35
37-40
29-45
34-33
19-37
22-48
22-36
44-48
36-37
38-33
141.8Avg total
69.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.079.2140.2-18.225%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)61.079.2140.2-18.225%
Last 10 (10)69.672.2141.8-2.660%
Last 5 (5)62.678.4141.0-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)62.976.4139.2-13.512%
vs Similar (17)72.068.1140.1+3.965%
vs Weaker (5)76.673.8150.4+2.880%
This opponent (Princeton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
36.2%
Under 147
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
25.3%
Under 152
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
16.6%
Under 157
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Princeton total 82
Over 82
28.1%
Under 82
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Princeton total 86
Over 86
16.0%
Under 86
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Princeton total 90
Over 90
8.1%
Under 90
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 62
Over 62
61.9%
Under 62
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 66
Over 66
45.7%
Under 66
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monmouth total 70
Over 70
30.4%
Under 70
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Princeton -3
PRIN -3
78.8%
MONM +3
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
PRIN
No market prices yet.
MONM
No market prices yet.
Spread Princeton 0
PRIN 0
84.2%
MONM 0
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
PRIN
No market prices yet.
MONM
No market prices yet.
Spread Princeton +3
PRIN +3
89.1%
MONM -3
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
PRIN
No market prices yet.
MONM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -0.9-0.9
PrincetonMonmouth
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PrincetonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cornell
#175
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H14/02
NCAA
Columbia
#141
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Brown
#319
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Harvard
#133
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H28/02
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Carnegie Mellon
#423
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H02/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#210
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H06/11
NCAA
Siena
#133
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Stony Brook
#274
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H12/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.0Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.332.463.8-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.128.960.0+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)31.536.067.5-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)33.030.663.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.828.260.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)30.234.364.5-4.030%-
vs Similar (8)33.629.863.4+3.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)28.030.058.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Monmouth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonmouthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#182
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H27/02
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A04/03
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H09/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A10/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#22
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/11
NCAA
Bradley
#252
L
19-37
19
37
-18
A03/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#43
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#267
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
33.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.867.3-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.433.566.9-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)33.734.067.7-0.344%-
Last 10 (10)33.535.268.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)27.638.065.6-10.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.935.964.8-7.012%-
vs Similar (17)35.232.467.5+2.871%-
vs Weaker (5)35.435.270.6+0.240%-
This opponent (Princeton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Princeton wins
3
Monmouth wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Monmouth v Princeton63-58
11/12/24Princeton v Monmouth71-67
18/11/23Monmouth v Princeton57-82
11/12/22Princeton v Monmouth91-54
25/11/21Monmouth v Princeton76-64
11/12/19Princeton v Monmouth66-67
Princetonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HStony Brook69-59
08/11/26ASiena68-82
06/11/26HHofstra60-58
02/11/26HCarnegie Mellon78-46
07/03/26AYale53-78
28/02/26HDartmouth82-61
28/02/26HHarvard56-58
21/02/26ABrown71-80
14/02/26HColumbia65-75
14/02/26HCornell65-89
Monmouthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AQuinnipiac74-70
07/11/26ARhode Island66-84
03/11/26ABradley41-85
02/11/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)63-78
10/03/26AHofstra69-75
09/03/26HCampbell74-64
08/03/26HDrexel65-57
04/03/26ANortheastern89-83
28/02/26HElon73-57
27/02/26HStony Brook82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Princeton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game68.869.068.0
Allowed / game61.254.382.0
Point differential+7.5+14.7-14.0
Avg total130.0123.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monmouth
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
Home--
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game61.0-61.0
Allowed / game79.2-79.2
Point differential-18.2--18.2
Avg total140.2-140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ivy League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Columbia43175%85.864.0+21.8
2 Dartmouth43175%83.066.5+16.5
3 Princeton43175%68.861.2+7.5
4 Harvard42250%65.862.8+3.0
5 Cornell42250%78.275.8+2.5
6 Penn41325%75.285.2-10.0
7 Yale41325%70.280.8-10.5
8 Brown51420%68.470.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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