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Prometey vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-67
28-17 23-15 23-18 21-17
Position#7
Record10-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#11
Record9-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game75.1
EuropeEurocup· Arena Riga
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
101-71
101
71
+30
106avg 84
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
113-105
113
105
+8
110avg 84
A24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#12
L
92-108
92
108
-16
83avg 84
A30/01
Eurocup
Viimsi
#15
W
91-67
91
67
+24
95avg 84
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
92avg 84
H07/02
Eurocup
Ventspils
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 84
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
91-68
91
68
+23
97avg 84
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 84
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
83-70
83
70
+13
82avg 84
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 84
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-14
22-19
28-18
29-22
27-30
25-30
32-23
28-18
29-27
14-38
21-25
29-11
20-21
19-19
23-16
27-27
20-26
11-18
36-9
14-22
28-18
20-19
24-18
22-20
23-19
21-13
25-16
22-14
23-14
21-18
25-31
21-23
16-16
26-20
20-11
29-26
10-15
19-16
18-26
172.4Avg total
91.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.887.4176.2+1.356%
Season at home (9)92.184.1176.2+8.078%
Season away (9)85.490.8176.2-5.333%
Last 10 (10)91.880.6172.4+11.280%
Last 5 (5)85.475.0160.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)94.395.7190.0-1.367%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.084.7172.7+3.350%
vs Weaker (21)92.170.6162.8+21.590%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
88avg 67
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
55avg 67
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
98-91
98
91
+7
90avg 67
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 67
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 67
A05/02
Basket League
Trento
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
78avg 67
H07/02
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
62avg 67
H11/02
Basket League
PAOK
#30
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 67
A15/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#12
L
65-76
65
76
-11
58avg 67
A17/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
57-70
57
70
-13
45avg 67
A02/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
24-20
24-29
26-20
10-22
24-17
17-20
17-17
23-18
30-30
18-21
27-22
23-26
26-14
22-8
15-18
25-10
14-24
12-23
22-13
15-25
19-16
17-11
33-25
24-22
16-14
18-15
19-12
11-25
18-18
17-14
30-17
16-19
17-25
11-14
21-18
14-20
15-17
12-19
16-14
153.1Avg total
77.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.675.1149.7-0.650%
Season at home (9)74.674.1148.7+0.456%
Season away (9)74.676.1150.7-1.644%
Last 10 (10)77.775.4153.1+2.370%
Last 5 (5)71.872.0143.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.877.9146.7-9.118%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.577.5159.0+3.973%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.0160.0+10.067%
This opponent (Prometey) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +5.0+5.0
PrometeyAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A24/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/01
Eurocup
Viimsi
#15
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H07/02
Eurocup
Ventspils
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
87.1Avg total
46.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.738.385.0+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.138.586.5+9.677%-
Last 30 away (17)45.638.283.8+7.571%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.387.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.750.097.7-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.344.389.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (21)47.034.981.9+12.086%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A05/02
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H07/02
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/02
Basket League
PAOK
#30
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/02
Greek Cup
Panathinaikos
#12
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A02/03
Basket League
78.7Avg total
38.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.076.3-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.836.173.9+1.867%-
Last 30 away (18)37.040.977.9-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.478.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.040.273.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.638.872.5-5.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.539.379.9+1.260%-
vs Weaker (3)37.736.374.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.925.3
60.4%
54.0%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
35.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.915.7
71.7%
74.5%15.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.2
53.7%
54.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.1
33.1%
35.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
74.5%12.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prometey
LWWWWWWLWW
Aris
LLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#11
+13.3
Net rating
+2.6
117.2
Offensive rating
104.4
103.9
Defensive rating
101.8
56.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
33.1%
70.4%
Assist %
51.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 104.4Defence103.9 · 101.8Shooting56.6% · 51.9%3-point %33.3% · 33.1%Ball care15.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.2% · 30.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Prometey   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prometey wins
0
Aris wins
No previous meetings.
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AVEF Riga76-83
28/02/24ABK Liepaja83-70
16/02/24HValmiera Glass Via91-77
14/02/24ABK Ogre91-68
10/02/24HVentspils86-77
07/02/24HJoventut Badalona94-80
04/02/24AViimsi91-67
30/01/24AVenezia92-108
24/01/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv113-105
20/01/24HTal Tech101-71
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24APromitheas57-70
17/02/24APanathinaikos65-76
15/02/24APAOK76-74
11/02/24HPAOK77-63
07/02/24HTrento84-77
05/02/24APanathinaikos73-70
31/01/24AUlm86-66
28/01/24HKolossos Rhodes98-91
24/01/24HJL Bourg68-76
20/01/24AAEK Athens93-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prometey
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game88.892.185.4
Allowed / game87.484.190.8
Point differential+1.3+8.0-5.3
Avg total176.2176.2176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game74.674.674.6
Allowed / game75.174.176.1
Point differential-0.6+0.4-1.6
Avg total149.7148.7150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%11%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1817194%99.379.1+20.2
2 JL Bourg1814478%83.476.4+7.0
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1813572%96.188.9+7.2
4 Cluj-Napoca1813572%86.582.7+3.8
5 Gran Canaria1812667%88.980.9+8.1
6 London Lions1812667%90.387.1+3.2
7 Joventut Badalona1911858%86.485.0+1.4
8 Prometey1810856%88.887.4+1.3
9 Ulm1910953%86.486.7-0.3
10 Aris189950%74.675.1-0.6
11 Besiktas189950%78.980.4-1.5
12 Turk Telekom1881044%80.280.2+0.0
13 Venezia1881044%84.785.8-1.2
14 Buducnost1881044%79.781.4-1.8
15 BC Wolves1881044%81.887.2-5.4
16 Trento1871139%79.783.8-4.1
17 Lietkabelis1871139%82.687.1-4.4
18 Slask Wroclaw1821611%76.784.9-8.3
19 Hamburg1821611%82.398.7-16.4
20 Cedevita Olimpija181176%84.492.9-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prometey2823232195
Aris1715181767
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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