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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-65
19-16 25-17 14-11 18-21
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#25
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game74.0
GreeceGreek CupGreek Cup - Semi-finals· Heraklion Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 76
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
72avg 76
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-55
87
55
+32
87avg 76
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
75avg 76
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 76
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
67avg 76
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 76
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
90avg 76
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#37
W
79-72
79
72
+7
79avg 76
H15/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
24-24
16-18
26-13
23-18
21-24
19-12
22-26
21-18
15-25
23-19
16-28
26-11
23-18
22-15
16-11
21-16
23-12
13-13
22-21
25-25
13-19
18-20
12-16
10-25
24-14
23-12
13-22
13-21
25-9
19-17
17-16
28-16
20-19
20-18
21-16
20-15
19-15
20-18
20-24
150.5Avg total
79.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)79.072.0151.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.071.5150.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)76.071.4147.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.277.2160.4+6.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)81.973.6155.5+8.375%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 68
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 68
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
88avg 68
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
55avg 68
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
98-91
98
91
+7
90avg 68
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 68
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 68
A05/02
Basket League
Trento
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
78avg 68
H07/02
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
W
77-63
77
63
+14
62avg 68
H11/02
Basket League
PAOK
#30
W
76-74
76
74
+2
63avg 68
A15/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-21
20-15
13-21
17-18
17-21
20-24
22-12
19-22
24-20
24-29
26-20
10-22
24-17
17-20
17-17
23-18
30-30
18-21
27-22
23-26
26-14
22-8
15-18
25-10
14-24
12-23
22-13
15-25
19-16
17-11
33-25
24-22
16-14
18-15
19-12
11-25
18-18
17-14
30-17
156.5Avg total
80.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.074.0150.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.276.3156.5+3.980%
Last 5 (5)79.270.0149.2+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.477.2146.6-7.820%
vs Similar (16)81.176.7157.8+4.475%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.0160.0+10.067%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.7+4.7
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#37
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H15/02
Greek Cup
77.2Avg total
41.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.478.8+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.236.079.2+7.273%-
Last 30 away (15)41.636.778.3+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.236.077.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.736.178.8+6.662%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A05/02
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H07/02
Eurocup
PAOK
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H11/02
Basket League
PAOK
#30
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/02
Greek Cup
79.9Avg total
39.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.175.5-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.034.971.9+2.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.978.7-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.679.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.877.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.137.871.9-3.740%-
vs Similar (16)39.938.478.3+1.662%-
vs Weaker (3)37.736.374.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.4 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.9
55.4%
53.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.2
30.8%
30.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.8
77.7%
75.2%17.8
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.4 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.2
53.4%
53.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.2
34.2%
30.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.915.2
72.7%
75.2%15.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLLWWLWW
Aris
WWWWWWLWWL
#12
League position
#25
+11.1
Net rating
+5.2
110.1
Offensive rating
106.5
99.0
Defensive rating
101.2
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
19.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.8%
3-point %
34.2%
55.0%
Assist %
50.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 106.5Defence99.0 · 101.2Shooting52.2% · 52.5%3-point %30.8% · 34.2%Ball care19.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Panathinaikos wins
3
Aris wins
DateGameScore
05/02/24Panathinaikos v Aris70-73
12/11/23Aris v Panathinaikos65-75
15/01/23Panathinaikos v Aris96-79
09/10/22Aris v Panathinaikos69-65
24/05/22Aris v Panathinaikos65-85
22/05/22Panathinaikos v Aris109-79
30/01/22Panathinaikos v Aris103-83
03/10/21Aris v Panathinaikos81-71
28/02/21Panathinaikos v Aris94-72
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HAEK Athens79-72
12/02/24AAEK Athens89-69
09/02/24HFenerbahce74-63
05/02/24HAris70-73
02/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-80
31/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-62
28/01/24AApollon Patras87-55
25/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-90
22/01/24HOlympiacos85-80
19/01/24HPartizan84-71
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24APAOK76-74
11/02/24HPAOK77-63
07/02/24HTrento84-77
05/02/24APanathinaikos73-70
31/01/24AUlm86-66
28/01/24HKolossos Rhodes98-91
24/01/24HJL Bourg68-76
20/01/24AAEK Athens93-91
17/01/24HBuducnost76-75
14/01/24AAS Karditsas71-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Greek Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total151.0151.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Aris
Greek Cup 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total150.0-150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Promitheas110100%88.048.0+40.0
2 Olympiacos110100%87.068.0+19.0
3 Panathinaikos110100%79.072.0+7.0
4 Aris110100%76.074.0+2.0
5 Panionios65183%73.270.5+2.7
6 NE Megaridas54180%76.267.4+8.8
7 Milon Aons43175%76.266.0+10.2
8 Lefkadas43175%54.250.0+4.2
9 Papagou32167%92.377.0+15.3
10 Mykonos32167%82.072.0+10.0
11 Holargos B.C.32167%83.376.7+6.7
12 Apas Naxos32167%77.771.7+6.0
13 GS Almyros32167%76.070.3+5.7
14 Kifisia32167%72.768.7+4.0
15 Douka32167%81.080.0+1.0
16 Amyntas32167%74.776.3-1.7
17 Ilioupoulis32167%72.376.0-3.7
18 Agia Barbara32167%68.081.0-13.0
19 Trikala21150%74.565.0+9.5
20 Ermis Schimatari21150%84.579.0+5.5
21 Falirou21150%76.572.0+4.5
22 Akadimia Elefsinas21150%67.066.0+1.0
23 Koroivos21150%82.582.0+0.5
24 Esperos21150%79.079.5-0.5
25 Proteas Voulas21150%81.582.0-0.5
26 Eleftheroupoli21150%75.079.5-4.5
27 Stavroupoli21150%56.068.5-12.5
28 Olympos1010%80.081.0-1.0
29 Komotini1010%70.072.0-2.0
30 PAOK1010%74.076.0-2.0
31 Argos Orestiko1010%60.063.0-3.0
32 Psychikou1010%81.084.0-3.0
33 Agia Paraskevis1010%64.068.0-4.0
34 Ethnikos Livadeias1010%75.079.0-4.0
35 Aiolos Agias1010%70.075.0-5.0
36 Neo Lixouriou1010%57.063.0-6.0
37 AEK Athens1010%72.079.0-7.0
38 Eleftheria Moshatou1010%76.083.0-7.0
39 Lefkippos Xanthis1010%73.080.0-7.0
40 Ioannina1010%56.064.0-8.0
41 Dafni Dafniou1010%76.086.0-10.0
42 Aias Evosmou1010%71.083.0-12.0
43 Dafni1010%63.076.0-13.0
44 Doxas Pyrrou1010%69.088.0-19.0
45 Peristeri1010%68.087.0-19.0
46 Vikos1010%73.092.0-19.0
47 Iraklis1010%0.020.0-20.0
48 Hanth1010%68.089.0-21.0
49 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou1010%67.088.0-21.0
50 Panerythraikos1010%63.086.0-23.0
51 Panserraikos1010%43.066.0-23.0
52 Pera As1010%66.090.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1925141876
Aris1617112165
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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