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Aris vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 77-63
24-22 16-14 18-15 19-12
Position#8
Record10-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game77.4
Aris 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#10
Record8-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game77.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 18· Alexandreio Mellathron
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Aris v PAOK
30 Jan 2027
ARI v PAK
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ARI73
PAK78
01 Dec 2024
ARI88
PAK82
11 Feb 2024
ARI77
PAK63
22 Jan 2023
ARI77
PAK70
20 Apr 2022
ARI77
PAK76
20 Mar 2021
ARI71
PAK77
29 Sep 2019
ARI85
PAK82
23 Mar 2019
ARI58
PAK62
21 Mar 2018
ARI65
PAK66
04 Oct 2017
ARI70
PAK63
29 Apr 2017
ARI69
PAK65
22 Oct 2016
ARI62
PAK66
17 Jun 2015
ARI76
PAK77
09 Jun 2015
ARI92
PAK88
01 Feb 2015
ARI62
PAK57
19 Oct 2013
ARI75
PAK79
24 Nov 2012
ARI63
PAK72
14 Mar 2012
ARI81
PAK71
05 Jun 2011
ARI80
PAK91
29 May 2011
ARI73
PAK70
06 Nov 2010
ARI81
PAK68
06 Feb 2010
ARI69
PAK59
15 Nov 2008
ARI87
PAK76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 69
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 69
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 69
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 69
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
88avg 69
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
55avg 69
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
98-91
98
91
+7
90avg 69
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 69
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 69
A05/02
Basket League
Trento
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
78avg 69
H07/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
18-17
21-10
20-22
22-23
16-22
16-31
20-14
19-23
19-21
20-15
13-21
17-18
17-21
20-24
22-12
19-22
24-20
24-29
26-20
10-22
24-17
17-20
17-17
23-18
30-30
18-21
27-22
23-26
26-14
22-8
15-18
25-10
14-24
12-23
22-13
15-25
19-16
17-11
33-25
157.8Avg total
79.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.477.4155.8+1.059%
Season at home (8)76.173.1149.2+3.062%
Season away (9)80.481.2161.7-0.856%
Last 10 (10)79.977.9157.8+2.070%
Last 5 (5)81.876.0157.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.477.2146.6-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.676.6157.1+4.075%
vs Weaker (4)83.872.0155.8+11.875%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 66
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
73-80
73
80
-7
70avg 66
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
63-95
63
95
-32
45avg 66
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 66
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
86avg 66
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-71
35
71
-36
19avg 66
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 66
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
no box
H21/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
60avg 66
A27/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-70
87
70
+17
72avg 66
H03/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
21-12
10-21
13-19
16-20
17-20
18-20
22-20
12-27
14-26
16-24
21-18
21-14
21-24
18-21
19-26
16-23
15-9
23-12
16-26
11-22
13-24
4-11
7-14
19-22
15-18
15-22
22-22
14-10
18-10
8-22
14-12
14-12
15-30
14-22
19-13
25-10
18-22
21-18
23-20
147.9Avg total
69.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)72.977.2150.1-4.347%
Season at home (9)76.875.8152.6+1.067%
Season away (8)68.578.8147.2-10.225%
Last 10 (10)69.678.3147.9-8.740%
Last 5 (5)64.273.4137.6-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)68.780.5149.1-11.824%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.376.7155.0+1.671%
vs Weaker (2)77.062.0139.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
ArisPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H28/01
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/01
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A05/02
Basket League
Trento
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H07/02
Eurocup
80.0Avg total
39.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.275.7-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.235.171.4+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.640.979.5-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.380.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.482.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.137.871.9-3.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.238.677.8+0.756%-
vs Weaker (4)39.037.876.8+1.275%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H23/12
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A30/12
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H21/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A27/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
Basket League
71.5Avg total
34.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.175.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.938.676.4-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)34.939.674.6-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.271.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)34.840.775.5-5.924%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.337.178.4+4.157%-
vs Weaker (2)37.529.066.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.4
54.8%
52.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
71.5%14.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.8
49.4%
52.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
33.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.6
70.5%
71.5%14.6
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWWWLWWLLW
PAOK
WLWLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#10
+2.7
Net rating
-12.5
107.9
Offensive rating
95.5
105.1
Defensive rating
108.0
53.8%
Effective FG%
47.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
21.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.1%
3-point %
30.3%
50.2%
Assist %
67.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 95.5Defence105.1 · 108.0Shooting53.8% · 47.8%3-point %35.1% · 30.3%Ball care21.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 20.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Aris   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Aris wins
7
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
13/12/20PAOK v Aris75-64
05/01/20PAOK v Aris101-84
29/09/19Aris v PAOK85-82 OT
23/03/19Aris v PAOK58-62
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24HTrento84-77
05/02/24APanathinaikos73-70
31/01/24AUlm86-66
28/01/24HKolossos Rhodes98-91
24/01/24HJL Bourg68-76
20/01/24AAEK Athens93-91
17/01/24HBuducnost76-75
14/01/24AAS Karditsas71-80
10/01/24ACluj-Napoca74-90
06/01/24HApollon Patras76-63
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HApollon Patras87-70
27/01/24AOlympiacos62-77
21/01/24HLavrio66-65 OT
16/01/24HTofas71-84
13/01/24APeristeri35-71
09/01/24ATofas88-87 OT
06/01/24HMaroussi79-85
02/01/24HTofas63-95
30/12/23APromitheas73-80
23/12/23HAS Karditsas72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game78.476.180.4
Allowed / game77.473.181.2
Point differential+1.0+3.0-0.8
Avg total155.8149.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game72.976.868.5
Allowed / game77.275.878.8
Point differential-4.3+1.0-10.2
Avg total150.1152.6147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W880100%85.264.4+20.9
2 Panathinaikos1716194%84.669.5+15.1
3 Olympiacos1715288%84.267.2+17.0
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W65183%88.866.0+22.8
5 Klaipedos Neptunas W64267%73.763.2+10.5
6 Peristeri1711665%82.273.8+8.4
7 Aris1710759%78.477.4+1.0
8 Promitheas1810856%85.181.0+4.1
9 PAOK178947%72.977.2-4.3
10 AEK Athens1771041%86.685.3+1.4
11 Kolossos Rhodes1871139%81.484.3-2.8
12 Lavrio1761135%77.286.2-9.1
13 AS Karditsas1861233%75.579.7-4.2
14 Maroussi1751229%80.988.8-7.8
15 Aistes LSU Kaunas W82625%57.672.0-14.4
16 Apollon Patras1831517%65.983.4-17.5
17 Panevezys W61517%58.087.0-29.0
18 Siauliai W6060%64.877.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2416181977
PAOK2214151263
← all games of the day
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