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Aris vs JL Bourg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-76
10-22 24-17 17-20 17-17
Position#11
Record7-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#2
Record12-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEurocupRound 16· Alexandreio Mellathron
European cup2023
Meetings · Aris v JL Bourg
15 Jan 2025
ARI51
JBO92
24 Jan 2024
ARI68
JBO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JL Bourg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
69-60
69
60
+9
57avg 68
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 68
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 68
H27/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
58avg 68
A31/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
76-63
76
63
+13
73avg 68
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 68
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
58avg 68
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 68
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
88avg 68
A20/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
17-8
12-20
22-16
24-21
22-20
20-18
29-26
20-21
9-24
20-15
27-16
22-11
27-22
22-17
22-21
11-20
16-21
27-18
17-26
17-14
18-17
21-10
20-22
22-23
16-22
16-31
20-14
19-23
19-21
20-15
13-21
17-18
17-21
20-24
22-12
19-22
24-20
24-29
26-20
159.5Avg total
80.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.675.5149.1-1.947%
Season at home (7)74.173.4147.6+0.757%
Season away (8)73.177.4150.5-4.238%
Last 10 (10)80.479.1159.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)78.079.8157.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.178.9148.0-9.810%
vs Similar (15)77.576.1153.6+1.567%
vs Weaker (5)82.471.6154.0+10.880%
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBourg
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
79-67
79
67
+12
75avg 84
H13/12
Eurocup
Paris
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
94avg 84
H16/12
LNB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
92avg 84
A19/12
Eurocup
Nancy
#11
W
85-59
85
59
+26
103avg 84
A23/12
LNB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
92-84 OT
92
84
+8
95avg 84
H26/12
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#7
W
86-71
86
71
+15
92avg 84
H28/12
LNB
Buducnost
#13
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 84
A10/01
Eurocup
Le Portel
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
115avg 84
H13/01
LNB
Lietkabelis
#17
W
104-71
104
71
+33
100avg 84
H17/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
89-62
89
62
+27
90avg 84
A20/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
20-23
21-14
23-20
18-20
17-22
20-16
28-23
37-17
18-18
23-30
20-24
14-16
30-13
21-19
20-11
25-19
26-17
11-22
14-18
27-12
27-25
12-19
20-15
14-15
25-15
15-21
20-27
27-26
21-16
35-14
23-18
22-17
25-19
24-24
33-11
25-18
19-13
25-22
20-9
163.2Avg total
89.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.177.3162.4+7.980%
Season at home (8)86.673.6160.2+13.0100%
Season away (7)83.481.4164.9+2.057%
Last 10 (10)89.673.6163.2+16.090%
Last 5 (5)91.871.2163.0+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)83.183.4166.6-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.072.4156.3+11.683%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.5+4.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.5+4.5
ArisJL Bourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#17
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H12/12
Eurocup
Turk Telekom
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/12
Eurocup
Lavrio
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A23/12
Basket League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H27/12
Eurocup
Olympiacos
#3
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A31/12
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/01
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A14/01
Basket League
Buducnost
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H17/01
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/01
Basket League
75.9Avg total
37.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.974.8-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.434.369.7+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.141.179.2-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.575.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.438.372.7-3.940%-
vs Similar (15)37.537.975.4-0.547%-
vs Weaker (5)39.837.277.0+2.680%-
This opponent (JL Bourg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JL BourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/12
Eurocup
Paris
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H16/12
LNB
Cluj-Napoca
#4
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A19/12
Eurocup
Nancy
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A23/12
LNB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/12
Eurocup
Saint Quentin
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H28/12
LNB
Buducnost
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A10/01
Eurocup
Le Portel
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H13/01
LNB
Lietkabelis
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H17/01
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A20/01
LNB
80.3Avg total
45.2Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.880.0+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.880.4+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)42.836.879.6+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)45.235.180.3+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)46.435.281.6+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.740.082.7+2.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.435.879.2+7.678%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.3
52.6%
54.0%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.2
39.2%
35.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
74.5%12.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JL Bourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JL Bourg: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.1
57.1%
54.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.9
43.4%
35.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.615.9
70.4%
74.5%15.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aris
WWLLWLWLWW
JL Bourg
WWWLWWWWWW
#11
League position
#2
+3.6
Net rating
+21.6
108.6
Offensive rating
117.1
105.0
Defensive rating
95.5
55.5%
Effective FG%
60.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
21.7%
Turnover %
19.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.2%
3-point %
43.4%
58.2%
Assist %
66.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 117.1Defence105.0 · 95.5Shooting55.5% · 60.4%3-point %39.2% · 43.4%Ball care21.7% · 19.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 28.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Aris   ■ JL Bourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
1
JL Bourg wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23JL Bourg v Aris72-65
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AAEK Athens93-91
17/01/24HBuducnost76-75
14/01/24AAS Karditsas71-80
10/01/24ACluj-Napoca74-90
06/01/24HApollon Patras76-63
31/12/23AOlympiacos71-85
27/12/23HSlask Wroclaw93-71
23/12/23ALavrio86-91 OT
19/12/23ATurk Telekom95-85
12/12/23HLietkabelis69-60
JL Bourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AChalon/Saone89-62
17/01/24HLietkabelis104-71
13/01/24HLe Portel106-74
10/01/24ABuducnost74-78
28/12/23HSaint Quentin86-71
26/12/23HGran Canaria92-84 OT
23/12/23ANancy85-59
19/12/23ACluj-Napoca98-89
16/12/23HParis83-81
13/12/23HTrento79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW47%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game73.674.173.1
Allowed / game75.573.477.4
Point differential-1.9+0.7-4.2
Avg total149.1147.6150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
JL Bourg
Eurocup 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %80%100%57%
Points / game85.186.683.4
Allowed / game77.373.681.4
Point differential+7.9+13.0+2.0
Avg total162.4160.2164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1615194%98.480.4+18.0
2 JL Bourg1512380%85.177.3+7.9
3 Cluj-Napoca1612475%84.880.3+4.5
4 Gran Canaria1511473%88.179.0+9.1
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1611569%96.590.1+6.4
6 London Lions1510567%90.788.4+2.3
7 Joventut Badalona1610662%86.884.4+2.3
8 Besiktas159660%80.377.7+2.5
9 Prometey169756%88.286.6+1.6
10 Ulm169756%88.287.0+1.2
11 Aris157847%73.675.5-1.9
12 Turk Telekom167944%80.881.6-0.8
13 Trento167944%80.082.9-2.9
14 Venezia156940%84.686.3-1.7
15 Buducnost1661038%77.981.9-4.0
16 BC Wolves1551033%81.289.9-8.7
17 Lietkabelis1651131%81.587.8-6.3
18 Slask Wroclaw1521313%77.884.0-6.2
19 Hamburg1521313%82.198.5-16.5
20 Cedevita Olimpija150150%83.791.9-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris1024171768
JL Bourg2217201776
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