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Purdue vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 87-57
42-29 45-28
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game45.0
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State
USA
Position#34
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#97
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A03/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H11/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
58-63
58
63
-5
H17/03
NCAA
Samford
#12
W
98-45
98
45
+53
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-25
26-43
38-29
44-26
38-34
33-45
31-27
32-34
47-26
29-45
29-28
41-37
42-34
38-32
35-27
32-38
31-32
27-31
51-17
47-28
135.7Avg total
71.9Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)98.045.0143.0+53.0100%
Season at home (1)98.045.0143.0+53.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.963.8135.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)74.660.8135.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.265.9138.1+6.356%
vs Weaker (21)72.961.5134.3+11.490%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
96-40
96
40
+56
H09/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-25
0-0
31-34
0-0
34-24
0-0
40-40
0-0
38-23
0-0
33-35
0-0
39-25
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-24
0-0
40-34
0-0
34-29
0-0
24-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-30
0-0
27-39
0-0
32-38
0-0
35-55
0-0
38-50
0-0
49-20
0-0
47-20
135.8Avg total
70.5Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.572.5157.0+12.050%
Season at home (1)96.040.0136.0+56.0100%
Season away (1)73.0105.0178.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)70.565.3135.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)70.870.2141.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)59.080.0139.0-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)68.569.3137.8-0.861%
vs Weaker (9)77.359.9137.2+17.489%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -0.4-0.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -0.4-0.4
PurdueMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#97
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H05/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/03
NCAA
Samford
#12
W
51-17
51
17
+34
H06/11
NCAA
64.9Avg total
37.0Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.228.364.5+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.227.265.3+11.089%-
Last 30 away (11)32.930.363.2+2.673%-
Last 10 (10)37.027.964.9+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)37.627.665.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.929.967.8+8.078%-
vs Weaker (21)35.527.663.1+7.986%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/03
NIT
UAB
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A19/03
NIT
Alabama
#67
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A07/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H09/11
NCAA
65.2Avg total
35.4Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.630.666.2+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.528.365.9+9.280%-
Last 30 away (15)33.732.966.5+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)35.429.865.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.470.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.131.465.4+2.767%-
vs Weaker (9)40.627.067.6+13.6100%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Purdue wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23HSamford98-45
17/03/23HFairleigh Dickinson58-63
12/03/23HPenn State67-65
11/03/23HOhio State80-66
10/03/23HRutgers70-65
05/03/23HIllinois76-71
03/03/23AWisconsin63-61
26/02/23HIndiana71-79
19/02/23HOhio State82-55
16/02/23AMaryland54-68
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HShawnee State96-40
07/11/23AAlabama73-105
19/03/23AUAB59-77
15/03/23AClemson68-64
04/03/23HSoutheast Missouri State58-65
25/02/23HUT Martin72-58
23/02/23AEastern Illinois69-63
18/02/23HLindenwood71-58
17/02/23HTennessee State74-64
11/02/23ASoutheast Missouri State65-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.098.0-
Allowed / game45.045.0-
Point differential+53.0+53.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game84.596.073.0
Allowed / game72.540.0105.0
Point differential+12.0+56.0-32.0
Avg total157.0136.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue110100%98.045.0+53.0
2 Iowa110100%110.068.0+42.0
3 Penn State110100%79.045.0+34.0
4 UCLA110100%75.044.0+31.0
5 Nebraska220100%82.553.0+29.5
6 Wisconsin110100%105.076.0+29.0
7 Illinois110100%80.052.0+28.0
8 Michigan220100%95.568.0+27.5
9 Washington220100%83.062.0+21.0
10 Minnesota110100%80.060.0+20.0
11 USC220100%83.564.0+19.5
12 Maryland110100%68.053.0+15.0
13 Northwestern110100%72.061.0+11.0
14 Oregon110100%82.071.0+11.0
15 Indiana110100%69.063.0+6.0
16 Ohio State110100%79.073.0+6.0
17 Michigan State21150%75.065.0+10.0
18 Rutgers1010%61.068.0-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin110100%104.076.0+28.0
2 Tennessee State220100%79.559.5+20.0
3 UALR110100%71.066.0+5.0
4 Morehead State21150%84.572.5+12.0
5 Eastern Illinois21150%71.562.5+9.0
6 Siu Edwardsville21150%69.565.0+4.5
7 Southern Indiana2020%57.074.5-17.5
8 Southeast Missouri State1010%67.088.0-21.0
9 Western Illinois2020%60.584.0-23.5
10 Tennessee Tech1010%42.080.0-38.0
11 Lindenwood2020%49.593.0-43.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue424587
Morehead State292857
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