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Purdue vs Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-71
47-26 29-45
Position#14
Record25-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game62.2
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Illinois
USA
Position#114
Record20-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Purdue v Illinois
24 Jan 2026
PURD82
ILLI88
05 Jan 2024
PURD83
ILLI78
05 Mar 2023
PURD76
ILLI71
08 Feb 2022
PURD84
ILLI68
21 Jan 2020
PURD62
ILLI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
34-35
40-22
37-39
35-29
45-31
35-50
39-29
38-21
49-52
37-30
21-34
28-25
26-43
38-29
44-26
38-34
33-45
31-27
32-34
139.1Avg total
72.1Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.162.2135.3+10.983%
Season at home (17)75.860.3136.1+15.588%
Season away (13)69.564.7134.2+4.877%
Last 10 (10)72.167.0139.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)65.665.4131.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.167.1138.2+4.056%
vs Weaker (21)73.960.1134.0+13.895%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A28/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
20-16
41-35
38-37
34-19
36-35
43-46
30-34
39-26
40-53
41-40
38-35
30-36
35-29
43-40
19-37
47-25
29-41
31-31
33-31
37-39
142.7Avg total
72.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)74.766.3141.0+8.567%
Season at home (17)77.562.1139.5+15.488%
Season away (13)71.271.8142.9-0.638%
Last 10 (10)72.570.2142.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.075.0145.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (14)79.556.6136.1+22.9100%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +4.9+4.9
PurdueIllinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#174
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A27/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H29/01
NCAA
Penn State
#105
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Maryland
#97
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A16/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H19/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/03
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.1Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.928.364.2+7.583%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.526.964.4+10.688%-
Last 30 away (13)33.730.263.9+3.577%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.266.3+5.990%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.063.4+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.132.868.9+3.367%-
vs Weaker (21)35.826.462.2+9.390%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#158
W
20-16
20
16
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#213
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Iowa
#134
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Penn State
#105
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#76
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H21/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#87
L
19-37
19
37
-18
H24/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#235
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/02
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/03
NCAA
66.6Avg total
31.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.667.6+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.230.667.9+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)32.035.267.2-3.254%-
Last 10 (10)31.834.866.6-3.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.834.665.4-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.037.065.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.437.970.3-5.540%-
vs Weaker (14)38.226.764.9+11.593%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Purdue wins
3
Illinois wins
DateGameScore
09/02/22Purdue v Illinois84-68
17/01/22Illinois v Purdue88-96 OT
02/01/21Illinois v Purdue66-58
22/01/20Purdue v Illinois62-79
06/01/20Illinois v Purdue63-37
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23AWisconsin63-61
26/02/23HIndiana71-79
19/02/23HOhio State82-55
16/02/23AMaryland54-68
12/02/23ANorthwestern58-64
10/02/23HIowa87-73
04/02/23AIndiana74-79
01/02/23HPenn State80-60
29/01/23HMichigan State77-61
27/01/23AMichigan75-70
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HMichigan91-87 OT
26/02/23AOhio State60-72
24/02/23HNorthwestern66-62
21/02/23HMinnesota78-69
18/02/23AIndiana68-71
15/02/23APenn State81-93
11/02/23HRutgers69-60
04/02/23AIowa79-81
01/02/23HNebraska72-56
28/01/23AWisconsin61-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW83%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %83%88%77%
Points / game73.175.869.5
Allowed / game62.260.364.7
Point differential+10.9+15.5+4.8
Avg total135.3136.1134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Illinois
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%88%38%
Points / game74.777.571.2
Allowed / game66.362.171.8
Point differential+8.5+15.4-0.6
Avg total141.0139.5142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA3127487%74.260.1+14.0
2 Purdue3025583%73.162.2+10.9
3 USC3122971%72.866.9+5.9
4 Illinois30201067%74.766.3+8.5
5 Indiana30201067%75.368.3+7.0
6 Northwestern30201067%67.862.6+5.2
7 Maryland31201165%70.763.2+7.5
8 Iowa30191163%80.774.2+6.5
9 Michigan State30191163%70.667.4+3.3
10 Penn State31191261%72.468.2+4.2
11 Rutgers30181260%68.760.2+8.5
12 Oregon31181358%71.066.7+4.3
13 Michigan30171357%73.969.5+4.4
14 Wisconsin29161355%65.063.7+1.3
15 Washington31161552%69.270.2-1.0
16 Nebraska30151550%67.369.4-2.1
17 Ohio State31131842%73.169.4+3.7
18 Minnesota2882029%62.570.9-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue472976
Illinois264571
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