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Purdue vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 79-61
41-18 38-43
Position#72
Record10-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game70.4
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern
USA
Position#191
Record10-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Purdue v Northwestern
12 Mar 2026
PURD81
NORT68
05 Jan 2025
PURD79
NORT61
31 Jan 2024
PURD105
NORT96
23 Jan 2022
PURD80
NORT60
06 Feb 2021
PURD75
NORT70
08 Dec 2019
PURD58
NORT44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#67
L
58-76
58
76
-18
A20/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H23/11
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A28/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H29/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A05/12
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H08/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H21/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H29/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
81-61
81
61
+20
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
30-41
39-24
41-21
33-32
38-29
42-34
38-44
24-40
46-41
31-36
52-42
35-38
31-32
26-41
43-46
39-28
44-36
28-27
53-34
144.2Avg total
74.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.370.4147.7+6.971%
Season at home (10)80.270.7150.9+9.580%
Season away (4)70.069.8139.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.170.1144.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)76.472.0148.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.081.0157.0-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.070.6146.6+5.470%
vs Weaker (16)79.164.8143.9+14.388%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#238
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-39
38-30
31-19
37-31
28-31
41-40
26-25
40-36
34-45
45-35
24-27
32-29
31-26
40-34
37-27
47-37
35-33
50-27
34-37
46-47
140.9Avg total
74.4Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.065.3140.3+9.771%
Season at home (9)76.760.8137.4+15.9100%
Season away (5)72.073.4145.4-1.420%
Last 10 (10)74.466.5140.9+7.970%
Last 5 (5)78.066.8144.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.480.4159.8-1.060%
vs Similar ◀ (18)73.168.4141.5+4.756%
vs Weaker (7)74.459.3133.7+15.186%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +0.5+0.52nd half2nd half: +5.0+5.02nd half: +7.0+7.0
PurdueNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#67
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H23/11
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A28/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A05/12
NCAA
Maryland
#35
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H08/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H21/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H29/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#226
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A03/01
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.570.5+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (22)39.032.971.8+6.177%-
Last 30 away (8)31.835.166.9-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.566.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.065.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.036.869.8-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.935.472.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (16)38.131.469.6+6.781%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#238
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A03/01
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.4Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.063.2+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.429.866.1+6.682%-
Last 30 away (13)29.230.259.4-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.962.3+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)32.230.062.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.833.260.0-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.431.064.4+2.467%-
vs Weaker (7)37.325.062.3+12.3100%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Purdue wins
2
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Purdue v Northwestern105-96 OT
02/12/23Northwestern v Purdue92-88 OT
12/02/23Northwestern v Purdue64-58
17/02/22Northwestern v Purdue64-70
23/01/22Purdue v Northwestern80-60
06/02/21Purdue v Northwestern75-70
02/02/20Northwestern v Purdue58-61
08/12/19Purdue v Northwestern58-44
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AMinnesota81-61
29/12/24HToledo83-64
21/12/24HAuburn69-87
14/12/24HTexas A&M66-70
08/12/24HMaryland83-78
05/12/24APenn State70-81
29/11/24HOle Miss80-78
28/11/24ANC State71-61
23/11/24HMarshall80-45
20/11/24AMarquette58-76
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25APenn State80-84
29/12/24HNortheastern85-60
21/12/24HDePaul84-64
15/12/24HGeorgia Tech71-60
07/12/24HIllinois70-66 OT
04/12/24AIowa79-80
30/11/24AUNLV66-61
29/11/24AButler69-71
23/11/24HPepperdine68-50
20/11/24HMontana State72-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWLLW80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game77.380.270.0
Allowed / game70.470.769.8
Point differential+6.9+9.5+0.2
Avg total147.7150.9139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%100%20%
Points / game75.076.772.0
Allowed / game65.360.873.4
Point differential+9.7+15.9-1.4
Avg total140.3137.4145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %14%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State1412286%81.166.7+14.4
2 Nebraska1412286%76.964.6+12.3
3 Oregon1412286%79.468.7+10.6
4 Penn State1512380%86.868.5+18.3
5 Indiana1512380%78.970.3+8.7
6 Maryland1411379%85.962.1+23.9
7 Michigan1411379%84.167.1+16.9
8 UCLA1411379%76.059.2+16.8
9 Wisconsin1411379%83.971.9+12.0
10 Illinois1310377%88.266.5+21.7
11 Iowa1410471%89.477.1+12.2
12 Northwestern1410471%75.065.3+9.7
13 Purdue1410471%77.370.4+6.9
14 Washington139469%74.069.1+4.9
15 Ohio State149564%81.369.8+11.5
16 USC149564%76.269.6+6.6
17 Rutgers148657%79.375.0+4.3
18 Minnesota148657%67.465.1+2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue413879
Northwestern184361
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