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Penn State vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-80
37-34 47-46
Position#185
Record11-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game67.0
Penn State 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern
USA
Position#191
Record10-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penn State v Northwestern
10 Jan 2027
PENN v NORT
upcoming
02 Jan 2025
PENN84
NORT80
10 Jan 2024
PENN72
NORT76
25 Feb 2022
PENN67
NORT60
23 Jan 2021
PENN81
NORT78
15 Feb 2020
PENN77
NORT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penn State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H16/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A26/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H01/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H05/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
99-51
99
51
+48
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
49-35
41-47
61-42
42-34
43-32
36-38
31-37
38-28
49-36
40-24
41-46
33-48
43-32
52-21
47-30
37-29
38-35
34-31
52-35
153.3Avg total
84.4Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.267.0155.2+21.285%
Season at home (10)92.965.2158.1+27.7100%
Season away (3)72.773.0145.7-0.333%
Last 10 (10)84.468.9153.3+15.580%
Last 5 (5)83.466.2149.6+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.281.4152.6-10.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.573.4150.9+4.160%
vs Weaker (10)88.863.0151.8+25.890%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
67-58 OT
67
58
+9
H16/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
W
70-66 OT
70
66
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
21-31
34-39
38-30
31-19
37-31
28-31
41-40
26-25
40-36
34-45
45-35
24-27
32-29
31-26
40-34
37-27
47-37
35-33
50-27
137.0Avg total
73.1Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.663.8138.5+10.877%
Season at home (9)76.760.8137.4+15.9100%
Season away (4)70.070.8140.8-0.825%
Last 10 (10)73.163.9137.0+9.280%
Last 5 (5)77.866.0143.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.480.4159.8-1.060%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.567.9140.4+4.656%
vs Weaker (7)74.459.3133.7+15.186%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +6.1+6.1
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +6.1+6.1
Penn StateNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#286
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H16/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H21/11
NCAA
Fordham
#313
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Purdue
#72
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H05/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A11/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H14/12
NCAA
Drexel
#161
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H29/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
39.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.971.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.732.473.1+8.383%-
Last 30 away (12)31.836.268.0-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.971.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.669.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.243.076.2-9.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.833.469.2+2.460%-
vs Weaker (10)41.130.271.3+10.990%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H23/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A29/11
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A30/11
NCAA
Iowa
#192
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H15/12
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/12
NCAA
61.6Avg total
31.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.063.3+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.429.866.1+6.682%-
Last 30 away (13)29.230.459.6-1.246%-
Last 10 (10)31.729.961.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.663.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.833.260.0-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)33.531.164.6+2.467%-
vs Weaker (7)37.325.062.3+12.3100%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penn State wins
3
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Northwestern v Penn State68-63
10/01/24Penn State v Northwestern72-76
10/03/23Northwestern v Penn State65-67 OT
02/03/23Northwestern v Penn State65-68 OT
26/02/22Penn State v Northwestern67-60
06/01/22Northwestern v Penn State70-74
24/01/21Penn State v Northwestern81-78
07/03/20Northwestern v Penn State80-69
15/02/20Penn State v Northwestern77-61
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HPenn86-66
21/12/24ADrexel75-64
14/12/24HCoppin State99-51
11/12/24ARutgers76-80
05/12/24HPurdue81-70
01/12/24HBuffalo87-64
26/11/24AClemson67-75
25/11/24HFordham85-66
21/11/24HIPFW102-89
16/11/24HVirginia Tech86-64
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HNortheastern85-60
21/12/24HDePaul84-64
15/12/24HGeorgia Tech71-60
07/12/24HIllinois70-66 OT
04/12/24AIowa79-80
30/11/24AUNLV66-61
29/11/24AButler69-71
23/11/24HPepperdine68-50
20/11/24HMontana State72-69
16/11/24HEastern Illinois67-58 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penn State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %85%100%33%
Points / game88.292.972.7
Allowed / game67.065.273.0
Point differential+21.2+27.7-0.3
Avg total155.2158.1145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %77%100%25%
Points / game74.676.770.0
Allowed / game63.860.870.8
Point differential+10.8+15.9-0.8
Avg total138.5137.4140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %15%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon1312192%79.565.6+13.9
2 Maryland1311285%87.261.1+26.2
3 Penn State1311285%88.267.0+21.2
4 UCLA1311285%77.458.7+18.7
5 Michigan State1311285%82.067.1+14.9
6 Nebraska1311285%77.765.1+12.6
7 Michigan1310377%84.066.6+17.4
8 Iowa1310377%89.774.2+15.5
9 Northwestern1310377%74.663.8+10.8
10 Wisconsin1310377%81.570.9+10.5
11 Indiana1310377%78.769.9+8.8
12 Illinois129375%86.465.6+20.8
13 Ohio State139469%82.869.8+12.9
14 USC139469%76.468.4+8.0
15 Purdue139469%77.071.2+5.8
16 Washington128467%73.969.1+4.8
17 Rutgers138562%79.774.3+5.4
18 Minnesota138562%67.963.8+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Penn State374784
Northwestern344680
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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