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Purdue vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-96 (OT)
47-39 34-42 24-15
Position#8
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game68.8
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern
USA
Position#86
Record15-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game68.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Purdue v Northwestern
12 Mar 2026
PURD81
NORT68
05 Jan 2025
PURD79
NORT61
31 Jan 2024
PURD105
NORT96
23 Jan 2022
PURD80
NORT60
06 Feb 2021
PURD75
NORT70
08 Dec 2019
PURD58
NORT44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
100-57
100
57
+43
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A03/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A10/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H13/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-27
55-30
43-24
37-29
32-19
35-34
47-32
36-46
30-41
42-47
56-36
39-42
51-29
36-37
47-34
37-36
49-25
50-42
33-20
35-40
150.5Avg total
83.5Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.968.8153.7+16.190%
Season at home (13)89.767.5157.2+22.2100%
Season away (8)77.170.9148.0+6.275%
Last 10 (10)83.567.0150.5+16.590%
Last 5 (5)86.668.2154.8+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.567.7145.2+9.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.568.0149.5+13.485%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
66-96
66
96
-30
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
H25/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-13
29-33
39-33
35-30
29-46
37-50
46-31
42-43
32-40
44-32
25-32
38-39
32-28
40-41
35-39
34-36
34-32
42-44
41-30
42-28
146.7Avg total
75.2Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.468.2142.6+6.275%
Season at home (13)79.768.5148.2+11.292%
Season away (7)64.667.4132.0-2.943%
Last 10 (10)75.271.5146.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)76.672.8149.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.280.2156.4-4.060%
vs Similar (16)69.666.8136.4+2.856%
vs Weaker (9)72.859.7132.4+13.189%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.6+14.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.7+0.7
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.6+14.61st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.7+0.7
PurdueNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
32-19
32
19
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H13/01
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/01
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H24/01
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A28/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
43.3Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.429.870.2+10.683%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.230.072.2+12.285%-
Last 30 away (10)36.729.566.2+7.280%-
Last 10 (10)43.328.772.0+14.690%-
Last 5 (5)47.228.876.0+18.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)39.129.568.6+9.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.030.071.0+11.085%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#267
W
36-13
36
13
+23
A21/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/01
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H28/01
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.964.9+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.930.966.9+5.079%-
Last 30 away (11)30.630.761.4-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.467.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.265.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.038.068.0-8.020%-
vs Similar (16)34.028.862.8+5.275%-
vs Weaker (9)36.230.766.9+5.667%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Purdue wins
2
Northwestern wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Northwestern v Purdue92-88 OT
12/02/23Northwestern v Purdue64-58
17/02/22Northwestern v Purdue64-70
23/01/22Purdue v Northwestern80-60
06/02/21Purdue v Northwestern75-70
02/02/20Northwestern v Purdue58-61
08/12/19Purdue v Northwestern58-44
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24ARutgers68-60
24/01/24HMichigan99-67
20/01/24AIowa84-70
17/01/24AIndiana87-66
13/01/24HPenn State95-78
10/01/24ANebraska72-88
06/01/24HIllinois83-78
03/01/24AMaryland67-53
30/12/23HEastern Kentucky80-53
21/12/23HJacksonville Dolphins100-57
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HOhio State83-58
25/01/24HIllinois96-91 OT
20/01/24ANebraska69-75
18/01/24HMaryland72-69
13/01/24AWisconsin63-71
10/01/24APenn State76-72
08/01/24HMichigan State88-74
03/01/24AIllinois66-96
30/12/23HJackson State74-63
21/12/23AArizona State65-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %90%100%75%
Points / game84.989.777.1
Allowed / game68.867.570.9
Point differential+16.1+22.2+6.2
Avg total153.7157.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%69%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%92%43%
Points / game74.479.764.6
Allowed / game68.268.567.4
Point differential+6.2+11.2-2.9
Avg total142.6148.2132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%54%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)83% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %10%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue2119290%84.968.8+16.1
2 Wisconsin2016480%76.066.8+9.1
3 Illinois2116576%82.369.0+13.4
4 Northwestern2015575%74.468.2+6.2
5 Nebraska2115671%77.270.1+7.1
6 Oregon2014670%78.272.9+5.3
7 Minnesota2013765%76.568.3+8.2
8 Michigan State2113862%76.065.8+10.1
9 Maryland2113862%70.363.4+6.9
10 Ohio State2113862%75.169.1+6.0
11 Indiana2113862%73.673.8-0.2
12 Iowa2112957%84.477.3+7.1
13 Washington2112957%81.176.7+4.4
14 Rutgers1910953%67.966.6+1.3
15 Penn State2091145%76.274.8+1.5
16 UCLA2091145%65.263.9+1.4
17 USC2081240%74.574.7-0.2
18 Michigan2171433%77.979.3-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Purdue473424105
Northwestern39421596
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