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Quilpue Basquetbol vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 62-60
21-16 13-16 12-14 16-14
Position#7
Record7-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.3
Quilpue Basquetbol 🏆
Chile
vs
Sergio Ceppi
Chile
Position#6
Record12-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game72.5
ChileLNB 2· Estadio Valparaíso Sporting Club
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilpue Basquetbol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilpue BasquetbolChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasquetbol
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
71-61
71
61
+10
no box
A18/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
63-69
63
69
-6
52avg 52
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
71avg 52
H25/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
48-60
48
60
-12
28avg 52
H26/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 52
A02/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
55-86
55
86
-31
40avg 52
A15/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
78-68
78
68
+10
73avg 52
A16/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
45-80
45
80
-35
32avg 52
H22/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
58-79
58
79
-21
45avg 52
A23/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
39avg 52
H30/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
21-12
15-23
13-17
14-17
29-20
16-32
21-18
15-23
16-17
14-15
11-12
7-16
25-14
15-15
23-18
14-25
16-21
15-20
12-21
12-24
27-20
18-15
22-16
11-17
17-18
14-10
10-32
4-20
8-15
13-26
18-15
19-23
12-22
16-9
8-16
18-10
135.5Avg total
63.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)65.070.3135.3-5.339%
Season at home (7)61.470.9132.3-9.429%
Season away (11)67.369.9137.2-2.645%
Last 10 (10)63.072.5135.5-9.530%
Last 5 (5)58.074.0132.0-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)56.769.4126.1-12.822%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.170.9143.0+1.357%
vs Weaker (2)77.572.0149.5+5.550%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 66
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 66
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
48avg 66
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 66
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
58-55
58
55
+3
40avg 66
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
61avg 66
H09/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
38avg 66
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
85-70
85
70
+15
71avg 66
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
60-72
60
72
-12
49avg 66
A23/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-57
80
57
+23
78avg 66
H30/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
24-19
17-20
17-27
22-21
15-20
12-26
20-20
18-15
13-26
10-18
22-21
24-27
22-21
30-21
17-22
18-21
13-15
12-9
15-10
11-13
12-15
24-24
21-15
15-24
9-22
16-26
22-18
25-28
26-14
15-16
19-12
20-18
8-25
16-16
16-13
14-10
22-16
26-12
18-19
147.2Avg total
71.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.172.5146.6+1.663%
Season at home (10)76.567.2143.7+9.380%
Season away (9)71.478.3149.8-6.944%
Last 10 (10)71.975.3147.2-3.450%
Last 5 (5)71.071.2142.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.888.9160.7-17.122%
vs Similar ◀ (16)69.466.1135.6+3.369%
vs Weaker (5)80.276.2156.4+4.060%
This opponent (Quilpue Basquetbol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Quilpue BasquetbolSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Quilpue BasquetbolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aleman
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H25/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H26/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A02/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A15/06
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A16/06
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H22/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A23/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/06
LNB 2
70.1Avg total
34.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)33.734.468.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (7)34.433.768.1+0.743%-
Last 30 away (10)33.234.868.0-1.650%-
Last 10 (9)34.136.070.1-1.944%-
Last 5 (5)31.235.266.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.633.863.3-4.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.233.770.8+3.550%-
vs Weaker (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H09/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A15/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H30/06
LNB 2
74.2Avg total
35.4Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)35.837.373.1-1.652%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.070.8+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)34.840.475.2-5.643%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.874.2-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.069.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.248.182.4-13.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.132.667.7+2.657%-
vs Weaker (5)40.033.473.4+6.6100%-
This opponent (Quilpue Basquetbol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Quilpue Basquetboltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quilpue Basquetbol: 62.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.818.4
41.1%
44.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.3
24.3%
28.7%15.9
🏀 Free throws14.09.3
66.4%
63.6%9.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.919.6
42.7%
44.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.1
27.6%
28.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws21.813.4
61.5%
63.6%13.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Quilpue Basquetbol
LLLWLWLLLW
Sergio Ceppi
WLWLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#6
-15.2
Net rating
-4.2
79.8
Offensive rating
87.0
95.0
Defensive rating
91.1
39.6%
Effective FG%
42.3%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
21.7%
Turnover %
21.5%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
24.3%
3-point %
27.6%
52.7%
Assist %
52.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence79.8 · 87.0Defence95.0 · 91.1Shooting39.6% · 42.3%3-point %24.3% · 27.6%Ball care21.7% · 21.5%Off. rebounds26.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Quilpue Basquetbol   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Quilpue Basquetbol wins
1
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Sergio Ceppi v Quilpue Basquetbol82-73
Quilpue Basquetbollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24HStadio Italiano54-57
23/06/24ATruenos De Talca58-79
22/06/24HColo Colo45-80
16/06/24AArabe Valparaiso78-68
15/06/24ABoston C. C.55-86
02/06/24ABrisas77-72
26/05/24HArabe Valparaiso48-60
25/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe81-93
19/05/24AAleman63-69
18/05/24AMunicipal Chillan71-61
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-57
23/06/24ABrisas60-72
16/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe85-70
15/06/24ATruenos De Talca62-90
09/06/24HStadio Italiano68-67
02/06/24AMunicipal Chillan58-55
01/06/24AAleman93-91
26/05/24HBoston C. C.63-80
19/05/24HColo Colo69-87
11/05/24AArabe Valparaiso81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilpue Basquetbol
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %39%29%45%
Points / game65.061.467.3
Allowed / game70.370.969.9
Point differential-5.3-9.4-2.6
Avg total135.3132.3137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%80%44%
Points / game74.176.571.4
Allowed / game72.567.278.3
Point differential+1.6+9.3-6.9
Avg total146.6143.7149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo17170100%84.962.5+22.4
2 Sergio Ceppi1912763%74.172.5+1.6
3 Stadio Italiano1811761%68.263.4+4.7
4 Truenos De Talca1811761%71.767.2+4.5
5 Aleman1811761%74.570.9+3.6
6 Boston C. C.1810856%70.668.3+2.3
7 Municipal Chillan1881044%62.566.6-4.1
8 Arabe Valparaiso167944%65.771.4-5.8
9 Quilpue Basquetbol1871139%65.070.3-5.3
10 Luis Matte Larrain1761135%66.872.7-5.9
11 Brisas1741324%67.270.7-3.5
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1821611%70.385.0-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Quilpue Basquetbol2113121662
Sergio Ceppi1616141460
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