Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 94-68

23-16 20-19 26-19 25-14

Position#13

Record3-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game94.8

Allowed / game88.2

Quimsa 🏆

Penarol

Position#16

Record2-3

FormLWLLW

Points / game87.4

Allowed / game84.8

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Quimsa v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

73-78

-5

H14/11

South American League

Olimpia Kings

77-93

-16

A16/11

South American League

Regatas

#12

94-88

A19/11

Torneo Super 20

Regatas

#12

93-88

H22/11

Torneo Super 20

Penarol

#16

115-105 OT

115

105

+10

A06/12

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

86-84

A08/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

90-74

+16

H11/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

88-90

-2

H15/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

78-67

+11

A22/12

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

76-70

H23/12

Torneo Super 20

21-15

16-24

20-19

16-20

16-24

16-23

27-23

18-23

25-15

18-22

15-24

36-27

22-21

21-20

26-16

24-31

28-20

26-28

19-16

22-31

13-22

25-20

21-25

27-17

24-17

23-18

22-18

21-21

24-23

13-17

28-19

23-31

18-25

21-18

22-11

17-13

25-15

13-17

27-14

11-24

170.7Avg total

87.0Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	94.8	88.2	183.0	+6.5	75%
Season at home (2)	89.0	82.0	171.0	+7.0	50%
Season away (2)	100.5	94.5	195.0	+6.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	83.7	170.7	+3.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	77.0	160.6	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.5	83.5	159.0	-8.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	85.6	84.6	170.3	+1.0	53%
vs Weaker (9)	83.4	76.7	160.1	+6.8	89%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#14

86-79

H19/10

Torneo Super 20

Quilmes

#19

89-83

A21/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

79-83

-4

A05/11

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

88-63

+25

H08/11

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

78-84

-6

H10/11

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

#13

105-115 OT

105

115

-10

H06/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

94-84

+10

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

77-79

-2

A13/12

Liga A

Ferro

77-82

-5

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

84-64

+20

H21/12

Liga A

20-17

21-20

17-17

28-25

20-25

19-11

16-23

34-24

16-33

31-9

12-21

20-20

31-17

19-16

20-14

18-16

9-24

21-20

20-14

28-26

20-28

28-26

16-19

31-22

28-23

21-18

18-19

27-24

21-12

14-19

20-25

22-23

24-22

9-19

22-15

22-26

20-12

21-14

20-17

23-21

167.3Avg total

85.7Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	87.4	84.8	172.2	+2.6	40%
Season at home (2)	94.5	89.5	184.0	+5.0	50%
Season away (3)	82.7	81.7	164.3	+1.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	85.7	81.6	167.3	+4.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	84.8	172.2	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.4	89.1	166.5	-11.7	10%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	83.9	79.9	163.8	+4.0	64%
vs Weaker (9)	85.2	77.0	162.2	+8.2	67%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.4	40.1	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	21.1	37.4	-4.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.6	76%	-
vs Weaker (9)	15.7	19.3	35.0	-3.7	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.6	39.9	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.4	22.5	39.9	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	23.5	40.4	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.2	21.0	35.2	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	20.1	39.1	-1.0	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.4	19.1	42.6	+4.3	89%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.9	40.7	+1.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	17.5	35.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	78%	-

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertad

37-39

-2

H14/11

South American League

Olimpia Kings

32-47

-15

A16/11

South American League

Regatas

#12

43-37

A19/11

Torneo Super 20

Regatas

#12

43-41

H22/11

Torneo Super 20

Penarol

#16

54-48

A06/12

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

38-42

-4

A08/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

47-35

+12

H11/12

Liga A

San Martin

#10

37-40

-3

H15/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

39-43

-4

A22/12

Torneo Super 20

San Lorenzo

38-32

H23/12

Torneo Super 20

81.2Avg total

40.8Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	37.8	80.4	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	40.6	76.4	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.4	81.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.2	40.8	75.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.0	39.4	79.4	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.1	38.4	77.6	+0.7	44%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Weber Bahia

#14

41-37

H19/10

Torneo Super 20

Quilmes

#19

39-36

A21/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

47-42

A05/11

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

50-33

+17

H08/11

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

30-44

-14

H10/11

Torneo Super 20

Quimsa

#13

48-54

-6

H06/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

49-41

A11/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-31

A13/12

Liga A

Ferro

33-41

-8

A15/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#18

41-26

+15

H21/12

Liga A

79.8Avg total

41.3Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.7	77.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	39.4	80.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	40.0	74.9	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	38.5	79.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.6	79.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.8	43.5	77.3	-9.7	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.3	39.1	78.4	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.6	36.3	76.9	+4.2	67%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.9	41.1	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.5	41.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.4	41.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.2	18.5	42.8	+5.8	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.8	22.2	42.9	-1.4	35%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.7	17.3	39.0	+4.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.0	22.1	45.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.9	43.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	22.4	42.7	-2.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.4	21.5	44.9	+1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	23.8	45.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	23.7	22.5	46.2	+1.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	22.7	48.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	23.2	48.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	23.5	44.1	-2.9	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	23.3	20.2	43.5	+3.1	73%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.9	19.9	43.8	+4.0	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	42.1	85.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	41.3	83.8	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.3	42.9	87.2	+1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.3	86.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.6	82.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	44.5	44.6	89.1	-0.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.6	37.1	79.7	+5.4	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.2	84.6	+2.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	41.0	86.5	+4.5	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	41.4	82.9	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	41.1	84.5	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	43.6	45.6	89.2	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	43.7	39.0	82.7	+4.7	82%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.7	39.1	81.8	+3.6	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/18	Penarol v Quimsa	105-115 OT
29/01/18	Penarol v Quimsa	90-97
16/01/18	Quimsa v Penarol	85-74
27/03/17	Quimsa v Penarol	65-64
18/01/17	Penarol v Quimsa	80-77
18/04/16	Quimsa v Penarol	92-97
01/03/16	Penarol v Quimsa	89-95
23/04/15	Quimsa v Penarol	97-74
11/02/15	Penarol v Quimsa	62-87
18/12/14	Quimsa v Penarol	81-66

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	76-70
22/12/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	78-67
15/12/18	H	San Martin	88-90
11/12/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	90-74
08/12/18	A	Quilmes	86-84
06/12/18	A	Penarol	115-105 OT
22/11/18	H	Regatas	93-88
19/11/18	A	Regatas	94-88
16/11/18	A	Olimpia Kings	77-93
14/11/18	H	Libertad	73-78

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/18	H	Weber Bahia	84-64
15/12/18	A	Ferro	77-82
13/12/18	A	Boca Juniors	77-79
11/12/18	A	Hispano Americano	94-84
06/12/18	H	Quimsa	105-115 OT
10/11/18	H	Hispano Americano	78-84
08/11/18	H	Hispano Americano	88-63
05/11/18	A	Hispano Americano	79-83
21/10/18	A	Quilmes	89-83
19/10/18	H	Weber Bahia	86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWL	75%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	50%	100%
Points / game	94.8	89.0	100.5
Allowed / game	88.2	82.0	94.5
Point differential	+6.5	+7.0	+6.0
Avg total	183.0	171.0	195.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Penarol

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	87.4	94.5	82.7
Allowed / game	84.8	89.5	81.7
Point differential	+2.6	+5.0	+1.0
Avg total	172.2	184.0	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	20%	50%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	4	4	0	100%	90.0	72.2	+17.8
2	Instituto de Cordoba	2	2	0	100%	99.5	90.0	+9.5
3	Boca Juniors	5	4	1	80%	74.0	65.8	+8.2
4	La Union	4	3	1	75%	94.5	86.0	+8.5
5	Quimsa	4	3	1	75%	94.8	88.2	+6.5
6	Regatas	6	4	2	67%	84.3	78.7	+5.7
7	Gimnasia	5	3	2	60%	85.2	80.8	+4.4
8	Ferro	5	3	2	60%	81.2	79.2	+2.0
9	Obras Sanitarias	5	3	2	60%	82.2	81.2	+1.0
10	San Martin	5	3	2	60%	78.2	80.2	-2.0
11	Comunicaciones Mercedes	4	2	2	50%	85.2	81.0	+4.2
12	Libertad	6	3	3	50%	75.2	75.5	-0.3
13	Hispano Americano	4	2	2	50%	76.2	80.5	-4.2
14	Penarol	5	2	3	40%	87.4	84.8	+2.6
15	Olimpico	3	1	2	33%	76.0	76.0	+0.0
16	Weber Bahia	4	1	3	25%	68.0	78.8	-10.8
17	Quilmes	5	1	4	20%	77.6	87.4	-9.8
18	Estudiantes	6	1	5	17%	71.2	84.0	-12.8
19	Atenas	4	0	4	0%	79.0	88.0	-9.0
20	Argentino	4	0	4	0%	80.8	95.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	23	20	26	25	94
Penarol	16	19	19	14	68

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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