Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2013

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 76-82

20-20 19-27 11-18 26-17

Position#2

Record2-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game72.5

Quimsa

Penarol 🏆

Position#1

Record2-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.0

Allowed / game83.0

Super 4Super 4 - Final

Other2013-14

Meetings · Quimsa v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

76-81

-5

A22/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

62-66

-4

A25/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

77-84

-7

H28/11

Liga A

Libertad

82-74

H30/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

61-85

-24

A07/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

65-77

-12

A09/12

Liga A

Quilmes

92-63

+29

H14/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

88-83

H16/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

76-61

+15

A18/12

Super 4

Atenas

92-84

H20/12

Super 4

11-11

22-24

25-23

18-23

13-17

17-18

23-11

9-20

15-24

15-10

18-21

29-29

20-18

20-16

22-14

20-26

14-17

16-21

21-22

10-25

16-20

13-14

12-16

24-27

28-23

18-10

24-14

22-16

17-24

21-19

29-30

21-10

21-7

8-17

22-20

25-17

12-21

31-23

23-23

26-17

152.9Avg total

77.1Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	84.0	72.5	156.5	+11.5	100%
Season at home (1)	92.0	84.0	176.0	+8.0	100%
Season away (1)	76.0	61.0	137.0	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	75.8	152.9	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	73.6	156.2	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.0	79.5	162.5	+3.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	78.0	79.2	157.2	-1.3	48%
vs Weaker (2)	80.5	81.5	162.0	-1.0	50%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

91-81

+10

H23/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

74-60

+14

H25/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-73

A30/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

98-79

+19

A02/12

Liga A

Regatas

90-86

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

88-62

+26

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

89-75

+14

H13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

78-71

H16/12

Liga A

Libertad

82-77

H20/12

Super 4

Regatas

96-89

A21/12

Super 4

27-24

19-16

17-17

28-24

24-19

20-9

13-21

17-11

20-17

16-24

22-18

19-14

26-18

20-17

25-19

27-25

23-24

18-19

31-18

18-25

20-15

25-14

22-12

21-21

21-15

26-14

21-22

21-24

23-17

19-17

17-22

19-15

18-14

23-22

23-20

18-21

32-16

29-18

15-23

20-32

161.6Avg total

86.3Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	89.0	83.0	172.0	+6.0	100%
Season at home (1)	82.0	77.0	159.0	+5.0	100%
Season away (1)	96.0	89.0	185.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.3	75.3	161.6	+11.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	74.8	161.4	+11.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	61.0	88.0	149.0	-27.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.4	78.4	158.8	+2.0	60%
vs Weaker (18)	81.2	72.6	153.8	+8.7	78%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	17.0	33.6	-0.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.2	34.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.8	19.3	38.0	-0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.9	37.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.4	38.2	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.6	18.7	33.4	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.6	34.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	17.6	18.6	36.2	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.1	37.5	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	14.9	36.1	+6.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.6	39.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.0	38.5	+4.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	17.0	41.4	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	21.0	39.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	70%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.5	16.8	37.3	+3.7	67%	-

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

33-35

-2

A22/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

30-35

-5

A25/11

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

30-34

-4

H28/11

Liga A

Libertad

40-34

H30/11

Liga A

Sionista

#12

30-38

-8

A07/12

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

29-34

-5

A09/12

Liga A

Quilmes

46-33

+13

H14/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#14

38-43

-5

H16/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

29-24

A18/12

Super 4

Atenas

43-44

-1

H20/12

Super 4

70.2Avg total

34.8Scored

35.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	37.8	74.6	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.6	81.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	31.2	35.7	66.9	-4.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	35.4	70.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.6	72.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	36.3	37.9	74.2	-1.6	32%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	40.5	82.0	+1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boca Juniors

46-40

H23/11

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

44-28

+16

H25/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

36-41

-5

A30/11

Liga A

Lanus

#15

46-35

+11

A02/12

Liga A

Regatas

41-43

-2

H07/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

45-29

+16

H09/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#10

47-29

+18

H13/12

Liga A

Boca Juniors

42-34

H16/12

Liga A

Libertad

41-36

H20/12

Super 4

Regatas

61-34

+27

A21/12

Super 4

79.8Avg total

44.9Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	36.0	75.3	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	32.6	73.2	+8.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	39.9	77.7	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	34.9	79.8	+10.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	32.4	79.6	+14.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	45.0	76.0	-14.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.2	35.6	75.8	+4.6	70%	-
vs Weaker (18)	39.3	35.7	74.9	+3.6	56%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	18.6	40.5	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.1	39.6	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.0	39.5	+5.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.3	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	19.4	39.7	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	24.0	37.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.6	17.3	38.8	+4.3	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	21.1	43.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.4	41.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.4	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.1	42.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.6	42.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	19.0	36.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	39.7	83.9	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	41.7	79.4	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	40.4	82.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	38.0	83.6	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	41.1	40.9	82.0	+0.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	37.7	77.2	+1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	40.5	82.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	42.4	81.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	43.0	73.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (18)	41.9	36.9	78.8	+5.1	56%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	77-81
05/04/13	Quimsa v Penarol	88-77
01/04/13	Penarol v Quimsa	70-67
30/03/13	Penarol v Quimsa	92-80
26/01/13	Quimsa v Penarol	94-60
08/11/12	Penarol v Quimsa	66-74
03/11/12	Penarol v Quimsa	71-76
16/02/12	Quimsa v Penarol	65-62
12/12/11	Penarol v Quimsa	95-78
10/03/11	Penarol v Quimsa	96-81

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/13	H	Atenas	92-84
18/12/13	A	Gimnasia	76-61
16/12/13	H	Weber Bahia	88-83
14/12/13	H	Quilmes	92-63
09/12/13	A	Estudiantes	65-77
07/12/13	A	Sionista	61-85
30/11/13	H	Libertad	82-74
28/11/13	H	Olimpico	77-84
25/11/13	A	La Union	62-66
22/11/13	A	Regatas	76-81

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/13	A	Regatas	96-89
20/12/13	H	Libertad	82-77
16/12/13	H	Boca Juniors	78-71
13/12/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	89-75
09/12/13	H	La Union	88-62
07/12/13	H	Regatas	90-86
02/12/13	A	Lanus	98-79
30/11/13	A	Gimnasia	77-73
25/11/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	74-60
23/11/13	H	Boca Juniors	91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Super 4 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	84.0	92.0	76.0
Allowed / game	72.5	84.0	61.0
Point differential	+11.5	+8.0	+15.0
Avg total	156.5	176.0	137.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Super 4 2013-14

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	1	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	89.0	82.0	96.0
Allowed / game	83.0	77.0	89.0
Point differential	+6.0	+5.0	+7.0
Avg total	172.0	159.0	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	2	2	0	100%	84.0	72.5	+11.5
2	Penarol	2	2	0	100%	89.0	83.0	+6.0
3	Regatas	2	1	1	50%	85.5	76.5	+9.0
4	Atenas	2	1	1	50%	87.5	83.0	+4.5
5	Libertad	1	0	1	0%	77.0	82.0	-5.0
6	Gimnasia	1	0	1	0%	61.0	76.0	-15.0
7	Quilmes	1	0	1	0%	74.0	91.0	-17.0
8	Obras Sanitarias	1	0	1	0%	57.0	82.0	-25.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	20	19	11	26	76
Penarol	20	27	18	17	82

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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