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Rain or Shine Elasto Painters vs NLEX Road Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 123-114 (OT)
34-33 22-28 33-22 21-27 13-4
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game108.4
Allowed / game101.3
vs
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game108.9
PhilippinesGovernors Cup· Ninoy Aquino Stadium
Other2024
Meetings · Rain or Shine Elasto Painters v NLEX Road Warriors
21 Jun 2025
RAIN103
NLEX92
12 Apr 2025
RAIN95
NLEX109
25 Jan 2025
RAIN110
NLEX122
17 Sep 2024
RAIN123
NLEX114
16 Jul 2021
RAIN83
NLEX82
04 Nov 2020
RAIN74
NLEX94
30 Oct 2019
RAIN91
NLEX111
18 Jan 2019
RAIN96
NLEX87
26 Jul 2017
RAIN114
NLEX122
23 Dec 2016
RAIN107
NLEX97
04 Sep 2016
RAIN99
NLEX111
04 Mar 2016
RAIN121
NLEX94
19 Dec 2015
RAIN106
NLEX111
25 Nov 2014
RAIN95
NLEX93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NLEX Road Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPainters
Date
Competition
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
77avg 99
A19/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
100avg 99
H22/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
100-107
100
107
-7
88avg 99
A24/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
110-97
110
97
+13
no box
A20/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H24/08
Governors Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
124-105
124
105
+19
no box
A28/08
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
116-99
116
99
+17
no box
H30/08
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#6
L
112-113
112
113
-1
no box
H05/09
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
122-107
122
107
+15
no box
A10/09
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
102-124
102
124
-22
no box
A13/09
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-30
26-35
18-18
24-25
23-26
38-40
22-26
27-25
28-16
32-34
13-32
30-26
29-24
24-12
27-35
19-16
10-18
22-18
22-12
24-40
34-14
33-29
33-22
19-29
36-26
29-21
32-23
28-33
25-22
27-31
32-27
31-33
33-24
23-28
35-22
30-38
24-20
25-32
23-34
209.4Avg total
105.5Scored
103.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)108.4101.3209.7+7.171%
Season at home (3)100.392.0192.3+8.367%
Season away (4)114.5108.2222.8+6.275%
Last 10 (10)105.5103.9209.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)115.2109.6224.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)100.1107.2207.3-7.122%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.8107.2219.1+4.662%
vs Weaker (5)115.2102.4217.6+12.8100%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
63avg 87
A05/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
81avg 87
H10/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
67avg 87
A12/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
104-87
104
87
+17
no box
H22/08
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
100-95
100
95
+5
no box
A25/08
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
105-124
105
124
-19
no box
H28/08
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#6
W
112-108 OT
112
108
+4
no box
A31/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
91-119
91
119
-28
no box
H03/09
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
L
99-110
99
110
-11
no box
A06/09
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#6
L
114-119
114
119
-5
no box
H11/09
Governors Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
12-16
24-22
17-18
28-23
26-21
21-29
18-24
26-27
23-25
21-24
11-24
23-22
28-15
33-25
20-25
25-16
28-14
23-37
24-28
40-24
14-34
29-33
22-33
20-23
32-24
17-27
29-24
23-36
20-27
21-29
27-27
21-28
23-33
29-23
26-26
23-27
34-30
35-29
22-33
200.6Avg total
97.5Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)103.6108.9212.4-5.343%
Season at home (4)103.5112.2215.8-8.825%
Season away (3)103.7104.3208.0-0.767%
Last 10 (10)97.5103.1200.6-5.640%
Last 5 (5)104.2116.0220.2-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)97.0104.1201.1-7.131%
vs Similar ◀ (11)100.2103.1203.3-2.955%
vs Weaker (3)109.0100.3209.3+8.767%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -4.6-4.6
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersNLEX Road Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A19/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/05
Philippine Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#1
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A24/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A20/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/08
Governors Cup
NLEX Road Warriors
#9
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A28/08
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H30/08
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#6
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H05/09
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A10/09
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A13/09
Governors Cup
102.7Avg total
51.9Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.251.5104.7+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.752.5104.1-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)54.750.5105.2+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)51.950.8102.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.855.8112.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)49.250.499.7-1.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.352.0106.3+2.356%-
vs Weaker (5)56.851.6108.4+5.280%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H10/05
Philippine Cup
Meralco Bolts
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A12/05
Philippine Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H22/08
Governors Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A25/08
Governors Cup
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
#3
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H28/08
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A31/08
Governors Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
43-63
43
63
-20
H03/09
Governors Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A06/09
Governors Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#6
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H11/09
Governors Cup
97.3Avg total
49.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.748.998.6+0.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.949.3100.1+1.671%-
Last 30 away (16)48.748.697.2+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)49.248.197.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)50.057.2107.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)48.549.598.0-1.056%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)50.549.399.7+1.264%-
vs Weaker (3)53.344.397.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 14.1 points a game
65%
27%
8%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
100.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
100.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
100.0%17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 22%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 14.1 points a game
65%
27%
8%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
100.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
100.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
100.0%17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 22%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
LWLWWWWLLL
NLEX Road Warriors
LLLWLWWLLW
#3
League position
#9
-3.9
Net rating
-6.6
108.0
Offensive rating
105.4
111.9
Defensive rating
112.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
33.8%
60.5%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 105.4Defence111.9 · 112.0Shooting50.5% · 49.2%3-point %32.3% · 33.8%Ball care12.9% · 13.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters   ■ NLEX Road Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/24ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel102-124
10/09/24APhoenix Fuelmasters122-107
05/09/24HSan Miguel Beermen112-113
30/08/24HPhoenix Fuelmasters116-99
28/08/24ANLEX Road Warriors124-105
24/08/24HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel73-64
20/08/24ABlackwater Bossing110-97
24/05/24ASan Miguel Beermen100-107
22/05/24HSan Miguel Beermen107-117
19/05/24ASan Miguel Beermen89-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/09/24HSan Miguel Beermen114-119
06/09/24ABlackwater Bossing99-110
03/09/24HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel91-119
31/08/24ASan Miguel Beermen112-108 OT
28/08/24HRain or Shine Elasto Painters105-124
25/08/24APhoenix Fuelmasters100-95
22/08/24HBlackwater Bossing104-87
12/05/24AMeralco Bolts81-100
10/05/24HMeralco Bolts93-97
05/05/24ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel76-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Governors Cup 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game108.4100.3114.5
Allowed / game101.392.0108.2
Point differential+7.1+8.3+6.2
Avg total209.7192.3222.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%33%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
NLEX Road Warriors
Governors Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game103.6103.5103.7
Allowed / game108.9112.2104.3
Point differential-5.3-8.8-0.7
Avg total212.4215.8208.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TNT Tropang Giga76186%98.689.3+9.3
2 San Miguel Beermen86275%118.9108.8+10.1
3 Meralco Bolts86275%99.993.9+6.0
4 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters75271%108.4101.3+7.1
5 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel85362%100.999.1+1.8
6 Magnolia Hotshots74357%97.693.9+3.7
7 Converge FiberXers84450%101.4105.2-3.9
8 NLEX Road Warriors73443%103.6108.9-5.3
9 NorthPort83538%108.9105.6+3.2
10 Blackwater Bossing83538%104.0108.9-4.9
11 Phoenix Fuelmasters81712%108.2116.9-8.6
12 Terrafirma Dyip8080%96.9113.6-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters3422332113123
NLEX Road Warriors332822274114
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