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Rain or Shine Elasto Painters vs NLEX Road Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 110-122
23-29 25-36 31-21 31-36
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#9
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game99.6
PhilippinesCommissioners Cup
Other2024
Meetings · Rain or Shine Elasto Painters v NLEX Road Warriors
21 Jun 2025
RAIN103
NLEX92
12 Apr 2025
RAIN95
NLEX109
25 Jan 2025
RAIN110
NLEX122
17 Sep 2024
RAIN123
NLEX114
16 Jul 2021
RAIN83
NLEX82
04 Nov 2020
RAIN74
NLEX94
30 Oct 2019
RAIN91
NLEX111
18 Jan 2019
RAIN96
NLEX87
26 Jul 2017
RAIN114
NLEX122
23 Dec 2016
RAIN107
NLEX97
04 Sep 2016
RAIN99
NLEX111
04 Mar 2016
RAIN121
NLEX94
19 Dec 2015
RAIN106
NLEX111
25 Nov 2014
RAIN95
NLEX93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
NLEX Road Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A01/12
Commissioners Cup
Hong Kong Eastern
#5
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H04/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
107-93
107
93
+14
A10/12
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#7
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H18/12
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#13
W
124-112
124
112
+12
A22/12
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
122-106
122
106
+16
H08/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A11/01
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#4
L
96-103
96
103
-7
A14/01
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#3
W
127-107
127
107
+20
H16/01
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
92-120
92
120
-28
A22/01
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
24-19
32-37
30-32
24-18
19-16
27-30
29-17
19-25
28-17
23-30
37-21
31-23
19-24
31-31
21-22
28-37
38-25
32-33
26-17
39-25
17-22
38-32
28-27
18-17
28-33
25-20
20-23
30-17
13-30
26-26
27-30
33-18
29-26
34-31
31-32
23-30
22-36
27-25
20-29
210.7Avg total
107.1Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)107.1103.6210.7+3.560%
Season at home (4)112.598.5211.0+14.0100%
Season away (6)103.5107.0210.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)107.1103.6210.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)105.6105.8211.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)94.8105.2200.0-10.443%
vs Similar ◀ (11)113.5107.7221.3+5.864%
vs Weaker (5)115.0103.4218.4+11.680%
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NLEX Road WarriorsPhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NorthPort
#3
L
87-114
87
114
-27
A28/11
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
107-95
107
95
+12
H30/11
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#13
W
104-85
104
85
+19
A03/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
H08/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
100-109
100
109
-9
H11/12
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#4
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A17/12
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#7
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A20/12
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
91-105
91
105
-14
H10/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H15/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
W
108-94
108
94
+14
A19/01
Commissioners Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
12-35
26-35
20-23
22-17
31-29
28-23
26-26
27-11
24-19
24-32
29-23
17-21
23-32
31-22
33-24
22-20
21-22
23-36
34-31
18-28
26-24
28-25
19-25
22-21
23-17
18-26
24-23
24-29
25-25
21-23
21-28
19-24
20-15
28-24
20-31
25-17
20-31
41-25
22-21
197.0Avg total
97.4Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)97.499.6197.0-2.240%
Season at home (5)97.8100.4198.2-2.640%
Season away (5)97.098.8195.8-1.840%
Last 10 (10)97.499.6197.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)94.498.8193.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)96.2103.7199.8-7.528%
vs Similar ◀ (7)97.4113.9211.3-16.414%
vs Weaker (5)104.689.6194.2+15.0100%
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersNLEX Road Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rain or Shine Elasto PaintersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A01/12
Commissioners Cup
Hong Kong Eastern
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A10/12
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/12
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A22/12
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H08/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A11/01
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Commissioners Cup
NorthPort
#3
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H16/01
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A22/01
Commissioners Cup
99.8Avg total
50.7Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.751.3101.0-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.450.998.3-3.643%-
Last 30 away (16)51.851.6103.4+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)50.749.199.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)50.450.8101.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)44.250.094.2-5.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)53.251.6104.8+1.555%-
vs Weaker (5)57.454.2111.6+3.260%-
This opponent (NLEX Road Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NLEX Road WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NorthPort
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A28/11
Commissioners Cup
Blackwater Bossing
#12
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H30/11
Commissioners Cup
Terrafirma Dyip
#13
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A03/12
Commissioners Cup
San Miguel Beermen
#10
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H08/12
Commissioners Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/12
Commissioners Cup
Converge FiberXers
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A17/12
Commissioners Cup
Magnolia Hotshots
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A20/12
Commissioners Cup
Meralco Bolts
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H10/01
Commissioners Cup
TNT Tropang Giga
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/01
Commissioners Cup
Phoenix Fuelmasters
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A19/01
Commissioners Cup
90.8Avg total
45.0Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.548.294.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.550.396.8-3.829%-
Last 30 away (16)46.446.492.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.045.890.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.290.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)45.148.193.1-3.039%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.755.7102.4-9.014%-
vs Weaker (5)51.238.289.4+13.080%-
This opponent (Rain or Shine Elasto Painters) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rain or Shine Elasto Painterstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters: 96.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.3
52.2%
-44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.4
32.3%
-34.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.6
68.8%
-17.6
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
NLEX Road Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

NLEX Road Warriors: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.7
47.9%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.5
33.8%
-34.5
🏀 Free throws24.517.3
70.6%
-17.3
They take 77.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
LWLLWWWWWL
NLEX Road Warriors
WLLLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#9
-3.9
Net rating
-6.6
108.0
Offensive rating
105.4
111.9
Defensive rating
112.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.3%
3-point %
33.8%
60.5%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Rain or Shine Elasto Painters   ■ NLEX Road Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25ABarangay Ginebra San Miguel92-120
16/01/25HNorthPort127-107
14/01/25AConverge FiberXers96-103
11/01/25APhoenix Fuelmasters91-93
08/01/25HBlackwater Bossing122-106
22/12/24ATerrafirma Dyip124-112
18/12/24HMagnolia Hotshots102-100
10/12/24ASan Miguel Beermen107-93
04/12/24HHong Kong Eastern99-81
01/12/24AMeralco Bolts111-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/25APhoenix Fuelmasters108-94
15/01/25HTNT Tropang Giga87-94
10/01/25HMeralco Bolts91-105
20/12/24AMagnolia Hotshots95-99 OT
17/12/24AConverge FiberXers91-102
11/12/24HBarangay Ginebra San Miguel100-109
08/12/24HSan Miguel Beermen104-99
03/12/24ATerrafirma Dyip104-85
30/11/24HBlackwater Bossing107-95
28/11/24ANorthPort87-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rain or Shine Elasto Painters
Commissioners Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game107.1112.5103.5
Allowed / game103.698.5107.0
Point differential+3.5+14.0-3.5
Avg total210.7211.0210.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
NLEX Road Warriors
Commissioners Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game97.497.897.0
Allowed / game99.6100.498.8
Point differential-2.2-2.6-1.8
Avg total197.0198.2195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NorthPort129375%109.7105.5+4.2
2 Hong Kong Eastern107370%101.195.0+6.1
3 TNT Tropang Giga107370%98.995.3+3.6
4 Meralco Bolts107370%102.399.7+2.6
5 Converge FiberXers128467%106.8100.2+6.5
6 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel117464%99.590.8+8.6
7 Rain or Shine Elasto Painters106460%107.1103.6+3.5
8 San Miguel Beermen115645%99.199.4-0.3
9 Magnolia Hotshots104640%98.096.8+1.2
10 NLEX Road Warriors104640%97.499.6-2.2
11 Phoenix Fuelmasters123925%97.2105.2-7.9
12 Blackwater Bossing123925%95.5105.3-9.8
13 Terrafirma Dyip121118%97.2110.2-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rain or Shine Elasto Painters23253131110
NLEX Road Warriors29362136122
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