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Randers vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 93-71
18-22 31-14 19-23 25-12
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game88.2
Randers 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game96.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Arena Randers
Other2026-27
Meetings · Randers v BMS Herlev
18 Oct 2026
RAND93
BMS 71
04 Jan 2026
RAND107
BMS 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
67avg 89
A30/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
122-94
122
94
+28
128avg 89
H02/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 89
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
96-78
96
78
+18
97avg 89
H17/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
97-63
97
63
+34
105avg 89
H20/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
100-84
100
84
+16
97avg 89
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
75avg 89
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
87avg 89
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
117-73
117
73
+44
123avg 89
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
75avg 89
A10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
19-30
19-20
25-21
43-12
28-24
29-26
22-32
15-23
14-21
25-19
28-24
21-23
31-26
27-13
17-16
30-12
18-9
17-22
32-20
21-22
33-32
26-12
20-18
22-10
15-33
25-29
21-24
13-16
23-20
25-14
12-23
21-16
24-22
38-15
34-20
27-27
14-27
25-25
20-24
182.0Avg total
95.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season at home (2)100.084.5184.5+15.550%
Season away (3)91.790.7182.3+1.067%
Last 10 (10)95.586.5182.0+9.060%
Last 5 (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.092.9178.9-6.938%
vs Similar (8)92.290.9183.1+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)96.880.8177.6+16.086%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
65-80
65
80
-15
no box
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
60-103
60
103
-43
no box
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
89-110
89
110
-21
77avg 67
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
97-74
97
74
+23
95avg 67
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
75-61
75
61
+14
66avg 67
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
72avg 67
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
70-102
70
102
-32
49avg 67
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
95-106
95
106
-11
85avg 67
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 67
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
55-117
55
117
-62
33avg 67
H10/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-24
9-14
14-26
14-21
10-24
17-30
19-28
17-29
22-21
24-31
26-29
27-23
27-14
21-19
22-18
15-18
24-11
19-23
17-9
26-14
25-24
19-18
12-19
22-21
10-33
13-21
25-27
25-31
18-36
27-16
25-23
26-21
12-16
16-25
23-18
17-27
12-35
11-30
15-25
167.3Avg total
76.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.896.0171.8-20.220%
Season at home (3)73.3108.3181.7-35.00%
Season away (2)79.577.5157.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)76.590.8167.3-14.330%
Last 5 (5)75.896.0171.8-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.796.3172.0-20.614%
vs Similar (6)84.080.7164.7+3.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
RandersBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A30/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
W
71-36
71
36
+35
H02/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A10/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H20/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A17/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A10/10
Basketligaen
88.8Avg total
45.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.642.388.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.843.092.8+6.879%-
Last 30 away (16)43.941.785.6+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)45.243.688.8+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.549.192.6-5.650%-
vs Similar (8)46.842.088.8+4.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)48.438.686.9+9.879%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H01/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A08/04
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H11/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A19/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A20/09
Basketligaen
Gladsaxe
#9
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#8
L
43-67
43
67
-24
H26/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
H10/10
Basketligaen
85.0Avg total
39.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.347.187.3-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.747.887.5-8.133%-
Last 30 away (12)40.946.287.1-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.985.0-6.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.651.690.2-13.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.049.688.6-10.619%-
vs Similar (6)44.738.383.0+6.383%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.023.1
56.3%
55.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.9
38.8%
31.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
68.0%19.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BMS Herlev: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.0 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.1
47.2%
55.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.8
30.6%
31.2%26.2
🏀 Free throws23.615.2
64.6%
68.0%15.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Randers
LWWLWWWLWL
BMS Herlev
LLLLWWWLLL
#5
League position
#12
+9.2
Net rating
-10.7
100.8
Offensive rating
84.2
91.6
Defensive rating
94.9
57.1%
Effective FG%
46.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.8%
3-point %
30.6%
62.1%
Assist %
57.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 84.2Defence91.6 · 94.9Shooting57.1% · 46.7%3-point %38.8% · 30.6%Ball care17.1% · 16.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Randers   ■ BMS Herlev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Randers wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Randers v BMS Herlev107-79
27/09/25BMS Herlev v Randers75-94
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ABakken Bears86-103
03/10/26HBears Academy117-73
27/09/26AVaerlose89-85 OT
23/09/26HSvendborg83-96
17/09/26AHolbaek-Stenhus100-84
20/04/26HCopenhagen97-63
17/04/26HSvendborg96-78
10/04/26AHorsens82-87
02/04/26HTeam FOG Naestved122-94
30/03/26ABakken Bears83-102
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HTeam FOG Naestved55-117
01/10/26AHolbaek-Stenhus77-80
26/09/26HVejen95-106
23/09/26HGladsaxe70-102
20/09/26ABears Academy82-75
23/04/26HAmager75-61
19/04/26AVaerlose97-74
11/04/26HVejen89-110
08/04/26ABears Academy60-103
01/04/26HHolbaek-Stenhus65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Randers
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game95.0100.091.7
Allowed / game88.284.590.7
Point differential+6.8+15.5+1.0
Avg total183.2184.5182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game75.873.379.5
Allowed / game96.0108.377.5
Point differential-20.2-35.0+2.0
Avg total171.8181.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved550100%102.266.6+35.6
2 Bakken Bears440100%101.577.2+24.2
3 Svendborg64267%88.280.0+8.2
4 Horsens64267%84.280.8+3.3
5 Randers53260%95.088.2+6.8
6 Copenhagen53260%75.674.4+1.2
7 Vejen52340%80.891.6-10.8
8 Gladsaxe62433%79.385.2-5.8
9 Holbaek-Stenhus62433%77.790.7-13.0
10 Vaerlose51420%81.289.2-8.0
11 BMS Herlev51420%75.896.0-20.2
12 Bears Academy61517%76.288.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Randers1831192593
BMS Herlev2214231271
← all games of the day
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