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Rapla vs Latvijas Universitate Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 79-60
16-17 22-16 21-20 20-7
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.2
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2024
Meetings · Rapla v Latvijas Universitate
26 Oct 2024
RAPL79
LATV60
17 Oct 2023
RAPL71
LATV63
19 Nov 2022
RAPL77
LATV62
19 Mar 2022
RAPL84
LATV74
13 Jan 2019
RAPL77
LATV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvijas Universitate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
49avg 65
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
48avg 65
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
63avg 65
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
55-65
55
65
-10
40avg 65
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
52avg 65
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 65
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 65
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 65
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
102avg 65
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
62-84
62
84
-22
50avg 65
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
16-22
20-31
19-30
21-21
10-25
8-26
17-15
12-12
22-23
19-19
15-5
21-16
10-17
7-13
17-19
8-12
21-8
21-26
18-19
28-18
15-12
26-21
13-15
13-14
18-23
19-17
15-26
26-21
22-25
14-20
23-14
26-24
26-15
29-15
19-19
21-21
9-26
12-22
20-15
147.6Avg total
70.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.079.2157.2-1.250%
Season at home (1)100.073.0173.0+27.0100%
Season away (3)70.781.3152.0-10.733%
Last 10 (10)70.776.9147.6-6.250%
Last 5 (5)78.876.6155.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)69.880.1149.9-10.343%
vs Similar (4)81.282.0163.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.670.8154.4+12.880%
This opponent (Latvijas Universitate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvijas UniversitateLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUniversitate
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
46avg 62
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
83avg 62
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
87-60
87
60
+27
95avg 62
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
60-86
60
86
-26
50avg 62
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 62
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
59avg 62
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 62
H28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
61avg 62
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
53-77
53
77
-24
45avg 62
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 62
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
11-19
17-13
9-20
22-19
16-22
18-13
23-20
26-13
27-10
14-15
20-22
9-25
15-20
12-21
24-20
23-14
23-25
19-16
19-16
27-23
19-21
9-17
19-29
15-26
18-21
17-23
22-22
18-21
20-16
23-26
15-18
8-22
10-16
10-28
25-11
21-19
21-21
16-23
17-20
150.0Avg total
71.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.084.6154.6-14.60%
Season at home (1)72.092.0164.0-20.00%
Season away (4)69.582.8152.2-13.20%
Last 10 (10)71.478.6150.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)70.084.6154.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)68.886.3155.2-17.58%
vs Similar (4)81.272.5153.8+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
RaplaLatvijas Universitate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
73.8Avg total
35.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.440.175.5-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.540.678.1-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)33.339.672.9-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.273.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)33.440.674.0-7.219%-
vs Similar (4)36.238.274.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.439.482.8+4.080%-
This opponent (Latvijas Universitate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvijas UniversitateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H13/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
75.9Avg total
36.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.642.678.2-7.120%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.842.377.2-7.523%-
Last 30 away (17)36.142.979.0-6.818%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.375.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.276.6-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.643.578.1-8.915%-
vs Similar (4)41.837.078.8+4.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.319.0
44.9%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
32.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.310.8
66.3%
70.6%10.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latvijas Universitatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvijas Universitate: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.0
50.8%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.7
27.8%
32.3%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.415.5
66.2%
70.6%15.5
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LWWLWWLWLL
Latvijas Universitate
LLLLLWLWWL
#9
League position
#15
-8.3
Net rating
-9.5
96.8
Offensive rating
95.8
105.1
Defensive rating
105.3
44.5%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.3%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.40
29.2%
3-point %
27.8%
65.9%
Assist %
71.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 95.8Defence105.1 · 105.3Shooting44.5% · 47.6%3-point %29.2% · 27.8%Ball care17.8% · 21.3%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Rapla   ■ Latvijas Universitate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Rapla wins
0
Latvijas Universitate wins
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24AVEF Riga62-84
15/10/24HKeila KK100-73
13/10/24AViimsi85-80
11/10/24AValmiera Glass Via65-80
25/05/24HParnu82-66
23/05/24AParnu68-65
21/05/24HParnu55-65
17/05/24AParnu68-59
12/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo56-87
10/05/24HBC Kalev/Cramo66-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24AKeila Coolbet75-83
12/10/24AParnu53-77
06/10/24ABC Kalev/Cramo76-81
28/09/24HValmiera Glass Via72-92
21/09/24ABK Ogre74-90
23/03/24HViimsi84-71
16/03/24HTal Tech60-86
13/03/24HTallinna Kalev87-60
09/03/24HKeila KK79-74
02/03/24HRapla54-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game78.0100.070.7
Allowed / game79.273.081.3
Point differential-1.2+27.0-10.7
Avg total157.2173.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvijas Universitate
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.072.069.5
Allowed / game84.692.082.8
Point differential-14.6-20.0-13.2
Avg total154.6164.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga76186%82.968.6+14.3
2 Valmiera Glass Via65183%82.874.3+8.5
3 BC Kalev/Cramo43175%82.275.8+6.5
4 BK Ogre64267%85.278.8+6.3
5 Tal Tech53260%81.884.8-3.0
6 Parnu21150%79.072.0+7.0
7 Ventspils42250%91.888.0+3.8
8 Keila Coolbet42250%82.080.0+2.0
9 Rigas Zelli63350%80.279.7+0.5
10 Rapla42250%78.079.2-1.2
11 Tartu Ulikool31233%78.378.0+0.3
12 BK Liepaja62433%80.584.7-4.2
13 Viimsi31233%67.380.0-12.7
14 Latvijas Universitate5050%70.084.6-14.6
15 Keila KK5050%74.494.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla1622212079
Latvijas Universitate171620760
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