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Parnu vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-68
12-8 8-21 26-21 19-18
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Rapla 🏆
Estonia
Position#3
Record4-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game83.1
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - 3rd place· Parnu Spordihall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Parnu v Rapla
26 Apr 2025
PAR92
RAPL82
19 Apr 2025
PAR82
RAPL75
03 Dec 2024
PAR78
RAPL80
23 May 2024
PAR65
RAPL68
17 May 2024
PAR59
RAPL68
17 Jan 2024
PAR66
RAPL61
25 Apr 2023
PAR58
RAPL75
17 Apr 2023
PAR83
RAPL71
26 Nov 2022
PAR66
RAPL81
02 May 2022
PAR97
RAPL81
27 Apr 2022
PAR75
RAPL64
18 Apr 2022
PAR79
RAPL72
04 Dec 2021
PAR78
RAPL83
04 May 2021
PAR67
RAPL60
29 Apr 2021
PAR76
RAPL69
06 Apr 2021
PAR v RAPL
upcoming
10 Jan 2021
PAR78
RAPL58
11 Nov 2020
PAR83
RAPL69
20 Apr 2019
PAR88
RAPL76
14 Apr 2019
PAR82
RAPL57
08 Dec 2018
PAR62
RAPL73
22 May 2018
PAR75
RAPL79
16 May 2018
PAR73
RAPL67
10 Feb 2018
PAR70
RAPL75
18 Oct 2017
PAR73
RAPL78
28 Feb 2017
PAR64
RAPL49
24 Jan 2017
PAR65
RAPL59
06 Dec 2016
PAR65
RAPL71
04 Mar 2016
PAR68
RAPL69
17 Jan 2016
PAR79
RAPL80
31 Oct 2015
PAR65
RAPL86
07 Feb 2015
PAR68
RAPL76
05 Oct 2014
PAR77
RAPL75
09 Feb 2014
PAR74
RAPL47
02 Oct 2013
PAR78
RAPL72
30 Mar 2013
PAR61
RAPL63
31 Oct 2012
PAR64
RAPL70
10 Mar 2012
PAR72
RAPL87
16 Nov 2011
PAR61
RAPL68
12 Feb 2011
PAR74
RAPL88
06 Nov 2010
PAR72
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
63avg 70
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
57avg 70
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
63avg 70
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 70
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
72avg 70
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 70
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 70
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
56avg 70
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
48avg 70
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
65-55
65
55
+10
59avg 70
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
19-24
20-27
12-20
14-11
13-7
12-20
21-15
13-11
14-25
18-20
21-10
18-17
17-9
27-19
25-22
20-22
15-22
18-17
24-19
19-17
22-22
23-22
14-25
24-21
25-15
12-21
17-18
11-16
23-23
11-22
18-10
12-12
23-22
19-19
5-15
16-21
17-10
13-7
19-17
144.3Avg total
71.5Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.272.6144.8-0.545%
Season at home (6)71.069.3140.3+1.750%
Season away (5)73.676.6150.2-3.040%
Last 10 (10)71.572.8144.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)68.671.0139.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.281.3156.5-6.225%
vs Similar (10)76.074.9150.9+1.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.968.6148.5+11.275%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#4
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
68avg 65
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 65
H27/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 65
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 65
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 65
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 65
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
49avg 65
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
48avg 65
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
63avg 65
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
55-65
55
65
-10
40avg 65
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
14-13
9-12
23-20
19-26
21-21
16-16
21-13
15-21
26-20
23-24
21-27
18-18
21-21
18-15
23-20
14-24
23-8
21-26
23-22
10-26
18-34
10-19
13-27
11-27
16-22
20-31
19-30
21-21
10-25
8-26
17-15
12-12
22-23
19-19
15-5
21-16
10-17
7-13
17-19
152.5Avg total
69.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.483.1152.5-13.740%
Season at home (4)69.581.2150.8-11.850%
Season away (6)69.384.3153.7-15.033%
Last 10 (10)69.483.1152.5-13.740%
Last 5 (5)59.285.4144.6-26.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.481.6151.0-12.235%
vs Similar (6)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (4)78.869.2148.0+9.575%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
ParnuRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
70.2Avg total
35.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.574.9+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.033.871.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.939.678.4-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.970.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.874.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.241.280.4-1.933%-
vs Similar (10)35.733.769.4+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.533.073.5+7.575%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H27/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
75.8Avg total
34.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.041.276.1-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.442.577.9-7.119%-
Last 30 away (14)34.539.674.1-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.241.675.8-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)30.244.674.8-14.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.642.975.5-10.210%-
vs Similar (6)39.338.878.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.276.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.2
46.4%
47.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.613.8
63.9%
69.4%13.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 68.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.7
46.2%
47.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.5
27.1%
31.6%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.711.5
65.0%
69.4%11.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WLLWLLWLWL
Rapla
LWLLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#3
-2.0
Net rating
-19.2
99.2
Offensive rating
94.7
101.1
Defensive rating
113.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
44.1%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.6%
3-point %
27.1%
68.7%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 94.7Defence101.1 · 113.9Shooting48.1% · 44.1%3-point %33.6% · 27.1%Ball care17.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Parnu   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Parnu wins
3
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
21/05/24Rapla v Parnu55-65
17/05/24Parnu v Rapla59-68
17/01/24Parnu v Rapla66-61
11/11/23Rapla v Parnu81-89 OT
28/04/23Rapla v Parnu65-78
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
13/04/23Rapla v Parnu95-93 OT
24/01/23Rapla v Parnu73-76
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24ARapla65-55
17/05/24HRapla59-68
13/05/24HTartu Ulikool63-71
11/05/24ATartu Ulikool78-75
09/05/24HTartu Ulikool78-86
07/05/24ATartu Ulikool77-80
02/05/24HKeila KK87-67
01/05/24AKeila KK79-80 OT
28/04/24HKeila KK60-53
26/04/24AKeila KK69-93
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/24HParnu55-65
17/05/24AParnu68-59
12/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo56-87
10/05/24HBC Kalev/Cramo66-110
08/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
05/05/24ATal Tech81-80
02/05/24HTal Tech80-74
29/04/24ATal Tech85-92
27/04/24HTal Tech77-76
25/04/24ATal Tech75-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game72.271.073.6
Allowed / game72.669.376.6
Point differential-0.5+1.7-3.0
Avg total144.8140.3150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game69.469.569.3
Allowed / game83.181.284.3
Point differential-13.7-11.8-15.0
Avg total152.5150.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo770100%90.659.7+30.9
2 Tartu Ulikool86275%80.172.0+8.1
3 Parnu115645%72.272.6-0.5
4 Tal Tech52340%80.879.6+1.2
5 Keila KK52340%72.874.8-2.0
6 Rapla104640%69.483.1-13.7
7 Viimsi3030%69.087.3-18.3
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%59.386.0-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu128261965
Rapla821211868
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