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Rapla vs Latvijas Universitate Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-63
20-16 22-18 23-17 6-12
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game80.0
Rapla 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game88.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Latvijas Universitate
26 Oct 2024
RAPL79
LATV60
17 Oct 2023
RAPL71
LATV63
19 Nov 2022
RAPL77
LATV62
19 Mar 2022
RAPL84
LATV74
13 Jan 2019
RAPL77
LATV74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvijas Universitate winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 61
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 61
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
65avg 61
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 61
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 61
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
61avg 61
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
75-77 OT
75
77
-2
70avg 61
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 61
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-30
23-17
26-19
26-28
19-27
13-23
24-11
23-18
16-20
24-21
13-19
18-23
19-33
16-15
14-14
23-18
16-13
21-18
16-14
22-13
14-21
14-21
20-16
17-20
9-27
21-14
22-22
20-15
23-13
11-25
18-12
14-16
21-20
19-14
14-19
14-15
8-28
18-22
25-21
15-19
156.3Avg total
75.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.580.0152.5-7.525%
Season at home (1)72.078.0150.0-6.00%
Season away (3)72.780.7153.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)75.780.6156.3-4.930%
Last 5 (5)71.079.6150.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.283.9158.1-9.625%
vs Similar (11)73.078.5151.5-5.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.970.2155.1+14.782%
This opponent (Latvijas Universitate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvijas UniversitateLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUniversitate
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
A06/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
no box
H10/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
A13/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
54-71
54
71
-17
no box
H15/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
70-92
70
92
-22
66avg 61
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
56-104
56
104
-48
45avg 61
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
64-78
64
78
-14
58avg 61
H07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
81avg 61
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
62-87
62
87
-25
54avg 61
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
17-20
21-18
20-16
12-27
20-26
18-21
15-19
21-20
22-13
17-19
22-15
16-20
15-24
19-21
21-19
17-24
12-20
17-14
8-13
19-25
16-13
26-36
9-18
14-19
14-32
11-18
17-35
14-21
9-19
18-18
23-20
21-19
23-27
16-28
27-8
16-17
22-19
14-20
10-31
153.3Avg total
69.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.888.6156.4-20.820%
Season at home (3)69.088.0157.0-19.033%
Season away (2)66.089.5155.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)69.783.6153.3-13.930%
Last 5 (5)67.888.6156.4-20.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.180.7146.8-14.711%
vs Similar (8)74.679.8154.4-5.138%
vs Weaker (3)82.075.3157.3+6.7100%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
RaplaLatvijas Universitate
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tallinna Kalev
#16
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H22/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
76.1Avg total
33.9Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.477.3-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.240.776.9-4.536%-
Last 30 away (16)39.338.377.6+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)33.942.276.1-8.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.072.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.842.876.5-9.012%-
vs Similar (11)36.240.676.8-4.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.535.878.4+6.782%-
This opponent (Latvijas Universitate) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Latvijas UniversitateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A06/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H10/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A13/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H15/04
LBL
BK Liepaja
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H07/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A14/10
Latvia-Estonian League
77.7Avg total
34.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.539.473.9-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.138.670.7-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.377.2-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.842.977.7-8.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.275.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.540.271.6-8.721%-
vs Similar (8)38.939.878.6-0.938%-
vs Weaker (3)42.034.076.0+8.067%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.1
47.1%
50.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.4
28.9%
32.1%25.1
🏀 Free throws14.49.2
64.3%
70.5%9.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latvijas Universitatetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvijas Universitate: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.814.8
45.1%
50.5%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
32.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.011.6
68.2%
70.5%11.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/5 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LLWLLWLLWL
Latvijas Universitate
LWLLLLLWLW
#10
League position
#14
-8.1
Net rating
-27.0
95.8
Offensive rating
87.0
104.0
Defensive rating
114.0
45.5%
Effective FG%
47.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
28.6%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.9%
3-point %
33.1%
63.7%
Assist %
65.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 87.0Defence104.0 · 114.0Shooting45.5% · 47.1%3-point %28.9% · 33.1%Ball care18.1% · 28.6%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Rapla   ■ Latvijas Universitate
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rapla wins
0
Latvijas Universitate wins
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23APrometey66-90
06/10/23AValmiera Glass Via75-77 OT
29/09/23ABK Ogre77-75 OT
22/09/23HTallinna Kalev72-78
28/04/23HParnu65-78
25/04/23AParnu75-58
21/04/23HParnu72-80
17/04/23AParnu71-83
13/04/23HParnu95-93 OT
28/03/23HVEF Riga89-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ARigas Zelli62-87
10/10/23HValmiera Glass Via87-82
07/10/23HBK Ogre64-78
04/10/23HBC Kalev/Cramo56-104
01/10/23ABK Liepaja70-92
15/04/23HBK Liepaja54-71
13/04/23ABK Liepaja71-84
10/04/23HBK Liepaja82-67
06/04/23ABK Liepaja65-93
19/03/23HBK Liepaja86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game72.572.072.7
Allowed / game80.078.080.7
Point differential-7.5-6.0-8.0
Avg total152.5150.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
Latvijas Universitate
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game67.869.066.0
Allowed / game88.688.089.5
Point differential-20.8-19.0-23.5
Avg total156.4157.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey330100%95.067.0+28.0
2 BC Kalev/Cramo440100%92.267.0+25.2
3 Rigas Zelli43175%74.563.0+11.5
4 Tal Tech43175%87.878.0+9.8
5 BK Ogre53260%80.871.2+9.6
6 VEF Riga42250%81.073.0+8.0
7 Ventspils42250%96.590.0+6.5
8 BK Liepaja42250%86.586.2+0.2
9 Parnu42250%73.072.8+0.2
10 Tartu Ulikool42250%72.872.5+0.2
11 Tallinna Kalev42250%68.079.5-11.5
12 Valmiera Glass Via52340%75.879.0-3.2
13 Rapla41325%72.580.0-7.5
14 Keila KK41325%71.580.2-8.8
15 Latvijas Universitate51420%67.888.6-20.8
16 Viimsi61517%65.890.5-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla202223671
Latvijas Universitate1618171263
← all games of the day
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