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Rapla vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 55-65
21-16 10-17 7-13 17-19
Position#3
Record4-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Parnu 🏆
Estonia
Position#6
Record4-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game74.4
EstoniaKorvpalli MeistriliigaKorvpalli Meistriliiga - 3rd place· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rapla v Parnu
29 Apr 2025
RAPL95
PAR69
23 Apr 2025
RAPL100
PAR69
16 Apr 2025
RAPL87
PAR66
08 Feb 2025
RAPL113
PAR76
25 May 2024
RAPL82
PAR66
21 May 2024
RAPL55
PAR65
11 Nov 2023
RAPL81
PAR89
28 Apr 2023
RAPL65
PAR78
21 Apr 2023
RAPL72
PAR80
13 Apr 2023
RAPL95
PAR93
24 Jan 2023
RAPL73
PAR76
04 May 2022
RAPL76
PAR86
29 Apr 2022
RAPL80
PAR67
29 Jan 2022
RAPL107
PAR79
01 May 2021
RAPL72
PAR79
16 Mar 2021
RAPL64
PAR72
16 Jan 2021
RAPL88
PAR93
18 Oct 2020
RAPL79
PAR86
16 Apr 2019
RAPL82
PAR80
10 Apr 2019
RAPL60
PAR83
07 Feb 2019
RAPL94
PAR85
19 May 2018
RAPL90
PAR79
14 May 2018
RAPL84
PAR77
10 Apr 2018
RAPL73
PAR80
30 Dec 2017
RAPL74
PAR71
18 Mar 2017
RAPL93
PAR91
26 Nov 2016
RAPL75
PAR62
18 Oct 2016
RAPL85
PAR67
05 Apr 2016
RAPL77
PAR61
08 Dec 2015
RAPL78
PAR75
28 Nov 2015
RAPL83
PAR76
14 Mar 2015
RAPL80
PAR75
29 Nov 2014
RAPL92
PAR68
29 Mar 2014
RAPL66
PAR74
09 Nov 2013
RAPL86
PAR75
16 Feb 2013
RAPL81
PAR76
24 Nov 2012
RAPL54
PAR73
07 Jan 2012
RAPL101
PAR69
13 Dec 2011
RAPL93
PAR74
08 Jan 2011
RAPL75
PAR65
06 Oct 2010
RAPL82
PAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
69avg 66
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#4
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
68avg 66
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
77-76
77
76
+1
70avg 66
H27/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 66
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 66
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 66
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
51-106
51
106
-55
30avg 66
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
66-110
66
110
-44
49avg 66
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
48avg 66
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
63avg 66
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
17-22
24-11
18-19
20-21
14-13
9-12
23-20
19-26
21-21
16-16
21-13
15-21
26-20
23-24
21-27
18-18
21-21
18-15
23-20
14-24
23-8
21-26
23-22
10-26
18-34
10-19
13-27
11-27
16-22
20-31
19-30
21-21
10-25
8-26
17-15
12-12
22-23
19-19
15-5
156.3Avg total
71.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.085.1156.1-14.144%
Season at home (3)74.386.7161.0-12.367%
Season away (6)69.384.3153.7-15.033%
Last 10 (10)71.784.6156.3-12.940%
Last 5 (5)64.488.4152.8-24.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.582.8153.3-12.235%
vs Similar (6)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (4)78.869.2148.0+9.575%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuEstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#5
W
79-71
79
71
+8
87avg 70
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
69-93
69
93
-24
63avg 70
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
60-53
60
53
+7
57avg 70
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
63avg 70
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 70
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
72avg 70
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 70
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 70
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
56avg 70
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
48avg 70
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-9
22-21
16-21
18-22
19-24
20-27
12-20
14-11
13-7
12-20
21-15
13-11
14-25
18-20
21-10
18-17
17-9
27-19
25-22
20-22
15-22
18-17
24-19
19-17
22-22
23-22
14-25
24-21
25-15
12-21
17-18
11-16
23-23
11-22
18-10
12-12
23-22
19-19
5-15
147.3Avg total
72.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.974.4147.3-1.540%
Season at home (6)71.069.3140.3+1.750%
Season away (4)75.882.0157.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)72.974.4147.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)71.076.0147.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.481.8157.2-6.523%
vs Similar (10)76.074.9150.9+1.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.070.6152.6+11.471%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
RaplaParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H27/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tal Tech
#4
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A05/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A08/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H10/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A12/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.0Avg total
34.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.041.576.5-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.743.178.8-7.520%-
Last 30 away (15)34.439.974.3-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)34.743.378.0-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)31.444.475.8-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.743.476.1-10.610%-
vs Similar (6)39.338.878.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.276.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H24/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
27-18
27
18
+9
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Keila KK
#5
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
70.8Avg total
36.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.275.7+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.033.871.8+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.041.180.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.134.770.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.477.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.942.181.0-3.231%-
vs Similar (10)35.733.769.4+2.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.633.374.9+8.371%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.0
47.0%
47.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.6
27.3%
31.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.7
67.9%
69.4%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.8 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.4
47.4%
47.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.815.0
65.8%
69.4%15.0
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
WLLLWWLWLL
Parnu
LLWLLWLWLW
#3
League position
#6
-18.9
Net rating
-1.7
97.2
Offensive rating
100.0
116.1
Defensive rating
101.6
44.7%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.40
27.3%
3-point %
35.4%
56.6%
Assist %
70.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 100.0Defence116.1 · 101.6Shooting44.7% · 49.7%3-point %27.3% · 35.4%Ball care17.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 24.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Rapla   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rapla wins
6
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
17/05/24Parnu v Rapla59-68
17/01/24Parnu v Rapla66-61
11/11/23Rapla v Parnu81-89 OT
28/04/23Rapla v Parnu65-78
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
13/04/23Rapla v Parnu95-93 OT
24/01/23Rapla v Parnu73-76
26/11/22Parnu v Rapla66-81
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/24AParnu68-59
12/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo56-87
10/05/24HBC Kalev/Cramo66-110
08/05/24ABC Kalev/Cramo51-106
05/05/24ATal Tech81-80
02/05/24HTal Tech80-74
29/04/24ATal Tech85-92
27/04/24HTal Tech77-76
25/04/24ATal Tech75-82 OT
24/03/24AVEF Riga78-80
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/24HRapla59-68
13/05/24HTartu Ulikool63-71
11/05/24ATartu Ulikool78-75
09/05/24HTartu Ulikool78-86
07/05/24ATartu Ulikool77-80
02/05/24HKeila KK87-67
01/05/24AKeila KK79-80 OT
28/04/24HKeila KK60-53
26/04/24AKeila KK69-93
24/04/24HKeila KK79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game71.074.369.3
Allowed / game85.186.784.3
Point differential-14.1-12.3-15.0
Avg total156.1161.0153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%17%
Parnu
Korvpalli Meistriliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %40%50%25%
Points / game72.971.075.8
Allowed / game74.469.382.0
Point differential-1.5+1.7-6.2
Avg total147.3140.3157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo660100%93.558.5+35.0
2 Tartu Ulikool76186%82.071.9+10.1
3 Rapla94544%71.085.1-14.1
4 Tal Tech52340%80.879.6+1.2
5 Parnu104640%72.974.4-1.5
6 Keila KK52340%72.874.8-2.0
7 Viimsi3030%69.087.3-18.3
8 Tallinna Kalev3030%59.386.0-26.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla211071755
Parnu1617131965
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